Please check out the full article here: oilpro.com The Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLE) has been battered, and it is starting to bruise. With the price of crude now just hovering $43 per barrel, this exchange-traded fund (ETF) is likely to get a whole lot cheaper. This fund has support near-term because Wall Street is discounting recent events in the oil...
Natural gas is trading sideways within 1st standard deviation on quarterly basis (in relation to 66-day mean) since May 2015. This creates good trading opportunities for those who know how to deal with the lateral chop in the markets. Within compressing volatility (measure by 3.2 st deviations from the same mean), traders can pick longs and shorts toward the...
Near term catalyst- Bullish engulfing on 7/7 Bullish MACD crossing Broken distribution trend line RSI breaks out of over-sold conditions. In the intermediate term, CHK still appears to be moving in a range. Based on the upper line, it looks like 14 will be an important area. It it breaks through 14, there is a gap at ~18.50 that may be filled. If it meets...
NGAS Natural Gas Pitchfork Break Down Natural Gas price has broken down out of its pitchfork channel from the peak of $3.1 Charting further test of support levels at 2.534, 2.471 and 2.437 I'm currently long and will be looking to reduce the average cost of my position by short selling.
Russia has been a hot bed of geopolitical issues through out 2014. However, the Russian stock market has bounced by over 17% year to date(as measured by the RSX etf). Fundamentals Since Russia entered into a cease fire with Ukraine the sails have been in stock markets wind. Even with the major positive movement the Russian ETF, RSX is still at a 5 year low. The...
One of the great feature I like with TradingView is the ability to compare different ticker via arithmetic addition/division/subtraction. From here, I'm comparing between UNG and USO. Since both are directly related to energy, tough choice huh? Charting it out helps a lot and we can see a clear breakout trend between the ratios! Clearly Natural Gas (UNG) might...
Gasoline has seen a crazy rally in the first six weeks of 2015, after a record number of daily declines; but, considering the continued oversupply in both crude and gasoline inventories, RBOB could look to pullback. No longer in an oversold condition on the daily chart, gas has been unable to close above $1.6192, as well as a minor descending trend line. So far,...
I haven't posted about crude in a few weeks because the fundamentals and technicals simply have told the same story over and over again. Bulls get bullish because A) they believe the global economic growth falacy or B) it's so oversold it must go higher. My charts did not change, and, yes, it has played out well technically to the downside. It is ever closer to...
WTI has played out fundamentally, and the fundamentals (along with sentiment) still remain to the downside. Traders love to pick out bottoms by catching falling knifes, and they're usually cut up in the process. On a risk:reward basis, sure WTI may seem like it's at a nice area to buy. Yet, I think it is still to early. Crude will likely find support at the...
Gold climbs higher on traders looking for safety, albeit crude, equities, the ECB or Greece. As what was considered a year for the “secular” bull market to continue higher, 2015 is looking to start the year rather tumultuous. In “Gold $1,200 – A Line in the Sand,” gold began to form a descending channel after breaking through the previous ascending channel. I...
For the past few months, the one silver lining to the energy complex - with crude oil plummeting to levels not seen since 2009 - was nat gas, which soared to the mid-$4s in early November on expectations of a brutal polar vortex for the second year in a row sending heating demand surging. Well, so far the "harsh" weather, which was blamed for the epic collapse in...
These are the fair value and top/bottom edges to trade off on the daily chart. There is a clear rejection off the lows and it looks like price could move higher into liquidity above 5 as winter approaches.
UGAZ spiked up on fundamental news last week, but dropped aggressively on Friday to test for supply before breaking out higher. The large players are not willing to mark up prices until they are sure that all the selling has dried up and they did this by gaping prices down to force the bears to show there hand. The volume was so low which means the bears are not...
Hi Traders, As predicted, Natural Gas topped within the target area at 4.50-4.56. Then again, it retraced to another predicted target area at 4.21-4.18. Now, Natural Gas should resume the uptrend to the area 5.10-5.13 and higher. TARGETS likely: 5.10-5.13 possibly: 5.37-5.38 ELLIOTT WAVES This new uptrend is nothing more than "wave 3" of the recently started...
Hi Traders, Natural Gas (now at 3800) started a major uptrend as 2 days ago as predicted. It's now to retrace a bit to 3760-43 before resuming the uptrend to 3924-50. That should mark the top of "sub-minuette wave 1". As you can see by the 2-hours chart above we're still plenty of time to get on board for a long position. ELLIOTT WAVES The letter "C" at the...
Hi Traders, The end of the line of the downtrend of Natural Gas (now at 3601) is very much in sight. This sputtering downtrend is to be followed soon by a significant reversal that would mark the beginning of a major uptrend. The attached 1-hour chart displays the sub-minuette waves 1 and 2 (in green, bottom right) as part of a group of a 5 waves down that...
Took a long position via DEC calls above 46.45 (0.5 retrace) with a short term target of 52.50 (breakout/breakdown point) of this weekly view.
Everything can be seen or read on the CHART. 1. Winter Demand UP 2. If Dollar goes Down Price(NatGas) UP 3. Positive Technical Analysis 1.+2.+3. = ====>> to rocket UP; explode(?)