Last Week : Last week we opened up around the Mean of 5182.50 - 5115.75 Value. Consolidated around the Mean, built up supply and eventually started moving for the Spike Base, lower Edge and lower ranges VAH to fill those areas out but every time we hit VAH we found a bid there which would hold us over and that would bring in new buying to keep pushing us back...
Bull case on left, bear case on right. On the left, I think there are different ways to complete the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50, but for simplicity, I have just used a leading diagonal A, zigzag B, impulse wave C. From the low of 4963.50, it would appear that there are 4 distinct and overlapping impulse waves (with higher lows at 4991.25, 5022.25, and 5036.25),...
After watching the action at Non Farm Payroll. I noticed 3 key PD Arrays that could allow ES to move back into ATHs. Should move fast 1) Mitigation block 1H TF Apr 22 2) Breaker block at the spike of FOMC an May 1 3) 1h FVG created from NFP news release on May 3 The only thing that would confirm my thesis would be a gap up on Sunday open
After watching the action at Non Farm Payroll. I noticed 3 key PD Arrays that could allow ES to move back into ATHs. Should move fast 1) Mitigation block 1H TF Apr 22 2) Breaker block at the spike of FOMC an May 1 3) 1h FVG created from NFP news release on May 3 The only thing that would confirm my thesis would be a gap up on Sunday open
With weekly buystops attacked inside of the upper quartile of the monthly bearish order block, further upside is possible, with the daily bearish order block not too far ahead. However, I need more data for me to make a judgement where price is most likely going to print to. Dollar higher will tip the scales
Hello freinds i think for this indice will know a down trend on next times probability for the next months but don't open the positions if the market not a cross a level 5091 if you want more informations please show the chart good luck
IMPULSE AND CORRECTION: looking to catch a short trade at the mitigation of the 1hr time frame supply zone.
The overall momentum of the market from the monthly timeframe is bullish. now we're having a minor retracement for a day trading long opportunity. also looking to catch a short trade opportunity when price get's to the right zone in order to realign with the monthly timeframe flip zone for a longer term long opportunity.
Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the...
The number of short contracts (6055K) are more than the longs (3635K), however this doesn't cause an equivalent price drop. This is called absorption. The "composite man" is collecting the contracts, but not introducing them back to the market in order to sell higher. Meaningful volume spikes with no meaningful effects are signs of manipulation.
Possible resonance points with color coordinated pivot potential.
Although there was a strong move on Friday, a small positive up range is expected for Monday in the S&P 500.
Going over the price action for the NFP report. looking for clues as to what the market is telling us. always remember we are risk managers. do your homework and go over all your trades this weekend. weekend is a time to refine your strategy and your mind.
For ES1! bears, I'm looking at a double-three correction from low of 4963.50, with an expanded flat Y, to complete below 5194.25. For the flat, 3 is shorter than 1, so 5 needs to finish below 5194.25. As such, this count is invalid with price above 5194.25. Price is currently between .5 and .618 Fibonacci price points on the correction, so bears are definitely...
Price heading towards 0.618 Fib before it start drop.to 4998 level
I was looking at /ES on the weekly because things were looking interesting on the lower time frame charts I spend more time on. Low and behold and this chart is looking like it could be setting up for much higher prices. The recent down move gave us some rebalancing off of the crazy run we have had since late last year and the last two weeks seem to be showing...
Not overbought yet. Looks like Monday will be a pump and dump day. I guess I should have more faith in the market that they'll find a way to pump AAPL on bad earnings, lol. Not feeling very bullish because earnings didn't justify valuation, and my favorite stock, PCAR, is still dropping, lol.