Oil has a nice amount of Bearish Divergence at the PCZ of a Bearish ABCD and it looks ready to break the midterm uptrend and continue down on the macro.
USO got a wild ride ahead! We're expecting the course to drop further below the support line at $63 to finish the green wave 3 before rising up again to complete green wave 4. Subsequently, the trend should continue to sink into the turquoise trading zone between $52.24 and $43.83 in order to end the correction with the turquoise wave prior to heading back North...
Crude weekly points to more downside. Breaking below 76, would be bad news and 67 would be the downside target at the end of the year. Technical indicator, MACD crossed down in bearish territory, and the VolDiv indicator turned red as it heads to the zeroline. Very dangerous when it does this... Expect more downside to the last low at 76. Critical support level there.
A few simple observations that tell of Crude falling over, despite a previous week of strong bullish price movement from OPEC cuts announcements. Weekly chart had crude price break above the 55EMA strongly the previous week with a marubozu like candlestick. However, not only did it failed resistance at 94 (dark green line); it broke back down in failure of the...
Head and shoulders on USO (proxy for USOIL) says 50 is the target. After creating a strong head and shoulders pattern, we came back slightly above the neckline - typical overshoot. Now we're making our way down again. Bounce in oil is likely over. This idea is incorrect if we get over 81.
Seasonal favors downside in crude oil. Market presented a new setup. IQ has always and will always, get all the praise; but discipline gets the job done ~Mark Ritchie Lose like a pro and keep trading, or lose like a novice and quit ~Mark Ritchie
Crude oil is breaking down, and is doign that really fast as well. Unfortunately, this is not expected to abate inflation, negligibly if at all. Part of this slide down comes from a surging USD, and the other half is the anticipation of a recession due to the spiking interest rates. The Crude futures weekly chart is all bearish, candlesticks, indicators, etc. The...
On the 4H OXY is in a long up trend in part supported by the buy of Mr. Buffett In the intermediate term as shown on the chart, it is in a slowly rising parallel channel while at present it is at the bottom of the channel sitting on the POC of the long term volume profile and near to the lower Bollinger Band. I see this as a buy low sell high opportunity, The...
Crude prices are oddly (well, perhaps not so) set to spiral down further below 80. Here is technically why it would... Light Crude Oil futures weekly chart show the recent consolidation around the weekly 55EMA, and that it appears to have broken down decisively, particularly closing at the lowest in the last 5 weeks. Technical indicators, particularly the RPM,...
USDWTI - Testing UpTrend support line. GSC - Goldman Sach Commodity index chart looks bullish too (see prior published chart for GSC).
Wholesale gasoline futures could be telling us that the driving demand is bad and just not there to support these high prices. War and geo politics is pushing Crude Oil prices up as well as the heating related products, but gasoline is trading on its own forces currently. With the rejection at around 4.00 a gallon, is the support here or are we destined to look...
Powell will put a nail to oil prices during Jackson Hole speech.
The decline in crude since March channels perfectly. This is either a pullback before another leg higher or a more drawn out consolidation (favored view). In any case, 102 looks like the next stop. 90.50-92 is support. -Jamie
Oil has run into overhead resistance at the 50 DSMA after an impressive 5 day run off the most recent lows. Does it now cower in the wake of a hawkish Powell at Jackson Hole later this week, or does it say Come and Get Me, Big Guy?!
COT Data is pointing to Crude Oil ( NYMEX:CL1! or AMEX:USO ) being primed to pop after it's seasonal downturn This is a great example where money management is key as well as not blindly using the COT data as the sole reason for entry. Personally, I have a proprietary daily chart indicator I use to enter trades where COT data is giving signals. Crude Oil has...
Initially, it appeared that Crude prices were very robust and strong. Then came a retracement after a lower high and formed a lower low, and it appeared weak (in the face of a looming recession. Missing the downside target, Crude actually appears that it found a base, just bellow the weekly 55EMA. Hint is mostly in the daily chart, where there is an obvious...
The natural gas ETF is forming a cup & handle with pivot buy at $31.60. This behavior signals a comeback for stocks in the gas industry. Some of them are NASDAQ:NFE , which I was stopped out in June. NYSE:VET and AMEX:LNG . These 4 are in the top of my watchlist. All are in confirmed uptrends and leading the sector. Several oil stocks also look good but I...