I have been finding VIX3M provides a lot smoother and cleaner version of the vix. As you can see before significant vix spikes there are signals that take 6 months+ to develop. Before vix spikes we can see the loss in momentum when vix starts to base failing to make new lows or significant new lows as well as MACD starts up-trending on the weekly chart. I have...
The problem with the worlds economies reopening now is the stock markets already priced in the reopening over the past year with lower inflation numbers and massive QE.
How do the markets avoid hitting this inflation wall?
Fed says it's "transitory", is there enough QE left to jump this wall?
How does one chart "transition" with indicators?
Ever chart I pull...
Idea for VIX:
- The 2015 devaluation of the yuan was the tremor for this motive wave.
- G20, IMF & BIS steadily move toward a new Bretton Woods agreement and OECD BEPS.
- It is likely that the "Big One" will be EOY 2022, and interest rates will be raised in the US this year.
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or...
A favorite ratio of mine has reached the low end of its range.
The sentiment ratio which illustrates complacency and suggests a contrarian stance is warranted.
Like all contrarian metrics, betting on mean reversion typically comes to fruition eventually, but tells you nothing about when that will occur.
That being said, I try to be as 'timely' as possible...