Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed reservations about the trajectory of disinflation in the US during his recent remarks, stating, "My confidence in that is not as high as it was." Despite this, he indicated that further rate hikes were unlikely based on the data from the first quarter of the year. Powell's comments largely echoed those made during...
Monthly is winding up for a big drop or huge jump. Monthly: Weekly: Daily shows price winding up potentially the rest of the year. So I will look towards year end for the fireworks, that will decide if our pent up momentum will release upwards or downwards. My gut says inflation will send it upward in the near future.
- While ECONOMICS:USIRYY numbers remain inflationary, having the latest increase to 3.2% on August 10th, on the other side of the World from the second Global Superpower, ECONOMICS:CNIRYY came Deflationary at negative 0.3% on 9'th of August, just a day prior to numbers of ECONOMICS:USIRYY . Note that The Head of Federal Reserve, our pal Jerome Powell,...
Analysis: Factors Driving Gold Prices Up Here is why we think it will go up (FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS) Weak NFP Report and Potential Fed Rate Cuts: The recent Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report came in weaker than expected, signaling sluggish job growth in the United States. This unexpected weakness has raised speculation that the Federal Reserve may consider...
The British pound is drifting on Friday. GBP/USD is up 0.05%, trading at 1.2531 in the European session at the time of writing. The British economy grew by 0.6% q/q in the first quarter, higher than the market estimate of 0.4% and above the Q4 2023 decline of 0.3%. This marks a rebound after a mild recession in the second half of 2023. GDP posted its best...
In Dollar terms. We have analysed the FTSE100 #UKX the GBPUSD and UK Housing on a big time frame scale before. Here we have the FTSE 100 and the UK companies which have pricing power versus #Sterling which we know is heading to sub $1 As we have expectations of the #GBPUSD to target 0.71 in a head and shoulders target close to a 50% drop from current...
BLUE SKIES Would you have believed it If you were told a year ago. When every expert was predicting a recession. (which will come of course but when no one is expecting it ) So the conditions are set for a melt up I believe #Bitcoin bottoms very shortly maybe this week or next (grab some bitcoin miners!) ENJOY THE NEXT few months! #CNBC will trumpeting SOFT...
#XAU/USD #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + GOLD price is currently trading inside the triangle and the price has been ranging since May + I'm expecting the price to break downwards as the overall trend on lower timeframe is bearish. + We have good opportunity for a short trade here....
MACRO MONDAY 8 S&P500 / M2 Money Supply ( SP:SPX / $WMN2S) M2 is a broad measure of the US money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and other types of deposits that are readily convertible to cash such as CDs. M2 is seen as a reliable metric for forecasting/predicting inflation and for this reason it can be used as leading economic indicator....
ISM surveys show that prices are rising ; during April services and manufacturing prices advanced 10% on average. The problem? Look at the chart comparing these price indexes to the traditional CPI inflation reading, ISMs are usually forward looking. Inflation 2.0 is coming...
The Australian dollar has started the week with modest gains. AUD/USD is up 0.25%, trading at 0.6624 in the European session at the time of writing. The Aussie is coming off a strong week, having gained 1.19%. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday and is widely expected to hold the cash rate at 4.35%, a 12-year high. The central bank has maintained rates...
Here I have EUR/GBP on the 4 Hr Chart! Ever since its visit at the Support Zone @ ( .8534 - .8528 ), Price has been steadily making Higher Highs and Higher Lows with the most significant High in the Price Action being Friday's High reaching the Resistance Zone @ ( .8586 - .8581 ) on the release of LOWER than expected NFP numbers for USD ( 175K Actual - 238K...
Gold prices could plummet if the Federal Reserve fails to enact anticipated rate cuts, particularly amidst widespread expectations for such actions. Here's why: Market Expectations: Investors often base their decisions on expectations, including anticipated actions by central banks like the Federal Reserve. If there's a widespread belief that the Fed will cut...
If the Federal Reserve refrains from cutting interest rates this year, particularly when it was widely anticipated by the market, it could have significant implications for gold prices. Here's how: Market Expectations Disappointed: When market expectations aren't met, especially regarding key monetary policy decisions like interest rate cuts, it often triggers...
Dear Traders, This why we think Gold is going to plummet, Persisting Inflation: Sticky inflation signifies a troubling scenario where prices resist adjusting swiftly to shifts in supply and demand or broader economic changes. If inflation persists at heightened levels despite the Federal Reserve's attempts to manage it through interest rate adjustments, it could...
Why might Gold prices decline? Persistent Inflation: When prices exhibit stickiness, it means they don't adjust swiftly to changes in supply, demand, or the overall economy. If inflation remains high despite efforts by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) to manage it through interest rate adjustments, this scenario is termed sticky inflation. Federal Reserve and...
Here I have the DXY on the 4Hr Chart! For the past 2 weeks, Price on DXY has been steadily falling! With our Highs and Lows marked, we can see that Price is outlining what looks to be a Descending Channel! If price continues to follow down this channel, I suspect that the ( 105.53 - 105.025 ) Support Zone will be the area price will Most Likely find support to...
Why would Gold prices go down? Sticky Inflation: Sticky inflation refers to a situation where prices do not adjust quickly to changes in supply and demand or changes in the broader economy. In this context, if inflation remains persistently high despite efforts by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) to control it through interest rate adjustments, it could be...