Fed balance sheet + BOJ balance sheet adjusted to USD + PBOC balance sheet adjusted to usd - Fed reverse repo - Treasury general account + Assets held at money market funds Looks as if 1% rise in liquidity = 5% Rise in Crypto Michael Howell thinks there is a 6 week lag with liquidity and Bitcoin, and 6 month Lag with Liquidity and Gold Only Allows a...
Here is an approximation for Global Net Liquidity: FRED:WALCL+FRED:JPNASSETS*FX_IDC:JPYUSD+ECONOMICS:CNCBBS*FX_IDC:CNYUSD+FRED:ECBASSETSW*FX:EURUSD-FRED:RRPONTSYD-FRED:WTREGEN This dashboard shows each of these components.
Using as a reference tool to compare the growth of Bitcoin (BLX chart) with the Global Economy as a metric and finding a solid bottom for the Global Economy metric at the 1.618 retracement in late September 2023 BLX (orange/white) candles Global Economy (blue/white candles) Global Economy Includes: ------------------------------- US total assets Central Bank...
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Update ⚠️DECREASE of $47.1 billion week ending Jan 31st⚠️ ▫️ $1.34 Trillion Reduction since Apr 2022 ▫️ We are $0.436T away from the long term trend line (Red Line). The current trajectory means we could reach this level by Sept 2024
This video tutorial discussion: • What is QE and QT? • Each impact to the stock market • The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024? Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $5.00 Code: YM Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures 1.0 index point = $0.50 Code: MYM Disclaimer: • What presented here is...
Combines liquidity in usd: Major Eurozone countries, Japan, China, USA, and Canada
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Snapshot - Between the 11 - 18th Sept 2023 we had the Largest one week decline of approx. $74.7 billion since the balance sheet reduction started in April 2022 - We are currently approx. $50 billion away from a 1 trillion reduction 👀 We are in for an interesting Quarter end to the 2023 year, that is to say the least....
Look at how the bullish green arrows and bearish red arrows show how global liquidity correlates HEAVILY with the direction of Bitcoin. T You don't have to be a genius to see how beautiful this correlation is. And how sensitive #BTC is to excess capital in the system. As a risk on asset When ppl have easy money to gamble with , a portion of that ends up in the...
Targeting FED Draw down towards 7.75 Trillion which equates to a 1.215 Trillion run off of the balance sheet. Coinciding well with the RREPO as the cushion
I see a lot of "Experts" out there all excited and trying to push another ill-informed narrative that the rise of FED's balance sheet is expanding in the same way as it did during COVID. Sorry, not even close! Don't fall for that stuff.
This measure of Liquidity (blue line) generally tracks AMEX:SPY (orange line). Both were generally declining throughout 2022 and then increasing in 1H 2023. However, in the last month or so there has been a marked divergence, the resolution of which may be an important aspect of equity market direction. One to watch.
Recently, experienced financial analyst/economist Michael Howell (see footnote 1) has made the case that central bank liquidity (and to a lesser degree, private sector liquidity) is what drives risk-on markets ( NASDAQ:QQQ , KRAKEN:BTCUSD ). While Dr. Howell uses his own deep analysis to predict that liquidity is now in an uptrend (see any of his numerous...
This chart presents central bank liquidity (credit: @DylanLeClair_ on Twitter for the calculation). It demonstrates a consistent pattern: when global liquidity decreases, the US markets also decline. The chart highlights the notable trend of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), particularly as the US markets attempt to push higher. This information provides...
FED+BOJ+BOE+ECB+PBOC-TGA-RRP this is Global Net liquidity of Major World Central Banks.
Global Liquidity Chart. This is just to indicate the movement of global liquidity.
Watching a pullback take place in central bank liquidity usually correlates with retracements in SPX (albeit sometimes lagging). If it explodes higher, that could possibly mean two things, we're in the actual QE stage (we're not there yet despite what many others claim) and that would suppose the actual crisis has started. I would expect the move to be down first...
Wave structures on these Economic Indexes tend to play out fairly often, such as in the case for Various CPI and Interest Rate Charts which can bee seen in the Related Ideas tab below. With that in mind, I now turn to The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet; and when I look at the Balance Sheet what I see is that since the Inception of this chart, it has traded within...
The Fed is damned by inflation if they print, damned by bank runs if they dont print. And with recession on the way, history shows we could plumb to new lows if the Fed only prints enough to backstop banks and pensions. Early 2000s and early 1930s were two such cases where the Fed aggressively lowered rates for well over 18 months but markets continued to trend...