Are we? 1) in a macrocycle with multiple inflation and deflation peaks, like in the '70s (red). That means we can see a mini bull market up to 54k and then 7k-10k. 2) in a stage 2 bear market full of bear market rallies (next one up to 22-24k?). Then stage 3 (new drop to 12k) and stage 4 (depression, 2 years of low prices between 12-16k), like in the '40s. 3) in...
We are at the edge of economy. Rate hikes has given zero affect on this money printing cycle with inflation at its highest. everything shows we need a 50% crash from todays levels leading to a 80% crash.Economy is now worse!
Dollar Domination. Deflation Cycle. -22 FED has printed money now since -20 to save companies from going backrupt. Printing up to a danger level of 3.3 Trillion dollars. Creating a bubble like never before. Debt bubble is $63 Trillion DEBT. We are about the reach prices as 1929 played out. Stocks that are around 300 dollars will be in 50-20 dollar range.
WTI: Deflation has started 2022. Dollar on the rise to previous highs WTI has no room to be in Extended Range any longer. With Stocks and inflational products keeps going lower. Dollar domination is just getting stronger and VIX is still supressed relative to history. All this is about the breakout to the upside. Oil will reach 65 WTI price this month because of...
Traders, The dollar continues it's dump. The last two days it has come back up to test resistance. Is this the formation of a bear flag on the dollar followed by a continued dump? So far, it's looking like it. Stay tuned all.
Is the Eurodollar giving us some hints into the mind of JPOW and the fed?
This chart suggest a FED pivot arriving much sooner than some may suspect. Compared to 2016 - 2019, the fast & big drop that usually follows a euphoric peak, came much quicker for this year. Given how much money printing went on during the pandemic, it's worth considering that this might be simply the first and second Elliott Waves for commodities, but there will...
CPI-U is reported at 8.5%. The alternate CPI-U from 1990 has inflation around 12%. The alternate CPI-U 1980 has inflation around 16.5%. This has triggered the markets sentiment that inflation is over to go hog wild on it's Goldilocks targets and head higher on the SPX. To bring inflation down to the target of the FED now becomes the discussion. The market is...
As per previous ideas i believe the dollar is setting up for a strong move up This is in line with deflationary/ bear market expectations Here we see the 15 year dollar cycle I'm not sure whether this will triple top or false break out I think it willl be the final big move up for the dollar which will then go into decline presumably with more QE and possibly...
We're seeing value health care ($XLV) show a lot of relative strength against other sectors as the dollar has been pushing. ($KRE) is often tied to growth when compared to it's bigger brother ($XLF) and eventhough financials do tend to benefit from rising rates, this has been much more of a hard landing and the financial rotation many expect may not come to pass,...
It all comes down to Newton’s third law “what goes up must come down”. With the pressure of the federal reserve and the U.S. government doing what they can to hedge inflation. Oil is well on its way to a downtrend the Sp oil and gas exploration index will follow suit. Rising wedge has broken likely next move is down.
There's a possibility of further downside for $AMZN over time, but currently, price action and the drop in commodities suggest that $AMZN is likely to go higher for a while. Until the next FOMC meeting, market participants might bet on a Fed pivot taking place sooner rather than later, given the drop in commodities suggesting inflation might be under control...
Curved cone of diminishing returns. If it falls below, it will act as resistance and long-term deflation.
Oil is heading for sub $100 with the fed hedging inflation will cause the deflation in most asset classes. You can see this in the reflection of the US dollar. You will see in time as stocks lower the dollar will rise. The lower stocks go the less demand the less demand the lower oil will go. Good luck!
Hello traders, Today on SPX, a lot of movement with the announcement of the CPI index report, which equals to 8.6%....wHaT a SuRpriSEeee!! even though we know it is supposed to be even higher....anyway... all investor are afraid aff, of course, and here are the result...! I show you in the analysis below how I approach the last move with the Elliott Waves...
Basically Self Explanatory after CPI … SPX 500 will go to 4510 Next Week Lads
Traders, The bears are now in full control. Let's make some sense of this price action and strategize trading going forward. - Stew