Short SVXY starter position. Short SVXY shares is superior to credit spread IMO. Not quite ready to add to UVXY calls yet.
I have tried to add the indicators I want into the free version of TradingView. This gives auto Fib levels, 4 EMA's 20,34,55, 100,200, RSI with divergence, Stoch RSI, MACD with crossover points, and just normal VOL. I am pretty new at this but thought I would share anyway, any ideas on how I can improve this would be great! Thanks
Upbeat economic data and further progress in economic recovery will lead to decrease in the market volatility over time. Because of that we would like to set our short term price target for VIX to 15 USD. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking...
damn there it goes to 3m for sure, such rise
📌 Vix - Volatility An expansion of volatility is coming; the attempt to step against the flow of Covid chapter II is reckless to say the least. According to my models, we have unfinished business to be done at 85 once more. I will continue to hold longs and look to add on dips for example towards 25, or enjoy a momentum gambit when we see the breakup. ...
This is just a thing of beauty. We called this one over a week ago, and I just want to say congrats to all the bears who traded this one smart. Well done on this trade! The information and analysis shared in this post is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and research.
Short term tech analysis to be used on stocks which are beating the S&P YTD
Projected move based on a combination of chart patterns, EW hacks, and implied volatility. This would obviously imply a move lower Sunday/Monday on ES and SPX.
After the crash in March, volatility has settled down towards the bottom and is now reversing its trend. I think ~220 was the bottom, and we are set to continue higher for the coming months. Expecting a major move to the upside to happen soon as the market resumes its declines to retest the lows made a few weeks ago.
A quick update to the Vix chart as we enter into the final important NY session of the year with quadruple witching. For those tracking the previous flows we remain in the same levels with the same targets and the same flows to track: After we cleared TP1 we ran out of steam and decided to trade the retrace back towards Capitulation territory. This was enough...
A good time to update the infamous "Capitulation Waters" chart idea, let's start with a recap: This chart came after an update from the previous +40% swing which we traded live in Vix earlier in the September... By now we should all be feeling connected to the flows and know exactly where we are headed from here. As we dip our toes into the Capitulation...
Vol completed the grind towards the "Capitulation Waters" as widely anticipated: We are now tracking the response as cascading takes place. Escalation in range breakouts look likely, I think from here Vix losses are to be limited as market focus shifts back to risk events such as Brexit.I favour tactical long Vol as investors are likely to starting hedging to...
I am a believer that this bear market is not over. seems unlikely to me that the longest Bull market is followed by the shortest Bear market (I stole that). Since the advent of QE and massive Central Bank stimulus programs Volatility has been suppressed significantly. Technically the VIX volatility index at ~$18 is a buy in my books. Got in last week just below...
Short UVXY via long Apr20 put debits for $2.19. POP: 68% Max loss: $892 (2.19 x 4) Max Win: $308 ROC: 34.5% over 66 days Long 24 put: 36 delta Short 21 put: 30 delta I usually let these expire ITM, as my broker TW has cheap exercise fees. In the case that it expires in between strikes, then I will have to manage them by closing on expiration day.
VVIX measures the volatility of volatility. It's an expected move in volatility, which is an expected move in stocks. Thus, it is another layer of looking at the market Last time VVIX traded above 120 was during Brexit in June 2016. This is extreme fear!
Looking for consolidation from what appear to be another bottom. Huge spike up as Eth briefly touches another bottom. These bottoms look to be very profitable and a retrace like this is healthy to form a base for a new breakout.