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XLF

Bearish Divergence on US DollarThis is a long term monthly chart of the US Dollar. There was a bullish divergence back in the 1980's that preceded a long term strengthening dollar throughout the 90's. There's a bearish divergence that started in 2014 and is intact today. I don't like to put to much emphasis on inter-market analysis because it can cause paralysis by analysis. However, wouldn't this question the breakouts we see in banks? Would this confirm the breakout we're seeing in energy continuing from last year? If the dollar does weaken even with higher interest rates does that mean that inflation is here to stay? I have no idea. LOL. I'm no economist but I think this chart is interesting. Thoughts?
TVC:DXY
by Breakout_Charts
7
Week 4: Sector ETF Expectations I use sector ETFs in my IRA account. Currently, I hold XOP and XLF, and I wish I held XLE. I will try to buy XLP (Which shouldn't be a problem) next week. For Week 4, I'm expecting XLF to firm up and XOP to come in a bit. XLE would be kind to give me an entry point at prior resistance/ support, but we'll see. Oil looks darn strong at the moment. XLF (Held), hurt me Friday, but held support. XLE on fire XOP (Held), can it hang on and break through resistance?
AMEX:XLP
by SpartyPA28
JPMorgan ChasePotential double bottom setup here. I like this companies financials. It's a credit card company so I'm thinking about the attractiveness of reward points and holiday spending. Even though it's not estimated to be a great holiday season for some, I'm more so thinking about the surcharges and end of month billing here. Chase is also a bank on top of that and just in case they raise interest rates, this may not be a bad move. I want us to reach anywhere between 50-68% of the previous high which was set inn October. I love financials around this time of the year. Let's see what happens! Not Advice! Only an Idea! This trade may end up going wrong. That's the nature of trading! Let's keep getting better!
NYSE:JPMLong
by Redimere_91
$XLF: Long financials now...We have a tremendous signal to go long financial names now, as the yield curve is set to steepen once again and yields are rising on the back of the last FOMC meeting outcome, and the reopening momentum generated by the evolution of the Delta variant, and news of an antiviral pill from Merck that can cause a 50% reduction of fatalities and hospitalizations that recently surfaced. Charts are very constructive, as the $USB one I pointed out. I'm currently long a variety of value/financials/energy names as well as crude oil futures options for a while now, since AAII readings sunk below 25% recently. Now the broad market chart looks like a bottom is forming, and today a buy signal popped in $XLF, so the time is now! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:XLFLong
by IvanLabrie
5
$USB: Monster setupAll timeframes are setting up for a big move in $USB here, daily is kicking off a fresh uptrend after the recent bottom, weekly and monthly are about to trigger a trend as well, and by EOY the yearly will flash a 10 year uptrend signal which aims for somewhere between $220 and over $1600 per share by the year 2030. I think overall, the return vs risk proposition here is tilted significantly in our favor to buy both speculative swing positions, as well as potential long term positions too. Keep a close eye on this setup, might be extremely rewarding and it is extremely low risk considering the potential upside at hand... Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:USBLong
by IvanLabrie
Potential Opportunity - Patience PaysPreviously I wrote a brief note explaining caution for the US Banking industry as illustrated by XLF. This is due to: - market risk of a broader market pullback - as currently being experienced - impact from Covid-19 variants like Delta etc., - the cumulation of record high bank reserves (cash) which serve to stress Bank Capital and Capital adequacy ratios. These reserves have been building up due to the FED's policy of buying Bonds in the market. Once sold, the vendor banks cash at a Bank which severs to increase the Bank's liabilities. The FED has tried to mitigate this effect by using reverse repos - which is ridiculous - it should stop the buying / QE ie the naughty word - Taper!!! :) The opportunity to be long includes: - market risk subsides as debt ceiling is mitigated. - infrastructure bill goes through which is GDP positive. - further recovering of the US and European economies noting n increased travel facilitated by increased vaccination rates. - Bank capital being strong as it is, has seen some Banks start to sell assets which have a lower capital rating (for the purposes of capital measurement) and will eventually open the door to strong lending programmes noting the prior comment. - still good fiscal support - so economy, GDP and the broader market is growing. In other words a decent credit cycle may ensue which will be very positive for Banks and of course XLF. However - Patience Pays!!! Buying in smalls around key support areas and build a position - no 'binary' trading.
AMEX:XLF
by Adam-Cox