There is a great deal to be concerned about speaking broadly. Price erased 35 days of gains quickly - the first warning. Asia continues to absorb Dollars at a higher than usual rate. We have a very Large Lick setting up in VX Complex, one that will provide extremely large gains into August and through October. VXQ - 1975 1955 1935 1920 1895 are the levels to...
There is far more to "markets" than Charts. Risks appear as IF unknown when all eyes are focused upon Charts - this has been demonstrated time and again. Yet it remains mostly ignored. There are immense Risks to the Equity Complex. Today is a Prime Example of Wall Street getting its fills for the upcoming correction - it will be swift, violent and...
Idea for VIX: - VIX finally has touched pre-COVID levels. The debt and margin fueled recovery is complete. - Markets hitting ATH's every day (nearly a record for days in a row). - Yet every warning is flashing, market components are down, yet indices grind up on low volume. - Liquidity is flowing out, tapering has already begun, global credit impulse is negative,...
NQ at potential support. Looks like NDX will open lower Thursday . . . and it was somewhat expected that futures would gravitate lower considering VXN closed in no-mans-land today. . . anticipating a tap of VXN at the 36 level resistance and then NDX to the upside. PCC is within normal levels indicating to me that there is little panic and/or bearish sentiment...
We all know the market is overdue for a correction. Many market makers estimate an approximately 10% sell off - corresponding to a +/- 30% sell off in TQQQ. VXN and VIXY are setting up for a potential volatility breakout +/- Feb 02. Potential catalyst could be an underwhelming NFP? Rising corporate bond yields may also put pressure on valuations.
VIX next wave down starting.. consistency identified. Chart self explanatory. Expect major sell-off and market continual upwards momentum. Short /VXX
NDX looks like it could find support at ~11,000 for the following reasons. 1) Potential Trend Line Forming; Break toward the top 2) I have the 2 Stdev Bollinger bands plotted: Price action is at the lower limit at this moment and could present buying pressure from the many who use this metric for entry points. 3) Fib levels show a retracement level at about...
Odds still in favor of a big downward movement but timing is the tricky part. Between election uncertainty and COVID 19 Wave 2 a lot of sht could go down soon and quick!
People out here actin' like predicting the future is easy! I'm just on my grind layin down some novel trading ideas. Take it or leave it. UVXY definitely caught a right hook to the chin today but as I made clear in my new RSI Model idea, this type of melt down swing dip typically precedes a spike and it could be exactly what we're seeing here given a lot of data...
Got so caught up in SPX I neglected the Volatility Matrix! Haven't even peeked since my last post weeks ago but everything looking great still. We have Large BUYs on all 4 of these + VXN with only one of the 5 having any significant SELL signals, VIX, with a Small SELL and brief Short Entry Window (but still leaning pretty BULLISH overall). This suggests an even...
Today may have been just the turning point we were lookin for to precede a volatilty spike taking off later this week. Right now the model is only marginally more bullish than Neutral but is the last place we were looking for near term confirms as the bigger picture is still quite bullish for volatility. At the 2H this turn has only just begun so it is only weak...
Still a lot of call option buyers out there. Another leg down will probably decrease the implied volatility and reduce the gap between VIX and VXN.
VXN at the daily view. This is a project that my trading team and I are conducting. This is 3 of 9 charts (available on Trading View) that searches for clues for an imminent correction by using both June and September 2020 cases. It's a comprehensive overview that connects the charts volatility, trends, divergences, credit, and currency strength. In this chart,...
VIX broke out and closed above its 2-month trend line today. When it did this in June, it rose 70% subsequently.
Today we got Small Buy signals on UVXY, VIX and VXN and an entry confirm window on VVIX on 4H. Volatility bullishness already pretty strong but increasing little by little each day with each new confirm.
My Volatility Matrix model is indicating high odds of an incoming volatility spike. We're lookin for a confirm with break and close above the yellow line. Meanwhile we have this cool data supporting a high chance of volatility: 1. UVXY: 1 x LB, 9 x Entry Window, 2 x SBs straddling 1 x SS, 1 x LL (Very Bullish) 2. VIX: 1 x LB, 1 x SB, 2 x LL (Very Bullish) 3....
VXN at the daily. The VXN refuses to close below 25. According to the PCQ, the P/C ratio for the NQ is at 0.62. With that many calls on the NQ, the VXN is recognizing this as excess greed. What's stopping the VXN from really acting out? High liquidity or a lot of available cash below. So as long as liquidity remains strong, the VXN will only make small jumps...
Today we have: 1 x BUY entry window UVXY 3 x LL confirms VVIX/VXN/VIX 3 x SB confirms UVXY/VIX/VVIX 2 x LB confirms UVXY/VIX Seems like a good entry point, would love to see a SB at least on the VXN to increase confidence a tad more but probably not necessary here. See the OG idea for theory details: Indicators by @avacamir