📌 Vix - Volatility An expansion of volatility is coming; the attempt to step against the flow of Covid chapter II is reckless to say the least. According to my models, we have unfinished business to be done at 85 once more. I will continue to hold longs and look to add on dips for example towards 25, or enjoy a momentum gambit when we see the breakup. ...
This is just a thing of beauty. We called this one over a week ago, and I just want to say congrats to all the bears who traded this one smart. Well done on this trade! The information and analysis shared in this post is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and research.
Short term tech analysis to be used on stocks which are beating the S&P YTD
Projected move based on a combination of chart patterns, EW hacks, and implied volatility. This would obviously imply a move lower Sunday/Monday on ES and SPX.
After the crash in March, volatility has settled down towards the bottom and is now reversing its trend. I think ~220 was the bottom, and we are set to continue higher for the coming months. Expecting a major move to the upside to happen soon as the market resumes its declines to retest the lows made a few weeks ago.
A quick update to the Vix chart as we enter into the final important NY session of the year with quadruple witching. For those tracking the previous flows we remain in the same levels with the same targets and the same flows to track: After we cleared TP1 we ran out of steam and decided to trade the retrace back towards Capitulation territory. This was enough...
I am a believer that this bear market is not over. seems unlikely to me that the longest Bull market is followed by the shortest Bear market (I stole that). Since the advent of QE and massive Central Bank stimulus programs Volatility has been suppressed significantly. Technically the VIX volatility index at ~$18 is a buy in my books. Got in last week just below...
Short UVXY via long Apr20 put debits for $2.19. POP: 68% Max loss: $892 (2.19 x 4) Max Win: $308 ROC: 34.5% over 66 days Long 24 put: 36 delta Short 21 put: 30 delta I usually let these expire ITM, as my broker TW has cheap exercise fees. In the case that it expires in between strikes, then I will have to manage them by closing on expiration day.
VVIX measures the volatility of volatility. It's an expected move in volatility, which is an expected move in stocks. Thus, it is another layer of looking at the market Last time VVIX traded above 120 was during Brexit in June 2016. This is extreme fear!
Looking for consolidation from what appear to be another bottom. Huge spike up as Eth briefly touches another bottom. These bottoms look to be very profitable and a retrace like this is healthy to form a base for a new breakout.
The best Idea to play BOJ and FOMC from a risk-averse perspective is to own both in a Long Straddle Strategy Dynamic Straddle: Long USDJPY & Short GBPJPY - TP from volatility & Event likely hoods TP levels = cannot be greedy else you may miss one trades exit point so <25 pips when it goes in your direction for each - total TP = 50pips as 2*25pips Reasoning...
Google C-Class shares i am bullish over the 6-12m, hence I am buying any 5-10% pull backs from highs. Goog has been moving sideways but i think it has just started a cycle higher, in which it is about to make a higher low at 710-15 before moving up again to 750+ 715-750 is a 5% move hence i am interested in buying at this price with reward skewed something 1.5:1...
Has sold off 33% in last few days because of secondary offering. Seemed to put in good support at 8.00 level.