Reversal in the DAXThis day we face inflation data in several euro zone countries, including Germany. In the American session, ECB member Isabel Schnabel will issue a statement. The German representative argues that rates should be maintained as they are at least until June, but it remains to be seen whether the presidency will heed the recommendations of the Executive Board. As early as February, she suggested that the long period of high inflation would force us to adopt a "stop-and-go" policy similar to that of the 1970s, promoting caution and not adjusting the ECB's policy stance prematurely. We will see if the German will change her mind once the German market regains its tone in the direction of economic growth. If we focus on the chart, currently the DAX position (Ticker AT: GER40), is bearish, partly due to the poor industrial production data and the performance of the German market in general. As well as Germany's difficulty in selling to its key market which is the United States, as its exports have declined. On May 10 there was a bearish correction figure and signal, also signaled by the RSI, and it is true that it has been continuing during this week in a gradual way, possibly in anticipation of the ECB statements. At this moment, it would be foreseeable for the index to return to its last bullish support in the 18277.38 zone if the market loses its positive tone. If the German market x-ray for the summer is more positive, there could be a rebound in the 18603 points zone and try to find again the highs at 18844 points. Currently the RSI is slightly oversold, and the price bell indicates a downward continuation as the bell has a very marked figure with a checkpoint well below the bullish support zone at 17950 points. Ion Jauregui - AT Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk. GShortby ActivTrades2
2024-05-16 - a daily price action after hour update - dax/Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Bulls rallied to another ath where many of them took profits and bears began shorting after a lower high. The selling on bigger volume into the close is a sell signal going into tomorrow. Bulls have to break out of the formed bear channels to make bears doubt the highs might be in. Since tomorrow is Opex, everyone is max bullish and VIX is at the lows, we could be in for a surprise tomorrow. dax comment: Bear trend from before the open, after Globex made a new ath 19006. Since it’s the end of the week, the open, low and high prices of the week are important to watch. I always mark them on my charts when they occur. current market cycle: trading range - bulls broke 19000 but no follow through, if we close this week below 18900, we got a higher high but inside a trading range and odds favor that we trade down to 18000 again. key levels: 18738 - 19006 bull case: Bulls began to take profits and today’s selling was without any stop which makes me believe that big institutions are off-loading their positions while they can. Low of the week was 18738 and that should be bulls last hope for tomorrow. If they can not hold that level, we probably trade down to 18600 and below that is 18400. bear case: Bears created a sell signal on the daily chart going into tomorrow. The weekly and monthly charts now show big tails above and if we can close below 18900, that would be a second rejection of that level on the weekly chart. Last time we made a new ath we sold off for 1280 points so that is my base assumption for the next weeks. short term: Bearish - But can see a retest of the highs if bulls break strongly above the 1h 20ema tomorrow. 18738 must hold or we could crash down. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged trade of the day: EU open could not get a close above the 15m 20ema and had many tails above bars. Could have sold anywhere with stop new ath.Shortby priceactiontds3
Elliott Wave Intraday on DAX Shows Incomplete Bullish SequenceShort Term Elliott Wave in DAX suggests that the Index ended wave (4) pullback at 17626.54. From there, it rallies higher in wave (5) as a nesting impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (4), wave ((i)) ended at 18226.32 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 17795.96. The Index then nested higher within wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 18235.80 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 17875.98. Wave (iii) higher ended at 18845.86 and wave (iv) pullback is proposed complete at 18706.08. Expect the Index to rally higher in wave (v) to complete wave ((iii)). Potential target for wave (v) is 123.6 – 161.8% external retracement of wave (iv). This area comes at 18877 – 18930. Afterwards, it should pullback in wave ((iv)) to correct cycle from 4.25.2024 low before another high again in wave ((v)) to end wave 1. Then it should do a larger degree correction in wave 2 to correct cycle from 4.19.2024 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 17626.54 low stays intact, expect any pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.by Elliottwave-Forecast1
Exhausted?We've reached a new high at the end of the past week. This week the market seems to be waiting, taking breath. This may mean that at the moment there is no immediate buying interest. An upcoming profit taking may lead to a sharp drop. After such a sharp rise it is not unusual that some profit taking of short term oriented market participants will take place.Shortby motleifaul1
ger40 buy setupger40 taped into the demand zone 15 choch 1m choch entry on fvg Longby katlegoselwane573
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level and Elliot waves Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). ---------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 has shifted from a neutral trend to a bullish one and moved into an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 18,789, now well above the previous VWAP of 18,157. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 17,493 and 18,790, respectively. The RSI has significantly increased to 72, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment. UK 100 remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price rising to 8,426, now above the previous VWAP of 8,181. Support has increased to 7,888, while resistance has risen to 8,475. The RSI has escalated to 81, reflecting a continued strong build-up of bullish sentiment. Wall Street has shifted from a neutral to a bullish trend and remains in an impulsive phase, with the price rising notably to 39,529, which is well above the previous VWAP of 38,448. The support and resistance levels have adjusted to 37,371 and 39,529, respectively. The RSI has risen to 68, signalling an increase in bullish momentum. Brent Crude remains in a bearish trend but has transitioned back to an impulsive phase, with the price decreasing slightly to 82.47, now below the previous VWAP of 84.95. Support has adjusted lower to 80.61, while resistance has decreased to 89.29. The RSI has remained nearly stable at 34, indicating continued bearish momentum. Gold has shifted from a positive to a neutral trend and continues to consolidate, albeit with an upwards bias, with the price increasing slightly to 2,351, now above the previous VWAP of 2,329. Support has adjusted slightly higher to 2,282, while resistance has decreased to 2,376. The RSI has increased to 57, indicating a cooling in sentiment. EUR/USD has shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend and moved into an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 1.0774, now above the previous down-sloping VWAP of 1.0724. Support has adjusted higher to 1.0642, while resistance has risen to 1.0806. The RSI has increased slightly to 55, indicating a build-up of bullish pressure. GBP/USD has shifted from a bearish to more of a sideways neutral trend and is consolidating ahead of a potential shift to a bullish trend, with the price at 1.2533, holding above the VWAP of 1.2494. Support has adjusted to 1.2381, and resistance has increased to 1.2608. The RSI remains stable at 51, reflecting a balance in sentiment. USD/JPY remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price increasing notably to 155.82, now above the previous VWAP of 155.25. Support has adjusted higher to 152.33, while resistance has increased slightly to 158.16. The RSI has increased to 57, indicating a moderation of bullish sentiment. by Spreadex2
DAX March 2023Should be a good decade for DAX after the likely breakout of this multi year rangeby NeonUpdated 8
DE 30...will it follow descending channel this timeDE 30 is showing a bearish trend in parallel descending channel... will this move be followed this time.. confluence is 4H resistance too DShortby justfurrakh0
DAX tentative reversalHey traders! 🌟 Here’s the scoop: we’ve got a tentative head and shoulders pattern forming on our charts. Why "tentative," you ask? Well, it hasn't confirmed itself just yet. This setup hints at a potential trend reversal, but let's not jump the gun. 🔍 What to Watch For: Early Warning: Think of this pattern as a whisper of a possible trend direction change. But whispers aren’t enough—we need the full shout! 📣 Confirmation Game: No bearish momentum confirmation before hitting the neckline? No problem! This might just continue the current trend. 📈 🔺 Strategy Tip: If the right shoulder forms a triangle and we don’t see that bearish push, lean into the trend continuation play. Ride that wave! 🌊 Stay sharp, stay vibey, and happy trading! 🚀Longby ForexCollegeUpdated 0
DAX40 Yesterday, we published an analysis of the DAX and we were with buying and we set three goals. The first goal was achieved and the market reversed, but we are still with buying the DAX in this area. Longby Alla_JwazeUpdated 111
2024-05-21 - a daily price action after hour update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Markets went mostly flat today. Nasdaq printed a new ath on another low volume day. Unless markets strongly break above the highs or lows, very uneventful price action. Play the range until it clearly is not working anymore. SP500 printed a tripple top now and selling it again is a reasonable trade. dax comment: Bears making lower highs and lower lows but they are too weak to push the market below meaningful lower lows. Bulls are not too eager to print yet another ath and so we chop inside they given range. My head & should pattern lives as long as market stays below 18835, which is 15 points from when I wrote this, so low probability. For now we continue to oscillate around the 1h 20ema but I think the daily 20ema is close enough now for more algos to buy it, for another ATH or another melt-up to my weekly targets. current market cycle: trading range - bulls broke 19000 but no follow through. key levels: 18700 - 19000 - below 18700 is 18400 next and above 18840 is 19000 or much much higher again bull case: Bulls kept it above 18700 which is still uber bullish. Next they will probably break above the bear trend line from ath and above 18840 for retest of the highs. Invalid below 18800. bear case: Still no gap close to 18850 and we are making lower highs and lower lows. Bears need to step in above 18800 to stay inside the drawn triangle. Bulls closed above the 15 and 1h 20ema, which is not good for the bears. They need strong momentum around EU open to break below again. Bears also have going for them, that US closed green today and retest the highs or made newer highs, while dax made lower highs and lower lows. Their next target below 18800 is 18700 and then the daily ema around 18650. Invalid above 18840. short term: Neutral 18700 - 18840. Head & Shoulders has still a very low chance of breaking down to around 18400 but don’t bet on then unless you see many strong consecutive bear bars tomorrow. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged trade of the day: Long from the EU open was ok, since bears could not close the gap to Friday. Bullish enough for target 18900ish.by priceactiontds0
Weekly Technical Analysis 20/05/2024Start your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level and Elliot waves Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 has maintained its bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 18,733, now above the previous VWAP of 18,407. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 17,687 and 19,127, respectively. The RSI has decreased slightly to 63, indicating a slight moderation in bullish sentiment compared to the previous report. UK 100 remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price rising to 8,429, now above the previous VWAP of 8,312. Support has increased to 8,067, while resistance has risen to 8,556. The RSI has decreased to 74, reflecting a slight reduction in bullish sentiment compared to the previous report. Wall Street remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price rising notably to 40,028, which is well above the previous VWAP of 38,917. The support and resistance levels have adjusted to 37,507 and 40,327, respectively. The RSI has increased to 73, signalling a further increase in bullish momentum compared to the previous report. Brent Crude remains in a bearish trend but has shifted from an impulsive to a corrective phase, with the price increasing slightly to 84.12, now slightly above the previous VWAP of 83.81. Support has adjusted higher to 80.84, while resistance has decreased to 86.78. The RSI has increased to 47, indicating a slight moderation in bearish sentiment compared to the previous report. Gold has shifted to a bullish trend and moved into an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 2,442, now above the previous VWAP of 2,344. Support has adjusted higher to 2,258, while resistance has increased to 2,430. The RSI has increased significantly to 69, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment compared to the previous report. EUR/USD remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 1.0879, now above the previous VWAP of 1.0776. Support has adjusted higher to 1.0647, while resistance has risen to 1.0906. The RSI has increased significantly to 66, indicating a strengthening of bullish pressure compared to the previous report. GBP/USD has shifted from a neutral to a bullish trend and moved into an impulsive phase, with the price increasing to 1.2700, now above the previous VWAP of 1.2565. Support has adjusted higher to 1.2415, and resistance has increased to 1.2714. The RSI has increased significantly to 66, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment compared to the previous report. USD/JPY has shifted from a bullish to a neutral trend and moved into a consolidation phase, with the price at 155.76, holding above the VWAP of 155.38. Support has adjusted higher to 152.66, while resistance has increased to 158.11. The RSI has decreased slightly to 54, reflecting a moderation in sentiment compared to the previous report. by Spreadex0
GR40 -EXTENDED RUNNote: Note that GR40 has been a relative strength leader above all other Index Note same pattern is playing for all the index: Dow, Nasdaq, S&P.. Currently broke and trading above the Friday bar, expecting continuation this WeekLongby Jeremiah_Capital0
202421 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - daxdax cfd Quote from last week: bull case: Bears gave up since Monday and we melted 800 points higher. I got 2 measured move targets above, 19280 and 19650. Technically we should see a pull-back first and depending on how deep it is, we can calculate new targets. I think next week everything will be determined by the PPI and CPI prints. If they come in low, I think it’s very likely that we will see the 20000. comment: Got that pull-back on Monday but weak and shallow. Bears tried again on Tuesday but bulls bought the ppi spike and rallied to a new ath 19006. Thursday was an surprisingly strong bear day and we sold off for 230 points and bulls could not get it much higher than 18800 on Friday. Both of my wave theses are still valid and Monday or Tuesday will determine the outcome. I won’t be a perma bear here and early again. Completely open to bulls melting up for my measured move targets or even 20000. current market cycle: Bull trend or trading range. If bulls keep going past 19000, obviously a bull trend but if they fail to print much higher than 19100, this was just a higher high in a trading range 17600 - 19000. key levels: 18400 / 20000 bull case: Bulls got a new ath and market sold off for 200 points to close the week below 18900 which was the second weekly rejection of that price level. Bulls need to keep this pull-back shallow, inside the small bull channel and above the daily 20ema for continuation. The bull channel and the daily ema are close enough for me to think we either go sideways to touch them or dip and bounce. That would be a perfect two legged correction and odds would favor the bulls for a third leg up. Invalidation price would be somewhere between 18500 - 18600 and then the big bull trend line has to hold if we get there or the trend is done and we are in a trading range. bear case: Last time we got here to a new ath, we pulled-back for 1300 points, very shortly after. Bears printed one good looking bearish engulfing candle on Thursday but for more bulls to begin taking profits, they need consecutive bear bars closing near the lows. If they can’t do that and market goes sideways, bulls will take it as a buy signal because after such a strong rally, odds favor another leg up. Right now market printed an expanding triangle and a two legged pullback near the bull trend line and ema. All of those patterns are buy signals. All of them can fail and we sell-off but from an odds perspective, bears are not favored until they do more. Invalidation for bears is above 18900ish. outlook last week: “Pull-back should happen but longs are favored until bears make lower lows and break the 1h 20ema. I updated my daily chart but it’s only a very rough guess. Inflation prints will dominate the markets this week and I will give daily updates.” → Last Sunday we traded 18894 and now we are at 18805. Two-legged pull-back happened as laid out. short term: Can’t be anything but neutral with if-statements. If we strongly break below 18600 and bears keep the selling pressure high, this higher high double top could have been it and we get 18300-18400 next. If bulls (they are slightly favored) manage to break above 18900 again, we will most probably retest the ath or go directly into the third leg up or W5. medium-long term: Time runs thin on my -20 to -30% correction target so I need to adjust the timeline. I’m confident we will print 17000 over the next 2-3 Months but 16600 could be tough so that could happen early 2025 as well. Will update this along the way. —unchanged current swing trade: Shorted 18971 on 2024-05-16 and took profits on 2024-05-17. Will update this in the daily after hour updates from next week on. Chart update: Updated wave thesis slightly and removed the first two-legged correction because it does not add value from here on.by priceactiontds0
GER30 D BUY IDEA 5/19/24Price has been bullish majority of 2024. Posted my initial buy idea in "GER30 W BUY IDEA 2/2/24" post. Looking for the Daily to have a correction before continuing bullish. **This is for educational purposes only and this is not financial advice because I am not a financial advisor.**Longby cecedidit0
Trade Idea DAx 14/05/2024Le Dax est Bullish pour un moment, nous devons donc chercher des positions long dans un premier temps. Le FVG Daily ci-dessous est également intéressant pour le prix. Donc il faut agire aec prudence et rester dans les HTFLongby DieuLePierre0
GER30 Long Opportunity According To R level According To Fibo Retracment According To Fibo Extenssion Longby winerstepUpdated 2
DAX may have some more upsideGerman DAX has pulled back to the 50d sma and 38% retrace of the move up of the last few months (since last time it touched 50d sma). Looks like we may get another leg higher despite the clear lack of supportive fundamentals/geopolitics. Think we see 18600-19000 before a bigger effort to correct. Long 17800 tgt 18800 wroong below 17400.by WVS_StockscreenUpdated 2
GER30 IS STILL PLAYINGOUT AS I PREDICTEDHighlights : German 30 index Prediction : Bullish Longevity : 3 weeks Targets : PSTG 1 & 2 Rejection Zone hit : 100% Retest and hit more than two times Current Situation: Waiting for PSTG 2 to be hit, then, again, waiting for the pattern to be complete. Longby Themba_PM1
FOR THE SWINGERS - LONG TERM HOLDINGHere you can see what happens when you take the correct entry and manage it by following the rules.... You can trade like this and be part of the team. Follow us and you can get access to the system as well. Longby InForMe_Analysts0
GERMAN40 / DAX - LONGSLook at this one as well…. How easy do you want it? We shared these trades yesterday as well - see my publish history on all the post we do for you here in tradingview. Follow us - it is all fREE!Longby InForMe_Analysts0