People ask me, "but why is Bitcoin doomed to fall back to Earth?"
People ask me, "but why has Bitcoin risen so much the last 12 years then?"
People ask me, "but why don't you want me to have a lambo?"
I tell people, "Bitcoin is a failure of its own success. Blockchain is the internet of things. It has worked so well that governments are now developing their own...
I believe that there is a pretty clear fractal or at least a cyclical repeating pattern in inflation.
This is a very very long-term view here, so it wouldn't surprise me that nobody has noticed this because everyone is trading 15m and 5m charts.
We can see that there are two distinct cycles here with a very similar structure that seems to display some clear...
I think inflation has topped if TA works in this area. There is fundamental deflationary macro economic forces at play as well that could see a reduction in inflation by next year and the rest of this decade. The current war and supply shocks due to trade war are interim.
This analysis is based purely on technicals! Since the 1920 high us inflation has been on a long term downtrend. I connected the 1920 high with the 1947 high and the 1980 high touched the trend line and reversed with no overshoot. Now price is touching the trend line for the 4th time and we’ll have to wait and see if the long term downtrend continues or if we’re...
Inflation Hits Fastest Pace Since 1981, at 8.5% Through March
Gasoline weighed heavily in the increases, while prices moderated in several categories. Some economists say the overall rate may have peaked.
Inflation hit 8.5 percent in the United States last month, the fastest 12-month pace since 1981, as a surge in gasoline prices tied to Russia’s invasion of...
In this chart, you can not see Inflation (7.9%), however, it is still below the red line..!
Based on my forecast if YOY inflation passes 8.5% it will fly far above it and soon it will be double..!
Notice: We are going to experience a super volatile week: Interest Rate + Economic Projection + Quadruple Witch..!
Best,
Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a...
The light blue line is the price of gold against M2 money supply in order to show it on the chart more easily. Mainly, take note of the highs on this line.
The purple line represents returns on the 30 year treasury after removing loses from inflation. Inflation normalized returns.
The blue line represents the return on GOLD. Namely, it maintains it's value...
Normally, when inflation is high, the Federal Reserve will increase the FEDFUNDS rate which discourages banks borrowing money in order to fund investments. This in turn discourages lending and generally increases borrowing costs across the economy - including borrowing costs for the national debt.
When you subtract it from the YoY inflation numbers, you can see...
For more detail please refer to the first four pieces in the series (linked below) and the accompanying charts.
Markets entered 2022 with well established trends and trading ranges, but I believe that the coming year holds significant potential for change. This is particularly true in the equity and treasury markets. Because much of the outlook hinges on...
