NASDAQ:TLT is an ETF that tracks value of United States Treasury Bonds in the time range of the 20-30-year bonds. With this ETF tracking the bond value it will rise with the decrease in these bond yields as the previous bonds offering higher % rates increase in value. I am bullish on TLT for a few reasons that are summarized in the bullets below - Interest...
USDINR : A probable lower high in the India's Forex Reserves, indicating that RBI is offloading dollars. A case for move down in the USDINR, thus the appreciating local currency. Foreign flows into India to strengthen further. #Nifty #BankNifty #StockMarket
*High winning rate with backtesting by my strategy Right now ECONOMICS:USINTR is still in the upside trend. This means that it has been consistently performing poorly and may not be a good investment opportunity in the short term. 🔔 Be prepared for reversals. It's advisable to be patient and wait for the downward trend to occur before the risk market...
Not the most earth shattering observation but good to remember. As profits fall, the stock markets follows. A recent Band of America report shows record low profit expectations by global fund managers - lower than anytime in the last 25 years.
According to the macro indexes during last months, FED increase interest rate and profit of ten years bond yield. so it's obvious that the inflation still a big problem for US and world economy. next week more inflation indexes would be published and declare that high risk market enter a winter or fiat shows a little weakness. technically DXY is in a trading...
Short-Term & Macro Analysis: In this quick video, I cover this week’s price action, the state of technical indicators and provisional forecast for the coming week on both low & high timeframes considering impacts of the macro economic cycle. In case you want to just quickly glance at the chart, see the key notes and snapshot below. You'll find a summary of each...
DXY has definitely snapped to the downside right to the brink of the pattern. Pattern could fail and we'll see it crackle lower or Pop to the upside. 90.1 is the level I'm watching. IF it falls below its over and I'd expect DXY rest of the year in the 80's with SPY jumping to 454. IF DXY pops I expect a broad market correction. What happens to CAPM when there is...
Please be cautious, trade on your own volition, and always do your own research. Here is my continued analysis of the Dollar Strength Index; beautiful Miss DXY. Thanks for stopping by to take a listen, hope you enjoyed and best of luck in your search for wealth. A5.
There is a macro narrative underway that is wildly bullish for Home Depot. The fuse being lit here under a MASSIVE bull run evident within the latest WSJ article. Get ready for a flood of improvements and investments in homes. Keep in mind how cash flush consumers are, and how pent up they have been in their homes. The WSJ certainly made the case when they...
The effects of the spread on the national deficit and public debt are not immediate, but they are seen when the next BTP is issued. If the spread is high when a new BTP is issued, the new bonds will probably adapt to the performance of the secondary market, costing the Government more. A BTP-Bund spread may also affect businesses and households, not just the...
Last week's macroeconomic announcements created support at the price level of 1.1870, which is the lower limit of the downtrend channel. So, from a technical analysis point of view this was almost to be expected. Then looking at the indications of the Stochastic it seems that the upward movement still has a lot of room for development because the index has just...
XL is a maker of hybrid and fully electric engines for trucks and cargo vans. The company sold over 4,000 units in 2020 and are projecting 9,200 this year. They do not however only sell hybrid/electric engines, they also recently got into the charging market. They announced a partnership with UBS arena (NY Islanders stadium) to deploy 1,000 charging stations in...
This is a chart of some of the major US MacroEconomic trends and values. I see some interesting correlation between DXY and US10YR and US30. Inflation Rate, M2 and M1, Money Velocity and Debt to GDP all play some part in these movements.
Trying to play around with the timing a little bit. There is just a lot to take in. Referencing the 2009 Movements there is a lot of similarities. I am working on a couple of comparisons between DXY, DJI, several money variables. It's coming together but so much is still left to be interpreted. I'm curious to see how close we will end up to these movements. And...
So. With everything going on in the Yield Bonds market, it begs the question of what is to occur in the Stock market. Generally, as money moves away from this market and into T-Bills we can observe a liquidity shortage. With high demand, price pushes high. I believe we can expect a market move downwards to complete our trend move downwards. Major divergence on...
So. With everything going on in the Yield Bonds market, it begs the question of what is to occur in the Stock market. A correlation can be made between DXY and the US30 movements. When is to come of this Daily Engulfing candle we have just observed? Nothing can be guaranteed but if one this is observed; history repeats. The last time we saw an engulfing candle...
Given the recent market moves and macro economic factors surrounding the GBP, we have outlined two potential scenarios for GBPCHF given the current levels that are in play. The 1.22 level has not been broken since September 2019, if we see a bullish weekly close above the level as well as a retest, we can expect price to move (Long Term) to around the 1.27 region...
Copper futures at 9 year highs and all time high is around $4.65, FCX is the world's largest publicly traded copper producer. It is following the price of commodity. Demand for copper from renewable sector is growing as new power generation capacity addition renewable energy (China/India). Options - The March 19 $38 calls traded over 11000 times, over 34,000 in...