The Dow Jones Industrial to Gold ratio has reached a key resitance area near the 15 level for the completion of what we believe was corrective wave 4. We are expecting a continuation of the bearish move with the final downwave V. First target near the 2011 low of 5.69.
Sophiris Bio had a Phase III drug trial test showing the drug was not effective and the market overreacted. The chart has a cash/share value (mrq) of $1.74, the float is 16.78 Million Shares (note today's volume alone is a large part of that), so with a tiny float, more cash per share on hand than the market price, and upcoming results for new Phase III results...
Taking a recent swing low and swing high, the risk reward tool can measure potential profit to risk when stopped out and give the reward to risk ratio. Moving the mouse over the shaded area, here we see we can potentially make 375% while risking only 32.14% or in other words the ratio is 11.67, which is excellent. Any time one can use this tool to find a trade...
AS oil sells off to the down side, pattern traders have 2 shots to get involved on. First, the bear bat which is in line with the underlying bear trend. As well as a bull bat which is more clear on the 4 hour chart. Good Trading Guys
I don't typically watch oil too much but with all that's been in the news over the past few weeks how could I resist. Also being involved in the USDCAD trade that I shared with you guys last week caused me to keep one eye open as well. Anyway, despite the fundamentals (some of which are screaming short) the technicals are what matter to me most and in a heavy...
Following up on my last video XAU/USD offers another opportunity to demonstrate the various ways to use Fibonacci tools. IF price action were to break our current structure level to the upside, THEN we're looking at a potential reversal zone that offers previous structure resistance, and a Fibonacci cluster. For a more detailed explanation of my analysis on this...
The EURNZD is currently in choppy waters but i think based on my analysis, for some hope. Currently on the Gartley pattern we are at a potential AB projection to form the C leg of the Gartley pattern if that happens(as we are @ the 26-18 trade setup), we could ride the C leg to form a Gartley completion @ the PRZ, 1.5623. If this happens we could look to get long....
....Back to the Analysis… now that we’ve put in a lower low, lower close and the RSI is buried, I think 1 of 2 things will occur. Either we’ll continue straight down to the Fibonacci cluster which comes in at structure, or we’ll see some relief that will result in a retest into previous structure support which should now act as resistance. Now I would shy away...
Looking a a structure based long opportunity here as price actions looks to retest previous structure support. We've got a combination of multiple harmonic moves lining up with a Fibonacci cluster and of course structure looking left. As of now I'm waiting to see how price action reacts within this zone before committing to an entry.
A great indicator to determine the confidence (ie. risk appetite) of investors/speculators is the XLY/XLP ratio. XLY is the ETF for consumer discretionary stocks whereas XLP is the ETF for constumer staples stocks. In times of confidence, XLY should perform better than XLP because there is belief that the economy is doing well and that people will spend cash on...
I had some time on my hands so I decided to take a look at the EURUSD daily chart and an opportunity for the longer term. We have a possible AB=CD pattern (with 0.318 retracement) setting up terminating on structure level around 1.26300. Drawing Fib extensions we also have a 1.618 and 2.618 confluence at the same level. If this level holds, I'll be looking for a...
I'm a brand new trader learning technical analysis and I would love to get some feedback from more experienced traders. In this chart I saw the head&shoulders pattern. After this completed, we reached a 0.382 retracement back up and now the market is (in my humble opinion) going down to a minor structure level at the 1.272 and 1.618 extension confluence around...
Daily - Market was in downtrend from March to July, before rallying back up and stalled at 50% retracement of the downtrend. That is also a resistance zone if we look left. H4 - We can see a double top formation with price broken below the neckline around 1.09 and is now potentially retracing upward towards 61.8% fib retracement for a 2618 trade. Will be looking...
I'm looking at two things here on the EURAUD. Bigger picture is a potential bearish trend continuation trade as price action looks to make a retracement into a previous shelf of structure. Around that same level lays a potential bearish butterfly pattern completing at 1.618 & 1.272 Fibonacci confluence. Adding to that we have more ratio confluence in the form of...
It hasn't been the best of weeks for me and I'm certainly fighting through a drawdown, but that's trading for you. The way I see it is you can either continue to follow your plan and fight through it, or given in and miss the opportunities that can potentially dig you out. This isn't the best opportunity at the moment, but it could be depending on how price...