1 month ago today, OPEC unofficially decided that they would cut production by 32.5-33m br/day. That announcement sent oil into gains frenzy skyrocketing it to almost $52/barrel. That unofficial statement was not enough to make oil break the resistance and reach the expected price of $60/barrel. Now during the OPEC and non-OPEC members meeting in Vienna in...
Opec to cut or not to cut? * I trade Oil seldomly however this binary position caught my attention.* 1.This trade derives from my view regarding cartels - a view which follows the logic that they only work when the cartel makes an arrangement that is beneficial to all parties, wholly from a profit perspective. 2. Formal action of Reducing output is unlikely...
Opec to cut or not to cut? * I trade Oil seldomly however this binary position caught my attention.* 1.This trade derives from my view regarding cartels - a view which follows the logic that they only work when the cartel makes an arrangement that is beneficial to all parties, wholly from a profit perspective. 2. Formal action of Reducing output is unlikely...
Crude is nearing the target of 52 after the breakout of the triangle after the OPEC meeting a couple weeks ago. RSI and Stochastik are now very much overbought and even generated some sell signals. Also, as of now, there is a divergence in stochastik and RSI indicating the market is due for a correction sideways or lower. Without any fundamental news a correction...
Going long on a retest of the .32450 level (61.8 Fib Level). Pair has been bullish for a while now. OPEC news didn't do this pair any favors. Canadian Housing News comes out tomorrow. Thoughts?
USOIL has filled our limit buys to take a short term long position, while we hold our weekly buys, and the add on we took recently. We have a validation target that needs to be hit within the next 2 days now. Tomorrow and until Friday, we have very data and news heavy days, so we can expect a sizeable move here, maybe even a make or break moment for this uptrend....
Oil has a great 'Time at mode' signal, and similarly to Gold, it seems to be operating in the 8-day timeframe. After the OPEC news, we took a long position in the 45.60 region, which we're still holding with my clients. I reccomended closing half of the trade before Friday's session, and we have stops at entry price on it now. After the production cut news, price...
If we see oil hit the 47.99 handle before the close on Friday, we can expect a sizeable rally to take place. If we do break above the monthly resistance above, validating this signal, the targets are, in order of probability: 58.21, 65.63 and 80.67. Right now, this would appear like a mad man's delusion, but, it's what the chart shows as logical, and probable if...
Technical Analysis: We can see that an inverse head and shoulders pattern is developing on the weekly chart. Assuming price breaks the neckline at around 50.60, we can expect upside potential towards 60. Fundamental Analysis: OPEC agreeing on a production freeze will help to support oil prices in the near future. Also with the FOMC holding off raising...
The pattern did a great test of the PRZ and showed clear signs of reversal. There is also a divergence on RSI that points toward the same idea. The pitctchfork channel also coincides on this top. OPEC's 'agreement' created this shortly lived spike that opens a great opportunity to profit of the return to USOIL price reality.
Very similar setup with the AUDCAD and USDCAD trade ideas.
CAD strengthen across board after the recent OPEC news. Potential short opportunity @ 1.0108
We can look to enter longs against the Yen (pick your favorite cross pair). I suppose we'll see a wave of leveraging, as equities rally with the oil spark and Fed inaction until year end. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
The -6M draw on Wednesday took many by surprise, and sounds like oil is being moved around rather than being used up. The price action following the news was subdued, as if there is no enthusiasm for what would have been very bullish news under normal circumstances, given the Fed didn't hike and DXY took a steep fall. OPEC side meeting in Algiers is on Wed 28th,...
We have to keep in mind that next week we have OPEC's meeting on the 27th, and factor in that by Friday 30th, the weekly uptrend time expires, and we could expect a loss of bullish momentum, and a return to 2052.40. I think this is a lower probability occurrence, and will look to long and reasess as we go forward. Like I explain in my $SPY chart in related ideas,...
Global demand growth revised lower is downside pressure for oil and more bad news for the commodity.. Short cad or oil are firm proxies to play this. 44.7 next target lower before 43.6. Weve seen oil move 2% lower on the day already on the back of the news, more downside today may struggle but I wouldnt be surprised. Fed/ weak dollar may hinder further downside...
Today's oil stockpiles report is bullish and possibly will have positive effect on the oil price. Not really sure what caused such a draw in the supplies, but looks good. OPEC talks this month also will affect the price positively if we see some good headings. Taking these in consideration $50 oil is not so far away, so is the $UWTI price of $30. Now the bad - USD...
This trade Idea is a transfer of our open short from prior published idea. Summer is over so it's time to track our action on our daily chart. The old charts remain available but get too busy with notes. Our transferred short was entered over the last two months at an average of $47.10. Its clear that this summers consumption has done little to reduce available...