Not a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP +...
Russian stock Market in dollar terms has suffered unspeakable losses. Let's break it down. Since 2008 (15 years ago) down -60% Since 2011 (12 years ago) down -50% Since 2021 (2 years ago) down -45% Anyone who bought Russia since 2005 has not only lost in nominal price but has also suffered massive losses against inflation. More info. I wrote here USDRUB...
Russian large Investment company AFK Systems has nice technical potential for at least one more bullish leg up towards 19-21 region. Price could have ended its correction started in Aug'23 and could be forming the bottom of the new cup. In order to confirm this scenario, we need price to first hold its Sep's low at 16.60 and move decisively above its 50D MA,...
Record new account openings on MoscowExchange during 2023, has played its role in almost 90% stock advance since the year start. The stock and volume dynamics show strong uptrend with good signs of accumulation on a weekly chart. My chart analysis shows, that price has reached an important resistance zone of its strongest uptrend wave 3 at around 182 area...
The actuality of cybersecurity for Russia in the absence of global brands becomes even sharper and provides unique opportunities for the best local provider to capture growing market share. Stock price technical perspective still illustrates strong up-trend, with some caution signals to be mindful about if one decides to trade it. On a weekly time-frame,...
... Russian labor market is far from being week. Due to massive wave's extensions beyond classic fibonacci levels, I am not placing big confidence on my EW count, but solely from market price and volume dynamics there is an argument to be made for price starting new advance to at least prior Sep's highs. Although, I am not a fan of big late-August weekly...
The world's largest producer of nickel and palladium has had rather lackluster performance in 2023 advancing half as the general Russian Index. And still I cannot get over his accurate price structure that hints that better days are potentially ahead. I want the price to start forming the right side and later the handle of a cup, and break out above...
IRAO has very nice wave pattern and proper reaction to every relevant zone of support and resistance measured by fibonacci levels. It is yet hard to be sure that corrective wave iv has ended and the price is already on its wave to higher resistance zone, but on cannot fully negate this either. Trading thesis : Until price is bellow Sep's high 4.65, move...
We are on a bull wave that started somewhere around 72.5. I have en eye on the dates of 12 and 30 to 31 with an interest in the type of candlesticks that will be formed. I also marked 3 price levels in case any candlestick shadows will appear near them. The main question should be: where will this bullish wave end? or when. If it's not the end, is there an...
7th October 2023 Synopsis: Despite the conflict in Ukraine, Gazprom revenue is growing and currently on its historical high while price dropped to the 2016 level in US dollars. Price to the assets including oil subsidiary is on very low level. Large buyers started accumulating position according to Accum/Dist indicator. Entry: 1st- 1.5 USD (160 RUB), 2nd - 1.12...
MAGN had a nice run since Oct22 advancing +157% since the bottom to recent Sep's top. Is the rally over, or do we have at least one more advance potential? My technical thesis supports the latter. I don't have high confidence in my ElliotWave count on this chart, due to price extensions beyond classical fibonacci levels, but from pure price and volume...
... to be payed. Although the decision is not yet certain due to redomiciliation of head-company Evraz not yet launched by the management, my ElliotWave projection and price and volume analysis, shows that at least one more move higher to Aug's high and even beyond to 430-460 area could be considered by local short-term swing traders and or even position...
YNDX has landed perfectly into the lowest border of my ideal support zone of my wave (iv) projection. Until 2320 holds, I will expect the price to: 1. Move above the short-term 8/21 EMA and long 50D MA and 10W MA; 2. Form the right side of the cup with buying volume predominating above any selling volume; 3. Any low-cheat/cheat or handle area break-out pivot to...
My macro work on Russian MOEX Index illustrates how ElliotWave in conjunction with major fibonacci retracements can be useful in providing the context or the operational frame work for every investor and trader to operate and execute one's strategy. Starting from the market Oct'98, we may observe how the price structure has accurately finished its cyclical...
From a both, technical and fundamental perspectives, It looks like Russian metalurgic and extraction complex sets-up for the next wave higher in this Q4, or maybe early next year. Maybe it is because of rubble current and future potential weakness, or because of the dividend that these companies (CHMF, MAGN, NLMK etc) pay or are planning to, we may observe...
Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of GAS FUTURES from the weekly timeframe perspectives. Since events of the last year 2022 pumped the GAS FUTURES with an inflationary demand shock to unnatural new highs it heavily reversed this dynamic and GAS FUTURES converted into a massive sell-out with a hugely inclined bear-market supply-dynamic that printed several...
We believe RTS could go 500 points higher in two weeks.
We see small opportunistic trade in IMOEX. Stop is 3000 points psychological level and the target is recent high level of 3288.40 points. Current price before the opening bell is 3051.90. As always it is better to take money from the trade if something goes wrong.