GS was clear signs of buying or bullish absorption earlier this year. Early April GS pullback to test and define the number of "weak hands" that were remaining. The test produced very little selling and resulting in price finding bids into resistance. Now that the "gap" is closed there appear to be very little demand and a weak close for the week would imply...
2 months ago I posted on XLF suggesting the top was likely in (see link below). As I review the recent price action I think it is is mostly likely forming a triangle before a final major drop. My intermediate term target is on the daily chart. I don't know if it will stop at the long term uptrend line or go on to close the gap. Take care. Good trading to you....
I am seeing bullish ascending/asymmetrical triangles forming on BAC and C, and rising wedges on WFC and JPM's hourly charts. Predicting positive reactions to economic data and interest rates in the upcoming weeks.
XLF WEAKNESS / JPM SHORT AFTER iH&S RALLY Clean trendline touch. Not going to catch a bid here. Inverse Head & Shoulder typically rallies to 786 retrace- which coincides w/ upper trendline. Great short opp. Options could be used to gear up on JPM, or, buy some puts on the XLF if you can't afford it. Would be looking to buy premium here, not be a writer..IV is...
XLF WEAKNESS / BRK.B H&S TOP Straight-forward H&S top.
The U.S. dollar went bid following rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials that a potential rate hike could occur in June, following hotter than expected inflation data. However, after posting on pending technical weakness here, the dollar has retreated slightly over the last few days. Price action as traded neatly within a descending channel on the daily chart,...
DFS is offering an interesting setup in the monthly, daily and 65 min charts. We can clearly see the reaction to the news has been positive and can expect continuation into the highs. Target on chart is derived from monthly price action, the stop from the daily, and we use the 65 min timeframe to get a clear picture of the price action around the news. All 3...
Oil price recovery has been mostly driven by USD related factors and so the fundamentals are still not where they need to be and the chronic oversupply continues. The banks with the largest energy debt exposure have felt the squeeze as a result and remain relatively risky. This chart shows the performance of the banks with the largest declared Energy debt...
I'd say closer to a short than a long, but we still need a clearer picture. A break 24.5/25 would be bullish, a break below 20 or so, bearish. THink we will move one way or the other in the coming months based on important fundos such as Spanish Election, Brexit, US election, China, etc.
See post 4 days ago. Gap was closed. Bear market in financials likely starting I believe. This chart shows interesting Fibonacci relationships and channel. In EWT "B" waves not infrequently are triangles. In this case I believe an expanding triangle. Could use this weeks high or down trend line as stop. Take care
The RSI-ROC I believe is even more sensitive to reversals and divergences than the RSI. When you get a negative reversal followed by a bearish divergence as we have now (and had in November) often a significant fall follows. The gap has not completely closed so there could still be a small bounce up to close it. Well see. Just the same it all looks bearish to...
Nice R/R here. @allstarcharts has a great blog post on XLF poised to outperform over intermediate time frame.
Ideal entry 22.75 and then bounce
A series of events took place causing me sit back and contemplate market participants (in)sanity. First, it is known that I've was one of the first to stick my neck out and tell it how it is – the U.S. Is facing a recession in 2016 – last April. Soon after, various investment banks flirted with the potential but gave the very realistic situation very low...
Traders have seen this before, and it continues to play out as the global economic climate breaks down. Although these pullbacks in the SPX are often lofty and swift, it is important to realize volume is the most import factor when considering the validity of a pullback. Here , we can see that the move in SPY is volumeless. The entire squeeze from the Feb. 11...
I'm long JPM. There is a nice bullish divergence working. Ryan
CNBC has loved to refer the recent pullback in the SPX as the "Dimon Bottom" because CEO Jamie Dimon purchased roughly $26 million worth of JPM shares. However, it's not looking for those wanting to hold to believe in the recovery dream. Whether investors want to believe it or not, the U.S. economic cycle is rolling over; and, considering the very high...