The 10 year treasury yield looks ready to resolve its multi-month consolidation triangle to the downside. There's room for another run up to the .70% area over the next couple weeks, but I ultimately believe we are heading for lower yields. Note the fairly swift rejection from the rally above the 50MA at the end of May / start of June. I'm not making any plays...
This circular relationship is leaving many analysts puzzled as to what's next for the Dollar. Weight of the evidence points to a lower Dollar for now. A truly weak US Dollar means the clocks ticking on the current bull market in Bonds and subsequently the upward trend in equities.
FX:NZDCAD AS WE ENTER THE LAST WEEK OF THE MONTH WE'VE SEEN BULLISH ACTION ACROSS NZD AND AUD BASED PAIRS POSSIBLE CONTINUATION WHILE WE ALSO COULD SEE FUTHER DOWNSIDE PRESSURE IN OIL OR CAD ITSELF DUE TO THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY AND PRINTING OF $$$$. HOLD ONTO YOUR HORSES, IT'S ONLY MONDAY TRADERS! CHEERS JOIN US IN THE TELEGRAM ANALYSIS GROUP WHILE ITS...
The second release is here! I think I am going to do this regularly, as I learn more I'm writting down a list and I release an idea with around 5 ... how to call them ... you know, the thing ;) at once. The format is I separate each you know the thing in its own paragraph, I write a small bloc, and I leave a screenshot with a summary and some comments at the...
I thought this would be fun but there is too much to look at. I think what central banks do is the main driver of price action. In 2019 the USA real GDP growth was 2.4% Japan was just 0.65%, the USA raised their rates Japan didn't move. And still USDJPY went up not down. In 2019 USA real GDP growth was 2.9% Japan 0.8%. In 2018 USA inflation was 2.44%...
The left chart below shows FXCM's dollar index (USDOLLAR) on the daily time frame. It is below its black 20-day SMA and the SMA is pointing down. The RSI is also on the bearish side of 50 (blue rectangle). This after the Fed announced unlimited QE on 23rd March. However, we note that the index has found support around the 12,480 level (green rectangle). The right...
German yields seem to be tracing intermediate wave 3 down of primary wave 5. Yields should decrease below -0.91. If the level at -0.14 is touched, this scenario should be void as primary wave 5 down may have already been completed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
www.RefiwithJustin.com if you own a home in Colorado or Texas! Monthly view of the 10 year yield here. Yield touched current levels in 2012 in anticipation of QE3. Again in June 2016 over Brexit. 3rd time in August/September of trade war. 4th - Coronavirus? I would bet this is this what initiates the break down. 10 yr around 1% or lower coming soon?
Dynamic Yield curve of interest rates Us treasury 10 Years - Yield curve of Us Treasury 2 Years , that's it a leading indicator for recession , anticipates change trend of Index Stocks Market
My previous version of this chart had a US/China trade "deal" leading to higher rates. This happened. However, the China virus out break has shocked the market and many are doubting China's ability to meet trade obligations. Plus, this virus is scary as hell. I mean, flu with modified HIV like? Is this weaponized Flu aids? Glad I'm in the middle of the US.
Il rapporto rame oro dimostra di avere delle proprieta' anticipatrici rispetto ai tassi sui titoli di stato Usa a 10 anni .
On the opposite of the 10y, the 30y fall the break the trendline of 2019, I pause may occurd with a return to 2.37% for take an impulsion to break the trendline. Long at 2.37%
Euro is not the strongest right now, and with what seems to be a currently risk favourable environment CADEUR long is a favourable addition to my portfolio. This is a pre-emptive entry before the break will still have the potential to generate alpha via the swap rate.
Inflation expectation is creeping higher in Australia. Currently, Core CPI is at 1.60, CPI Housing Utilities is increasing, the inflation rate is currently 1.7 and up 0.1 from September. With the US CPI coming out today better than expected but less than the previous reading traders have sold the US dollar. The likelihood is that the Fed keeps interest rates as...
FRS began a program of buying debt securities in the amount of 60 billion dollars per month. The ECB will soon start a similar 20 billion euro per month program. At the same time, the Fed still has the opportunity to apply additional measures to stimulate the economy. Since there is an opportunity to lower the interest rate. In other words, the Fed has steps to...