VincePrince

GAS FUTURES, BEAR-MARKET-Wedge Will Print the NEXT -80% DROP!

VincePrince Updated   
MOEX:NG1!   Natural Gas Futures
Hello There!

Welcome to my new analysis of GAS FUTURES from the weekly timeframe perspectives. Since events of the last year 2022 pumped the GAS FUTURES with an inflationary demand shock to unnatural new highs it heavily reversed this dynamic and GAS FUTURES converted into a massive sell-out with a hugely inclined bear-market supply-dynamic that printed several bearish momentum determinations and liquidated positions in a record pace, this happened not only because the whole gas futures have been altered by the massive bear price-action accelerations. Now, GAS FUTURES did not nearly recover from this massive bearish pullback and there is still a lot of supply within the market ready for execution.

Paramount Formations Being the Origin of the Gigantic Price-Action Volatility:
When looking at my analysis, there it is marked, that GAS FUTURES completed the momentous bubble top as of August 2022 and from there on continued with the heavy bearish decline, completing the gigantic bearish ascending wedge formation firstly before the enormous gigantic -80% bearish dump towards the downside printed the major bearish wave C within the whole bearish wave count. From there on GAS FUTURES did not manage to recover and form a substantial reversal, rather GAS FUTURES kept within the lower levels to form the next crucial continuation formation within the level which is an ascending wedge continuation setup. Such a formation in almost all of the cases is marking the continuation setup of the next severe bearish trend wave towards the downside.

Current Formational Dynamics and What to Expect From the Formational Structure:
Since February 2023 GAS FUTURES have already continued with the completion of this ever-so-crucial continuation formation which is marking the actual wave C within this massive bearish trend. Especially, as the GAS FUTURES are about to complete this crucial wedge formation with the wave count to emerge into the final breakout below the lower boundary this is going to set up the next major wave C drop towards the bearish direction and in this case the next massive -80% drop will be inevitably confirmed. Also, not only because GAS FUTURES will have completed this critical wedge formation, but there are major resistances within the whole chart structure marked by the 50EMA, 25EMA, and descending trend line resistances. This means that always when GAS FUTURES touch these resistance levels continued pullbacks are going to be indicated.

Upcoming Events and Determinations to Expect With the Established Setups:
The next times will be extremely crucial for GAS FUTURES because of the fact that more and more long positions are still in line to be executed because of the inflationary pumps seen in the last year many speculations have been made about massive price increase however as this dynamic turned now there is still a lot of bearish volume waiting in the lines. There are several factors underlining the bearish scenario and these are so overwhelmingly accurate that a reversal is not in any case a possible scenario here. Taking the upcoming massive wave extension into the global perspective it can even extend further beyond the target levels marked in my chart, especially when the wave extension reaches such momentum as it has been seen already within the wave A before. Once the targets have been reached further assumptions need to be made, in this case, according to the determined dynamic the bearishness will be so present that a reversal possibility is declining quite massively.

Because of the significance of this whole development with GAS FUTURES, I am going to monitor the condition further within the next time especially as the final breakout can be completed with other important underlying factors to alter the whole market condition again. A supply increase within the GAS FUTURES is likely to accelerate the main dynamics here. Nonetheless, a major drop within the whole GAS FUTURES does not mean the energy sector is completely bearish, it has to be distinguished between GAS FUTURES and other assets within the sector market. In any case, it will be an important dynamic to keep up to date with.

In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of GAS FUTURES. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.

VP
Comment:
UPDATE: A massive supply distribution above the average level is likely to accelerate a major bearish breakout once it emerges in the next time.
Comment:
UPDATE: A massive ongoing supply shortage can cause a multiplying of the bearish wedge completion breakout by a factor of 4x intensifying heavy bearish momentum.
Comment:
ANALYSIS UPDATE: The bearish volume on the local term has already accelerated recently indicating a major breakout is primed to emerge also on the global perspective.
Comment:
UPDATE: The positive thing about entering a short-side trade is that the price action in a downtrend is moving much faster than in an uptrend which can lead to massive gains in a short period of time.

Especially, with the ongoing GAS FUTURES dynamic this effect can multiply its full potential once the massive bearish acceleration emerges.
Comment:
ANALYSIS UPDATE: GAS FUTURES is continuing with major pullbacks of the 25-EMA and marking it as the main resistance.

A final pullback below the lower boundary of the wedge is going to mark it as the main resistance together with the 25-EMA resistance.
Comment:
ANALYSIS UPDTE: With a massive GAS Supply to be dumped into the market this is also going to increase the GAS FUTURES bearish edge.
Comment:
ANALYSIS UPDATE: A sharp drop below the 1.9 mark will accelerate the bearish momentum heavily so that the next -80% bear-market will be inevitable.
Comment:
ANALYSIS UPDATE: GAS FUTURES approach the main structure upper boundary resistance indicating a huge pullback condition to emerge in the next times.

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