Trading Plan for Thursday, May 2nd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls holding a precarious position at a critical support level. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5048-50 (major - note that this trendline rises daily), 5032, 5028 (major) Major Supports: 5010 (major), 4968 (major), 4938-42 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5077-82...
The video explains it all a lot better, but basically, we are sitting with higher highs and lower lows on the trend timeframes that brought us here (30m-4hr), otherwise known as the Pac-Man symbol. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5083 Uptrend (4/25/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5083 Uptrend (4/25/2024) Higher High 2Hr - 5131...
Last Week : Last week Globex opened inside the Value of 5086 - 4925 Range and right away found buying that started pushing us towards VAH. RTH gave us a push out of Value and holds above brought in more buyers to give us pushes to the Edge and attempts at Previous Ranges VAL/Value area but that move was sold back down towards the Edge and back under 5086 brought...
Going over the FOMC reflecting on the day and our process. looking for clues to how we could have traded the day better. Better than yesterday is our only goal.
After the volatility seen on Wednesday in the S&P 500, the expectation is that Thursday will be a day for the market to catch its breath before labor numbers come out on Friday. This means trading inside Wednesday's range on Thursday.
Last week ES reversed the downtrend and immediately looks bullish. I'm confident buying lows with defined stops. Watch for these 2 potential ideas in the week ahead. Thanks
Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 5107/61.80% Chart time frame : B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress : B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) Hit the bottom D) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance....
Recent price action on S&P futures suggests a potential rollover happening now, particularly after today's sell-off. This downturn began after the index peaked at 5,333.5 on April 1, 2024. Despite this, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and forthcoming high-profile earnings reports, such as NVDA's in late May, add layers of uncertainty. Notably, NVDA has...
multiday short trade on sp500 . Tp at 4700 at the SP/VIX ratio, candle marked a bad bearish shadow, a hypothetical prelude to the formation of a bearish parallel channel. Possible index target 4700 points.
WTF was that? LOL, Powell pump and dump in just one hour. I know I keep saying Fed days always whipsaw, but that was ridiculous. Futures up a little on QCOM earnings, Europe might bounce overnight, sold of hard this morning, more whipsaw. Anyways, it messed up the indicators, so no trading until things go overbought or oversold. Taking the rest of the week off.
RSI hit oversold at close yesterday, MFI still oversold. Guessing we get a Powell pump this afternoon, but watch out for teh whipsaw
Looks like a bullish setup before the Fed. That being said, I think it could go either way.
I go over how to establish potential scenarios for an FOMC day and how to prepare accordingly. FOMC can be very tricky to trade, but if you have a plan and know the levels that are in play it can provide great opportunities.
On ES (S&P 500 Futures), it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 5090 and 5128. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The downtrend...
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with the potential for sharp swings amplified by the FOMC announcement. Increased caution and focus on capital preservation are paramount. Key Supports Major Supports: 5060 (major), 5043-47 (major), 5030-32 (major), 5000 (major) Additional Supports: 4976 (major), 4938-41 (major) Key...
ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5095 Upper lvls: 5115 / 5127 / 5137 Aggressive Inflection: 5076 Lower lvls: 5052-5056 / 5030-5038 / 5005 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 17628 Upper lvls: 17660 / 17776 / 17818-17838 / 17901-17937 Lower lvls: 17507 / 17356-17370 / 17283-17293 / 17163 SPX Pivot 5036 Stay Frosty!
Price action in orange ellipse appears corrective, and in that light I feel more confident that the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50 was a complete impulse wave. From here, I see two possibilities: the bullish count (green) would have us at or near the low of today, with a move back up towards 5154.25 to complete a (B) wave; the bearish count (red) would have us...
Going over price action for the ES. today is FOMC one of the most volatile days. size down manage risk today. we are going into battle soon.