Overnight Price Action rEview ES 5-9-24Going over the price action overnight ES looking for clues as to what the market is telling us and thinking about our trade plan for the day.02:42by BobbyS8130
Bullish biasThe structure in the S&P 500 for the last couple of days is actually a neutral zone trade which implies a sideways move however the structure on Wednesday implies a bias for moved to the upside on Thursday.02:08by DanGramza1
ES Price Action REview 5-8-24going over Price Action for the Day Session looking for clues as to what the market is telling us. always know where you'll get out if you're wrong and remember we are risk managers first. that is our most important job. 03:22by BobbyS8130
ES Morning Price Action REview 4-8-24Going over the Price action ES Morning session looking for clues as to how we could have traded it better. spending the time to reflect so we can gain Wisdom. Do the Hard Work. Pain + Reflection = Wisdom02:43by BobbyS8130
ES UpdateGot stupid overbought and only a small dip today. I'll just wait it out and see if it cycles to oversold. Decided to relocate so I've been busy trying to finish up projects at home. Don't really have time to watch the market.by hungry_hippo115
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 05.05 - 05.10Last Week : Last week we opened up around the Mean of 5182.50 - 5115.75 Value. Consolidated around the Mean, built up supply and eventually started moving for the Spike Base, lower Edge and lower ranges VAH to fill those areas out but every time we hit VAH we found a bid there which would hold us over and that would bring in new buying to keep pushing us back towards 5125 - 15.75 VAL. We got good trading back and forth between the Bid and Supply but eventually end of the week once market found no acceptance in lower Value and couldn't stay under the Edge low shorts had to cover driving the price back into previous Value for the Supply which was at and above the Mean. This Week : Few things to note this week, with how strong the Pre Market push was on Friday which drove us over 5125 - 15.75 VAL right into next Key Resistance of 5159.25 - 54.25 we were not able to right away get over or hold over this area in RTH, the end of day push through that area was also weak and left 1 single above us and that is not counting the other sets of singles which are higher so this tells us there is still Supply around this VAH and above Value areas. Of course this doesn't mean we will just sell off from this area but it is something to note if we think market will just continue higher through VAH towards above Edge as this push over 5159.25 - 54.25 can fail and come back in once the distribution over it is finished and we run out of buying. Going into this week we are now in 5204.25 - 5154.25 Range and from here we watch if we find acceptance here and get more buying which will push us to and through VAH for a chance to head for above Edge ? Do we start building a base here under VAH cleaning out Supply above it and then take it up for distribution over it ? Or do we run out of buying and come back in under 5159.25 - 54.25 to start back filling this move towards VAL to fill out that push from Friday with Supply. Will more size longs step in here to keep buying to push the market higher or will size be waiting to see how this area plays out as we know there could be size sellers here and longs like to buy under Value or after seeing areas get taken out and start holding. To me Weekly TF had a weak close to end the week, Daily closed at the top of Daily Balance with a push just over it and Daily TF is still currently in a downtrend so to speak if we look at VWAP and smaller MA. This kind of hints on not finding acceptance here just yet or least if we do then above Edge still should keep us under the 5200s areas for now. We don't have much data or market moving events this week which hints on even if we don't find acceptance up here and will start a move back down it might not be as fast and strong as we have seen last weeks, it might be more of a leak/hold action back towards the VAL. Levels to Watch : Current Intraday Range 5204.25 - 5154.25 Key Resistance 5204.25 - 5199.75 Means 5188.25 - 84.50 // 5174.25 - 70.50 This is VAH and we would need to start holding between those to find acceptance in this range. 5159.25 - 54.25 Will this now be our Key Support or we find our way back under ? If Accept back under 5159.25 - 54.25 we watch for move back towards VAL Means 5144 - 40.25 // 5129 - 25 Key Support 5112.50 - 07.50 for any continuation under If hold/accept over VAH would need to get through and accept over 5204.25 - 07.50 Edge bottom for any higher prices towards Edge top. by HollowMnUpdated 1
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 8th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 8th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but increasingly cautious in the overbought market. Consolidation is ongoing, and a deeper pullback is likely before further advances. Maintain disciplined risk management. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5209 (major), 5202, 5188-91 (major) Major Supports: 5143-36 (major), 5067-69 (major), Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5224 (major), 5246 (major), 5265-70 (major) Major Resistances: 5302-06 (major), 5328-30 (major) Trading Strategy Post-Breakout Dip Anticipated: The market is overdue for a healthy pullback after the recent strong surge. Long Opportunities: Focus on failed breakdowns at 5202 or 5188-91 for long entries. In the event of a deeper pullback, consider buying the retest of the breakout zone at 5143-36 or knife-catches at 5168 for quick scalps. Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5246 or 5265-70 for short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Proceed with extreme caution and be ready to cut losses quickly. Remember, shorting against strength in a bull market is inherently risky. Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5143-36 breakout zone remains crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. Holding above this level would indicate a healthy dip and a potential continuation higher. Rebase and Bounce: A period of consolidation around 5190-5224 and a rebound off these supports would set the stage for further advances, potentially targeting 5246, then 5265-70. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5188-91 would signal a potential pullback and could lead to a retest of the 5143-36 breakout zone. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 8th, 2024 Global Stock Market Trends: Varied Performance: Asian markets show resilience despite Nikkei 225 drop, influenced by mixed corporate news. U.S. Economic Indicators: U.S. jobs report and Fed's interest rate decisions continue to influence global markets positively. Geopolitical Tensions: Market responses to geopolitical unrest remain muted, highlighting diversified global economies' resilience. Company Earnings and Forecasts: Earnings Performance: Uber reports Q1 loss; Thomson Reuters shows strong revenue growth. Financial Forecasts: Taboola expects significant YoY growth; Thomson Reuters adjusts full-year outlook. Sector-Specific Insights: Technology and financial services sectors demonstrate strong growth potential despite operational losses. Analysts' Perspectives: Setting Market Expectations: Analysts forecast earnings based on economic indicators, trends, and company guidance. Implications for Investors: Earnings reports influence market sentiment and investor confidence, impacting stock prices. Impact on Currency Values: Political Events: Geopolitical tensions historically impact currency fluctuations, yet recent responses remain subdued, reflecting diversified global markets' resilience.Longby spytradingpro0
ES CAHRTthis chart is for my friend who is new and needs a clean looking chart, so this id for you kingkjiby angelofinfamy7180
possibility of correctionIt seems that the previous upward movement was a bit emotional, if the resistance is maintained, there is a possibility of correctionShortby forkman0
Prep and Lean 5.8.24ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5210 Upper lvls: 5220-5229 / 5243-5247 / 5262 Lower lvls: 5194-5199 / 5183-5184 / 5178 / 5170 / 5154 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 18180 Upper lvls: 18270-18306 / 18571-18586 Lower lvls: 18134-18155 / 18100 / 17994 / 17937 / 17774-17810 Stay Frosty!13:22by Beyond_Charts0
ES Price Action REview 4-7-24Going over the Days Price Action ES. looking for clues and asking the important questions.03:46by BobbyS8130
S&P 500S&P500 target is 5770 till October this year . keep an eye on Fed report rate cut is coming soonLongby Seanpatel310
ES - In Two MindsWith weekly buystops attacked inside of the upper quartile of the monthly bearish order block, further upside is possible, with the daily bearish order block not too far ahead. However, I need more data for me to make a judgement where price is most likely going to print to. Dollar higher will tip the scalesby LegendSinceUpdated 0
ES BreakoutES had a nice looking bear flag, but it has resulted in a bullish breakout above. ES has room to run up to 5300 and I'd expect the top end of that bear flag to act as support on any retests.Longby AdvancedPlays0
Catching its breathThe smaller range on Tuesday in the S&P 500 implies a loss of momentum and the market catching its breath. This structure means that if you're on the long side be cautious. The expectation is for sideways move.00:51by DanGramza1
ES1 Update Daily weekly long. Hourly flat as a pancake. This could be start of primary wave 2 of 5 or we will have a blow off top continued. Watch 10yr data tomorrow around lunch. I’ll update when I can. Bullish anywhere above $5199.25. Bearish below to $5100.75 Remember big expiration next week on the 17th. by Mouse420
S&P500 (ES) uptrend may still be intactRecent price action on S&P futures suggests a potential rollover happening now, particularly after today's sell-off. This downturn began after the index peaked at 5,333.5 on April 1, 2024. Despite this, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and forthcoming high-profile earnings reports, such as NVDA's in late May, add layers of uncertainty. Notably, NVDA has recently become a pivotal indicator not only for the AI and broader tech sectors but also for the general economy. Taking a longer-term perspective, the S&P futures have maintained an uptrend, connecting a support trendline from a previous low of 4,122 on October 27, 2023, to the April 19, 2024, pullback at 4,963. This suggests that the trend remains intact, possibly ready to rebound from the support line and continue its upward trajectory. In conclusion, while recent market behavior might suggest the beginning of a rollover, the increased market volatility means that stricter interpretation of technical indicators may not be as reliable until the noise subsides. Therefore, a broader perspective might be necessary to accurately assess trend behaviors. But it's important not to continuously adjust this perspective to justify an ongoing uptrend, especially considering the seasonal strategy of 'sell in May and go away,' which could still prove prudent in the coming weeks. by cch31Updated 0
Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but increasingly cautious following a strong breakout. The RSI is deeply overbought, increasing the risk of sudden pullbacks. Proceed with heightened awareness of volatility. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5186-88 (major), 5163 (major) Major Supports: 5144-46 (major), 5060-65 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5214-5218 (major), 5246-50 (major) Major Resistances: 5272 (major), 5302-04 (major) Trading Strategy Post-Breakout Cautiousness: The market is in overbought territory following today's strong surge. Prioritize capital preservation and maintain disciplined risk management. Avoid chasing longs or aggressively shorting against strength. Long Opportunities: Due to the overbought conditions, focus on failed breakdowns at 5186-88 or ideally 5144-46 for long entries. In the event of a deeper dip, consider knife-catches at 5163 for quick scalps. Short Opportunities: Look for back-tests of 5214-5218, 5246-50, or potentially 5272 for short entries, targeting level-to-level profits. Proceed with extreme caution and be ready to cut losses quickly. Focus on Levels and Patience: Trade the provided support and resistance levels rigorously. Let price action develop, be patient, and avoid emotional trading. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5144-46 breakout zone remains crucial for bulls. Holding above this level would indicate a healthy dip and a potential continuation higher. Consolidation and Bounce: A period of consolidation and a rebound off 5186-88 or 5144-46 would set the stage for further advances, potentially targeting 5214-18, then 5246-50. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5186-88 would signal a potential pullback and could lead to a retest of the 5144-46 breakout zone. A breach of 5144-46 would be a more significant bearish development. Monitor bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 7th, 2024 Federal Reserve's Influence: Interest Rate Decision: Fed keeps rates steady at 5.25% to 5.5% for the sixth consecutive meeting, reflecting concerns about inflation and labor market conditions. April 2024 Jobs Report: Economy adds 175,000 jobs in April, below expectations, potentially alleviating inflation pressures. Commercial Real Estate Midyear Outlook: Despite high-interest rates, commercial real estate sectors show resilience, suggesting less sensitivity to monetary policy. Global Economic Growth Forecasts: World Bank and OECD predict below-average global GDP growth for 2024, influencing market sentiments and central bank policies. Impact on Market Dynamics: Bond and Equity Markets: Higher rates increase Treasury yields, shifting investor preference towards bonds and contributing to equity market volatility. Housing Market Effects: Housing prices respond swiftly to policy adjustments, driven by changes in mortgage rates, impacting affordability and market health. Influence on International Trade: Stronger dollar affects trade balance by making exports costlier and imports cheaper, potentially moderating domestic inflation. Future Outlook: Market sentiment remains cautious, with analysts not expecting rate cuts until at least 2025 if inflation persists, influencing investment and consumer behaviors. Longby spytradingpro2
NFP conclusionsAfter watching the action at Non Farm Payroll. I noticed 3 key PD Arrays that could allow ES to move back into ATHs. Should move fast 1) Mitigation block 1H TF Apr 22 2) Breaker block at the spike of FOMC an May 1 3) 1h FVG created from NFP news release on May 3 The only thing that would confirm my thesis would be a gap up on Sunday openLongby StavrosKUpdated 0
OverNight PRice Action REview ES 5-7-24Going over the Overnight Price action review looking for clues and the plan for today.05:35by BobbyS8130
📈 $ES broke trend line, now at resistance level of 5213.25📈 NYSE:ES broke trend line, now at resistance level of 5213.25. 📉 RSI indicates overbought. 🎯 Next resistance: 5247.25 - 5257.50. If rejected, support at 5164.25. Stay vigilant! #TradingUpdate 📊by MD-Trade100
Major Levels for Major Markets! Lets see if we can break resistance on the S&P500 Futures! by make_money_trading0