Breaking out of triangle which started on July 2016 Also a retest. Note: UK clients can't buy TMV due to new EU rules. :-(
The rate of Bonds is at a very interesting place as highlighted in the chart! In depth exploration in the video below: youtu.be
There has been a positive correlation with equities for a few months already. Aiming for some good retracements
CBOT:UD1! The UD1! is on up trend and explains where all the stock market money has gone the past week...lol. I think I understand yield curve, but missed this one. ; )
With WTI declining nearly %30 in a short time span and global growth slowing. Investors are long US TBONDS as they are willing to tolerate lower yields from bonds in anticipation of lower inflation and slowing growth. Bonds rising will have a wide ranging market influence. From yields falling, to equities under performing to Japanese investors seeking domestic...
I've been watching the 10-year treasury bill yields lately and we can see some very interesting technicals that allow us to draw a few scenarios on what could happen with rates. Above 3.413 we are likely to see a significant rise in yield, while a consolidation here would lead to more "easing" in this and other markets, globally. Jim Rickard, former general...
Typically I have seen that when everyone is on one side of the trade its quite easy for the market to make fools of the participants. The speculative short position on US treasuries, specifically the 10 year, is massive (and for good reason). While I remain a longer bear view on these treasuries I think we might end up seeing a short squeeze before we see 3%...
The 10 year treasury is the benchmark used to decide mortgage rates across the U.S. and is the most liquid and widely traded bond in the world THE 10 YEAR IS A BELLWEATHER. LOOK UP A LONG TERM CHART AND MARVEL AT 15% YIELDS IN 1981 DOWN TO AN AVERAGE 1.6 TO 2.6% 2011 TO PRESENT LOOK AT INTEREST RATES THE DAY YOU WERE BORN OR ANY OTHER SIGNIFICANT DATE IN YOUR...
Well Well Well I'm back. It seems that we've had further conformation today of both the downward channel I drew as well as the declaration the 10 year Treasury Note Yields and the DJI are in a chaotic Dionysian dance, which seems volatile, in so far as you don't find the beauty in the chaos. Todays trading shows immediate correlations if you look at the minute...
US Yield Curve ( 2 minus 10 year ) - Commitment of Traders - Futures Only - Percent of Open Interest - Legacy Format - Calculation of 10 year Non Commercial Longs minus Non Commercial Shorts with sum of 2 year Non Commercial Longs minus Non Commercial Shorts
US Yield Curve ( 2 minus 10 year ) - Commitment of Traders - Futures Only - Percent of Open Interest - Legacy Format - Calculation of 10 year Non Commercial Longs minus Non Commercial Shorts with sum of 2 year Non Commercial Longs minus Non Commercial Shorts
Entering into long position with Reward to Risk of 1.8 in US 30 years Treasury Bonds, fantastic high quality opportunity. I hope it will work out as expected!
The WEEKLY time-frame shows a bear flag. Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud as well; signals a downtrend. Action plan: Sell call options (vertical spread) when there is a pullback i.e. when the price goes up. More trading resources: www.patreon.com
I am entering a long position into long term US treasuries from a support line clearly visible on H4 and daily charts. Although the long term perspective for the price of bonds is negative due to expected rate hikes later this year and next year, on the shorter time scale (few weeks) the Treasuries seems under-priced after the strong decline last few weeks and...
The support zone at 152.05 is confirmed and well backed with strong buying activity. I am entering more aggressively at market with 1.40 Reward to Risk Ratio. If tomorrow US NFP data is negative it will additionally benefit this trade.
U.S. treasury bond yields are signalling deflation, whilst stock melt up indicating an inflationary economy. Does the bond market know something that stocks don't?
Entry plan is based on the US 30yr T-Bonds Topping Pattern . Watching the fib retrace area for a high that would establish the right shoulder within the monthly head and shoulder pattern. Quarterly bull cycle counts point towards a high during Q1 '18 which aligns with the monthly target of February '18. My trading account would welcome an earlier high with...
This is my favorite and the cleanest opportunity I have been able to find across all sectors/markets. I've been watching this develop for quite some time now and the evidence for a large sell-off into the future is piling up. The head and shoulder pattern on the quarterly/monthly is one of the best things in that pile. We saw a false break to the upside during...