us10yr

As expected it broke out. Looking good! :)

Contrary to what most people believe, 10 year yields have very little to do with the DXY, but rather acts as an outlook/sentiment with respect to the global economy. Of course there are many other things in play, however, in this impending recession that will be the major driving force for the 10 year. Moreover, plummeting yields from most other nations will...

Here I try compare period of market declination with deference of US10 years treasury yield and US 2 years treasury . As we can see, all last crisis and market declination, whenever deference between us 10 yield and 2 year yield was bearish and make valley, for 2 years or 26 months stock market have bearish trend. I think we should ready for bearish and NOT...

The growth is in danger

ZN1!: Series on Bonds- Sept 20th 2019(4-5 minute read) This is a two part analysis on the US 10 year Treasury note, the second part analyses the yield. In my opinion, technical analysis is somewhat (okay-ish) effective in analysing bond price action, especially to bonds with longer maturities. This is because they are priced in terms of private expectations....

Yields on the US-10 Year Treasury continue to head lower, as they approach a multi-year support of 1.426% (blue), a level not seen since July 2016. "Risk Off" continues to be in play.

When SP500 dividend yield greater than 10 Year US bond yield, stocks, in general, look cheap on a relative basis ... So as the chart suggests, in this current cycle only, when this happed lead to a long period of a recycle bull market for stocks...

Anybody saw $ADP hitting its ABCD completion? Trump has overshadowed the fact that US Services PMI just came in 2pts below expectations and the major auto companies have been laying off workers as inventory piles up. ADP operating margins are at -1 standard deviation levels while its valuations metrics are at +1 standard deviation into a slowing economy. 1.6%...

Looks like loan officers will be selling 2 and 3 percent fixed mortgages before long. ;) This is an update to my previous idea: If you're a fan of Fibonacci, then you're already well aware of the significance of the 1.618 and .618 lines. If you're not. Here's a super simple...

after breaking a 30 yrs bear trend line, the price went to 3 dollar zone resistance of 2014 and retraced to retest our 30 yrs trend line{bear} ...the price might stall for a while maybe six months but is on a great buy zone ,before the next bull run to 5.3 zone before an possible retracement .

Perhaps it will be the final drop before the impulse wave up.

Regardless of the fundamentals that are dominating the global economic scene (trade wars), there is an interesting long term, and rather cyclical from the looks of it, pattern developing on the U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield. The pattern is a declining Head and Shoulders formation on 1W. The last two times that the same pattern emerged (in 2017 and in 2015 -...

Here we are witnessing the minimum target from a ABC perspective since the January highs at 2.799%. This sequence from here on should be viewed as corrective and will be a shallow retrace in the broader trend. There is little support here so the key levels to watch in play remain 2.286%. We may see some choppy waters here, however, the potential to retrace as...

The Yield Curve of the Free Markets ... 10Y-30Y Combination Case.. - US Bonds maturities of 10 Year and 30 Year (long maturities) are mostly influenced by free market participants and not by the FED Funds ... at present time they are not tightening as most combinations based on more short maturities. The indicator in the chart, the combination 10Year-30Years is...

Treasury yields look to be breaking out of a triangle pattern from LT support. Pullbacks could represent a chance to join move higher

Market is currently around a number of support levels ranging from 2.796% and 2.514% => This area is going to be very difficult to break because it also includes the uptrend which started from July 2016. Here it is worth pointing out that the market has seen the leg lower via the ABC count. Consildation has kicked in for a lengthy period of time and we are set...

US Yields are likely going to follow the same path as Japanese Yields have taken over the past few decades. In this update i discuss why I believe this to be, and I also break down the chart using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci analysis to try and how this will play out.

There has been a positive correlation with equities for a few months already. Aiming for some good retracements