VIX is holding its resistance; expect a dive down to the 15.50-16.50 level Maj resistance box is holding well and the price is in topping formation
Mister X marked the spot. He did it again in January of 2023. And apparently, he called it again. Unfortunately for the markets, mister X has a double identity. Mr. ❎ = Mr. ➡️ (mister x is my homie mister right) Classic technical analysis proves them right. 1. Volatility VIX is compressing, forming a triple bottom. (amongst other taboo signals) 2....
SPX is plowing through higher highs. It is a runaway train. Have you entered that train yet? You better enter it because SPX will soar! But runaway trains have the fate of collapsing in on themselves. Their weight is too much for the foundation to sustain. Not all is SPX. VIX is also attempting to measure the risk involved in SPX. And VIX is as bullish as it...
Very interesting picture I can see right now. #VIX is dumping, VVIX also, but Put/Call ratio is about to pump on Monthly TF. Either SPX will make the last pump UP and then will dump until 4280$ or SPX will continue pumping as did AAPL and NVDIA these months.
Looking ahead to the upcoming week and my market outlook: Let's begin by examining the yield curve spread, which consistently correlates with the bear steepener. This spread provides us with a valuable timetable or countdown, usually spanning 1-3 months before a breakout occurs. When this breakout happens, it typically signifies that the market has already...
At the current channel resistance. If it sustains, that's extremely bearish.
I have posted about this chart before, but I wanted to show it more clearly this time. Above we see SPX, the standard chart. Below we see a custom index I invented, which is VVIX/VIX. It is a neat way to make sense of the chaotic nature of VIX. To clear things out, I have hidden both charts and instead I show an indicator called WLSMA. It is tremendously helpful...
Every time RSI has reached the 30 level it has bounced aggressively. With the recent fall of #kingdollar, stocks & crypto spike, & $VIX crush, I expect a REVERSAL PATTERN with a SURGE IN VOLATILITY. If margin calls get triggered we could see a MASSIVE WATERFALL SELLOFF in RISK "assets". Protect your #kingdollar. HEDGED with for CRISIS with $UVIX $UVXY. GL.
Treasury yield is the effective annual interest rate that the U.S. government pays on one of its debt obligations, expressed as a percentage. Put another way, Treasury yield is the annual return investors can expect from holding a U.S. government security with a given maturity. Treasury yields don't just affect how much the government pays to borrow and how much...
The weekly ADX indicator is sitting at 8 (NO TREND) at the same time VVIX reached it's lowest value since March 2017. EXTREME COMPLACENCY can be presumed. A market without fear is DANGEROUS. Either markets continue higher in the face of continuing rate hikes & QT or markets SELLOFF & VIX spikes catching everyone offsides. I go with the latter. Expecting VVIX...
It is actually a pair I decided to use, no reason behind it, just testing stuff. The behavior of VVIX*VIX is very similar to what happened in 2008. Is a crash coming or are they messing with our heads? Maybe they orchestrated it so similar to confuse us into thinking we are falling.
I have posted many times regarding volatility, especially the VVIX&VIX relationship. There are times when mechanisms need to activate to stabilize the economy, the psychology, the society. Recessions, wars, pandemics are periods that may justify such actions. It is wise for an investor to understand pressures and their direction. The motto "Don't fight the FED"...
We are all familiar when a bear market starts. The fear instantly hits us, the cold sweat. We've all been there... To study bear markets and crashes, we need to study human psychology. Curiously, it is very predictable. This is your mind, my mind, everyone's mind. Either you go through depression, either through financial disaster, it is the same. I tried...
My work posted a few days back call for a drop to below 20 .Today we saw this and I was 85 % plus net long goint into this morning in trow spy qqq smh aapl and calls I HAVE SOLD EVERYTHING net gain 3.5 to 4.6 % I am now back to 100 % cash the net gain for 2022 is now back above 64.2 % . I stated this rally would be very strong into jan 3/10 2023 ...
I would like to do some qualitative analysis on VVIX/VIX, and it's behavior/effect on markets. We will try to pinpoint some "wave types". A. The most consistent/stable growth for SPX occurs in times of stable VIX and stable VVIX. Their ratio remains the same. B. At times of decreasing VIX and increasing VVIX, we have an unstable, impulsive upwards wave. This...
VIX is a measure of volatility. It takes the last 30 days of SPX, and measures it's variance. I would guess that VVIX does the exact same thing to VIX, it takes the recent 30 days of VIX, and measures it's variance. These two, along with SKEW are some of the methods investors calculate risk. I don't have the technical/financial knowledge on the ways investors can...
Believe it or not - The Stocks volatility index (VIX) has it's own Volatility index (VVIX) - and if we compare the two, it looks like VVIX has touched onceagain bottom trendline - how did that reflect on VIX? VIX bottoming was always delayed for 9 to 100+ days after VVIX bottomed. What to expect ? That in an average range of 40+ days VIX should bottom and start...
The chart is one which I have talked about for sometime . The vix of the vix NO ONE IS BUYING CALLS in the VIX . fear greed back to 50 % Each time they were shorting vix calls As is Now The pivot bet ! Bull trap set in the indexes