Elliott Wave price structure and projections in beans.
Wheat has been bullish since the beginning of 2018 and I think there is reason to expect to see it continue. Some of the main drivers are: 1. Potential tariff introduction and major us trade partners like mexico moving to other wheat sources affect trade stability and commodities as a whole. 2. The developing drought in the US this summer Watching for a move...
interest rates going higher, enjoy the pull of inflation for your grains, that and colder weather forecast forget global warming, how about the cooling that is reality?
I have a big picture tool I use that has been very good to me and it is now indicating shorting puts in wheat will be a good spot to take advantage of a sideways or climbing wheat prices. I will trade the 31 DTE options and will move down to the 30 delta strike put to give it a bit of wiggle room. Not a big trade but not much buying power is used either
I previously shorted wheat 1 pip from the top and it was a very nice trade (although I closed too early around 3.99 or so). Price bounced from the .382 fib of the larger up move but the price action in the current area looks weak. I am looking to re-open shorts at the levels in the chart but only if no warning signs are present -- big bullish candles, oversold RSI...
The soybean chart looks prime to push higher for the next 2 weeks. I recommend buying soybeans a 986.0 or better before the end of the week, and hold it until the end of the first week of November, or cover around 1028.0 or better.
DBA had a retrace after breaking out of this declining wedge. I am now watching price behaviour around this base area and setting some alerts ( 21.00USD ). If the macro assessment is correct we should see Agrobusiness follow the pro-inflation-fear environment, which means that precious metals, commodities and Agrobusiness should provide considerabel gains in to...
Corn is ripe for the picking and ready to POP. With glut of corn in silo's we like the downside...BUT, this can either way. Be nimble. We expect a nice 6-8 day run.
We may have missed the Crude trade however, Corn is a different story. We are expecting Corn to trigger today. Our targets are listed. If Corn triggers and then closes inside the wedge we will close the trade, otherwise our targets are posted. Stay tuned
Corn has broken and closed below it's wedge on a weeky time frame. We are looking for pullback triggers to get involved to the short side. Targets are identified and the stop will come from the trigger (on a 60 or 240 min chart)...NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
Corn on the weekly chart is coiling and setting up for a great move. As we always say ...if you want strong moves that will last longer than a day then you need to watch the weekly charts. It takes patience to wait but they are nice when they explode. Stay tuned.
Above 998 and the squeeze will have shorts scrambling. A close above this area and we will be looking for triggers long.
Wheat has been in free-fall since Dec. 19. After a strong buying day on Monday, sellers are keeping the price clamped down right at the 9 day EMA. This is one to watch as it's setting up for a possible rally if it can break through that resistance line.
Soybean has been a tough market for those traders seeking volatility as it has been on a “wait-and-see” mode for a couple of month now. I do not expect any major movement on the short/mid run; however, I do see a possibility to “widen” the current trading range. The wave counting above suggests that a B wave would be completed (or nearly completed) and a possible...
(Forgive the terrible joke, but I couldn’t hold myself). The 50% retracement on Corn suggests that a minor correction would be over making possible an “a-b-c” counting thus getting ready to resume the upward trend. However, at this point in time, it would be wise to keep an alternate count in sight as this correction could easily (and most likely, in my opinion)...
Soybeans broke major support so we are looking at Corn to see if this pattern breaks with it. We will use smaller time frames for a trigger.
Soybeans, technically, should be heading significantly lower in the short term. With the confirmation today of the head and shoulders top, the market should plummet by 8 - 9% by year end. This will put the soybeans smack down at year lows. The pattern took about a month to develop and should take about that long to fully unfold. However, this is a scared market...
ZC is starting to feel choppy in this area so we are taking off our long position at a small loss. Like we mentioned, this could chop until harvest starts. We will keep her on the watch list. NEXT!