As the Fed Funds Rate rises and the rise in Consumer Credit Balances come to a halt, I think it will lead to Deflationary Pressure. This pressure would likely send Short Term Bond Yields lower starting with the ultra short ones like the 1 year and below, when this happens I think we could then see this be reflected within the Mortgage Back Securities (MBS) and if...
Okay, the Saudis did cut. I must confess that I underestimated His Royal Highness's ability to surprise. That leaves us with a possible gap on Monday. Given the market pressures and the fact that the previous cut was ineffective in sustaining the price, the gap is unlikely to be as large as in April. The gap is, most likely, wave 3 of (c) of the first wave up in...
Currently, on the 15-minute timeframe, we are in a bearish trend formed by two changes in structure. Therefore, we are currently in a bearish range that goes from 171.604 to 169.952, with the latter being the liquidity point of the current bearish range. We have a demand zone in the area of 171.559 to 171.382, and the second zone is between 172.328 and 172.162. We...
Currently, on the one-hour timeframe, we are in a bullish range that extends from 168.713 to 172.094, with the latter being the liquidity point of the current range. We can look for a bullish reaction once the price reaches our potential area of interest between 169.387 and 168.729. Alternatively, if the price shows a marked downward movement, we could look for...
Currently, in the 4-hour timeframe, we are in an uptrend range ranging from 165.422 to 172.328, with the latter being the liquidity point of the current range. We can also see that the price has left us two demand zones of interest in the areas of 167.388 to 166.431 and another from 165.991 to 165.648. When the price touches these areas, we can look for a reaction...
Currently, on the daily timeframe, we are in a bullish range that extends from 165.422 to 172.328, with the latter being the liquidity point of the current range. We can also observe that the price has left an unmitigated zone between 167.341 and 166.431, where we can expect a bullish reaction. Therefore, we can wait for the price to reach this zone to anticipate...
Currently, on the 1-hour timeframe, we are in a bearish range that goes from 133.94 to 133.01. We can also see that the structure has broken down multiple times, mitigating the larger demand zones. Therefore, we could expect two possibilities: firstly, the price could react to one of the marked gray demand zones, or alternatively, it could break the structure...
Currently, on the daily timeframe chart, we are within a bullish range that ranges from 26,679 to 31,170, with the latter being the liquidity point of the range. We can also see that the price reacted to the first supply zone ranging from 27,590 to 26,689, and the mitigation of this zone could indicate that we can look for new bullish ranges in favor of the daily...
Currently, on the weekly timeframe chart, we can see that the price has made an initial structural change to the upside. If it closes above the current range at 31,170 with a strong bullish candle, we could see that the double break of structure to the upside would result in a new weekly bullish trend that we could follow to anticipate a sustained and consistent...
In the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price has changed its trend to bullish. Therefore, we could look for some type of upward reaction to reach our zones of interest in higher timeframes. In this timeframe, we should wait for this range to be liquidated, either by closing above 1994 or by retracing to the zone between 1979 and 1976 to expect some kind...
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Well this looks extremely bad. To those who aren't familiar with this ETF - Product summary - Seeks to provide a moderate and sustainable level of current income. - Invests primarily in U.S. agency mortgage-backed pass-through securities issued by Ginnie Mae (GNMA), Fannie Mae (FNMA), and Freddie Mac (FHLMC). - Moderate interest rate risk, with a...
What is a Mortgage Backed Security? A Mortgage Backed Security are shares of a Special Purpose Entity (SPE) that holds mortgages. Whenever someone buys a home they usually purchase it with a mortgage. Investment Banks (underwriters) put up the capital and create a mortgage agreement with the home owner. Banks don’t want to carry the risk of mortgages...
Bravo TV, off again by over a Trillion, no mention of the Junk Co sitting on Primaries @ $50 they cannot unload. FED MBS is $2.7 Trillion. Commercial Banks hold $3.13 Trillion in MBS. Get it together. ____________________________________________ NO BID is the current arrangement, 30 Year Mortgages up from 3 to 6%. The Fed's average Maturity is 7.1 Years,...
OMBIX isn't here to show price level similar to 2008 recession, but OWNS shows enough for low income households. They are always the first in foreclosure.
It looks like it is almost ready to cross on the 45 min as well this could play out for a nice reversal bitcoin is like a box of chocolates you never know what you are going to get.
I am not anyone's financial advisor but MBS gonna hitting $3
Mortgage defaults continue to rise. Jumbo rates continue to rise. Conventional rates continue to rise. ________________________________ Jolt Cola ahead next week from the Pelican. Caffeine for Cocaine. ________________________________ The warning signs are broadening.