#NATURALGAS UPDATE 📆 2nd NOVEMBER Natural gas prices dropped by 2.3% to $3.494 per unit due to expected warmer weather and the belief that US gas reserves will be higher than usual. SUPPORT AT 278 - 280(BUYING AGAIN ZONE) If not sustained above 278 then natural gas will enter in bearish zoneLongby Shalvisharma57
Are new annual lows expected for gas prices?Are new annual lows expected for gas prices? U.S. natural gas futures prices fell below $3.5/MMBtu after reaching a two-week high of $3.64/MMBtu on Oct. 27. According to the latest EIA data, inventories stand at 74 billion cubic feet, a figure well above the five-year average. In addition, average U.S. production hit a new record with 104.0 billion cubic feet. But what was the reason for last week's uptick? A new weather forecast indicates that there will be significant cold weather in the United States in November, thus increasing demand for gas for home heating. It is not uncommon to see erroneous weather forecasts, and besides, both Europe and the United States have large natural gas reserves. This is one of the main reasons for my pessimistic stance on gas. Studying the futures curve, we notice a strong upward shift. This indicates that there is a significant contango effect, which makes any long-term gas purchase transaction negative. It is important to remind investors that there is a viable alternative to trading natural gas futures. Natural Gas Storage Natural Gas Storage If you are considering investing in the gas sector, there are options that are easier to understand than futures. You can consider buying shares in companies involved in gas production and distribution, which offer improved returns and are a safer option than the futures market. One major company you can turn to is Antero Resources (NYSE:AR) Corporation, an independent leader in the development, production, and exploration of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil in the Appalachian basins. Their three main areas of operation are focused on the exploration, development, and production of these fossil fuels. In technical terms, the current situation can be a trap for shoppers. As many know, I am opposed to an approach based solely on technical analysis. The decline in gas prices has been accompanied by a sharp drop in trading (-95.38 percent). However, this brief movement is not supported by trading volumes, which are needed to confirm a further decline. As a result, investors using technical analysis do not seem concerned. Technical analysts agree that the situation remains bullish. In addition, the close above the fast and slow-moving averages provides further confirmation of the positive short-term trend. Natural Gas-Daily ChartNatural Gas-Daily Chart At this time, I disagree with the technical analysts. If you want to invest in gas in the medium term, you should accumulate bearish positions as I am doing. The main reasons behind this decision are record production and forecasts for warmer-than-normal weather, which could lead to lower prices as happened last year. Seasonality usually affects natural gas prices, and last year we saw a significant reduction during the last quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023. Personally, I expect this trend to continue. In addition, it is important to constantly monitor the natural gas stock data published every Thursday by the EIA to get a more accurate understanding of the situation. According to my forecast, we could expect to see new lows in the coming quarters for natural gas prices.Shortby Antonio_Ferlito2
✅NATGAS MASSIVE SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY🚀 ✅NATGAS was trading around the Bottom of the range and it Broke out of the triangle Pattern went up and is now About to retest the demand Levels below from where I think we will see a Strong swing move up LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅Longby ProSignalsFxUpdated 7731
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count this is an update to the previous view. Yesterday, the market completed the 4th wave of its price movement cycle and has since entered the 5th wave. This represents a continuation of the current trend, and we can anticipate a positive recovery in the upward direction once the 5th wave is completed. This signals a potential opportunity for investors to consider taking advantage of the market's recovery trend. In light of this, we recommend refraining from taking short positions in a bull market. Instead, it would be prudent to wait for a reversal and take a long position. Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading. CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD MCX:NATURALGAS1! CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS SKILLING:NATGAS Longby Treda_proUpdated 4415
Natural Gas Cooling Off Into Heating SeasonNow’s primetime if you’re an energy trader. Winter forecasts continue to roll in and cold fronts are sweeping across the CONUS. Naturally, it is also a time to eye both the fundamentals and technicals of Henry Hub Natural Gas. Most novice investors simply analyze the continuous prompt-month of HH NG. Having spent years on an energy trading floor and advising clients on how to handle their energy procurement needs, however, I know that watching one key contract offers the most insight. Winter demand peaks in January in the natural gas market. So, I prefer to analyze trends in the January contract. The trend is not all that bullish as volatility does its usual thing – rising as winter approaches. I see support in the $3.46 to $3.50 zone – a breakdown below that range could trigger significant downside. I see resistance in the $3.90 to $4.00 range. For now, with price drifting toward the lower end of that area, it could be worth a swing long, but I would not be playing Jan ‘24 NG from the long side right now when looking out to expiration. Also consider that seasonal trends are not compelling either. If you don’t follow Equity Clock, I suggest you take a look. November and December are dreadful months, on average for the United States Natural Gas Fund ETF (UNG). Hampered by bearish contango at times, the Nov-Dec stretch is the worst two-month performance period in UNG’s 15-year history, with particularly bearish price action from Thanksgiving through the end of the year. by mikezaccardi7
Natural Gas long viewThe price of natural gas is at the beginning of a new bullish trend, and we could expect to see the price rise above the $4.00 level. A breakthrough above $4.00 opens up the next Fibonacci levels as the next targets of this bullish consolidation.Longby Aleksandar_Aleksin8
Natural gas might jump There uncertainty in Russia and relation between kremlin and Wagner is sour, this can results in high volatility and specially on energy sector and precious metals. if the situation is not contained quickly, I believe that on Monday the price of the Natural gas will jump due to uncertainty, it might reach 3.5 or 4.0. Please be careful with volatilityLongby Adamh-FXUpdated 0
NG target $3.0 and $3.6Natural Gas has been consolidating since Mar 2023 and has formed a round bottom. I expect NG to hit the first target $3.0 within next 1-2 weeks and then consolidate at those levels before the hitting target $3.6, which will be a conjunction of two resistance lines blue and white. Let me know your thoughts in comments. Longby gmaster29Updated 3310
natural gas @315gas break major resistance in next(nov) contract going to reach 312 to 315 in upcoming days by chennugireesh071
#NATURALGAS LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks, today i have prepared a setup of NATURAL GAS on MCX the analysis is as follows - the price is looking for a minor reversal - currently trading at a very important zone - wait for a retest for entry dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoplossLongby profitpujari4
NATURAL GAS Ready to buy at the bottom of the Channel Up?Natural Gas (NG1!) is trading within a logarithmic Channel Up pattern since the April 14 Low. The current bearish leg is one step before testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but the bottom is located just below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That trend-line has priced the last three Higher Lows (September 26, September 06, August 24), so we are ready to buy there and target the 0.786 Fibonacci at 3.250, which has been a standard rebound target since July. The most optimal buy signal though since April 13 is when the 1D RSI enters its Support Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShot16
NatGas: Dived in 🤿 🌊The price of NatGas has now reached the turquoise target zone between $2.98 and $2.77. Here we expect a turning point with the low of the turquoise wave (ii), ideally at the 78.60% retracement of the zone. From there, the price should move higher in large steps until it completes the orange wave (iii) at $4.60. Longby MarketIntel14
Natural gas Natural gas intraday trade Long : above 248 Sl : 244 Target : 250 / 255 Enjoy !Longby VirendraPandey223
Natural GasNatural Gas Intraday trade Long : above 251 Sl : 247 Target : 254 / 257 ======================== Short : below 247 Sl : 250 Target : 242 Enjoy !by VirendraPandey0
Natural GasNatural Gas Intraday Long : above 253 Sl : 250 Target : 257 / 260 ================== Short : Below 250 Enjoy !by VirendraPandey441
Natural GasNatural Gas (Intraday View Only) Short : 260 Sl : 263 Target : 250 / 247 =========================== Long : Sustain above 262 Enjoy ! Shortby VirendraPandey116
TTF Gas - Potential ABCSeasonal European NatGas is week, but typically in August the rebound starts regarding due to the hedging of winter demand. The chart already shows a potential pattern, i.e. a potential ABC embedded in a channel. If this channel breaks, we might see an increase to 45 €/MWh.by NDD46Updated 1
Natural Gas Trend Continuation LONGNot a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP + support/resistance “flip zone”), but it may be a bit before NG trades back to those prices (if it does). However, shorter-term/more aggressive entries exist via demand zones circa 3.2. We’ve formed new/”fresh” 60-minute supply @ 3.346-3.380, so that is an upside target. One should drill down via smaller timeframes (30/20/15-minute), though, to see what additional supply zones form between ~3.2 and 3.346 – it’s likely other sell levels will exist within expanded range candlesticks formed earlier this morning (EST). Smaller timeframe supply zones + any resistance levels should serve as profit targets for longs; if you enter a trade with multiple contracts, you can always hold a runner and look for new highs if upside momentum is strong. Finally, keep in mind seasonality. We are doing a more thorough analysis here, but NG tends to catch a tailwind during colder months (vs. summer)... We’ll keep an eye on this market and will provide updates accordingly. As is always the case with trading, our approach/thesis could change as price action unfolds, so use your discretion when evaluating this idea. Questions/comments welcome! Jon @ LionHart Trading Longby LionHart_TradingUpdated 2
Natural Gas- 4HNG is moving in a parallel range, tried to break, but looks like it was a fake breakout. Again inside the channel, can sell and aim for 2.771 levels, as also that region has a gap which needs to be filled.Shortby AmitTrades116
NATGAS BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG Hello,Friends! The BB lower band is nearby so NATGAS is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 3.457. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅Longby EliteTradingSignals5513
A Traders' Weekly Playbook - energy markets to direct sentimentWe look at the scheduled economic data and US earnings this week and question if given the fluid news flow from the Middle East, these events move the dial or if geopolitics consumes the full attention and direct sentiment. We saw a rush to hedge portfolios on Friday ahead of a darkening picture emerging in the Middle East. The situation is dynamic and it's too early to say if the hedges placed on Friday are unwarranted, but there have been pockets of positive news flow – for example, US Secretary of State Blinken saying aid will get to Gaza via the Egyptian border, and Israel opening water supply to Southern Gaza, with over 600k Gazans moving south. A call between US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan and Iranian officials is a development, with the US warning not to increase aggression. As Israel's ground offensive pushes into Gaza, risk and energy markets will look for headlines and actions from Iranian officials who have stated they have a duty to come to the aid of the Palestinians. Watching crude and Nat Gas The energy markets are the first derivative to drive broad market sentiment this week, with crude and Nat Gas leading investors to trade volatility (options), as well as classic hedges such as gold and Treasuries. Amid a backdrop of ‘higher for longer’, and the US CPI inflation gaining 0.4% in September, higher energy prices could deliver a one-way punch to sentiment. Given market participants are generally poor at pricing risk around geopolitical developments, it's no wonder most have looked to mitigate drawdown - but at this stage, while there is a growing wall of worry to potentially climb, the probability is traders will use strength in risky assets to reduce exposures. The probability of supply disruptions is one of the key aspects here – last week we saw the closure of Chevron’s Tamar gas field in Israel – the focus has been rerouting that gas from the Leviathan gas fields in the North of Israel – if the market feels this gas field could be impacted then could see a spike in EU NG. Many energy experts see the risk of a supply event here as fairly low, but should developments escalate on various fronts, then the market will increase the possibility of a disruption. The bear case for risk, given the potential for a significant rally in EU NG and crude, would be where the market increases the probability of Iran curtailing the movement of LNG through the Straits of Hormuz, where notably Qatar LNG supply (20% of the global LNG market) would be impacted. Again, this seems a low probability at this stage, but that will depend on Iran’s ongoing involvement and any new sanctions placed on them. Downside risk to the EUR If EU NG spikes higher in the near term, then talk of a renewed energy crisis in Europe will resurface and the EURUSD could be headed to parity. As said, this probability is a lower risk right now, but when considering the risks, this is the market concern that will be monitored. While sentiment will move around on each headline, we revisit the hedging flows seen on Friday, as traders de-risked ahead of potential gapping risk – It’s too hard to make a call on whether these hedges are partly unwound in Asia. Where did we see the hedging flows? • Gold rallied 3.4% on Friday - a 3-sigma move and the second biggest day since 2020. A massive 299k gold futures contracts traded, the highest since May. XAUUSD 1-month implied volatility has pushed to 15% and 1-week call volatility has increased to a 1.75 vol premium to puts – the most since March. • The XAUUSD price closed at a 2.8% premium to the 5-day moving average, which shows the sheer pace of the intraday rally, with limited intraday mean reversion – sellers just stood aside. • Brent crude closed 5% higher with our Brent price closing over $91 and eyeing a move back to the recent highs of $96 – WTI Crude futures saw the curve lift and go further into backwardation – this typically means the market sees a higher probability of a supply shock. • In equities, the VIX traded to a high of 20.78%, settling at 19.3% (+2.6 vols on the day) – a VIX index at 19.3% implies daily % changes in the S&P500 of 1.2% and 2.7% on the week. • S&P 1-month put implied vol now trades at a 5.46 vol premium to 1-month calls – This volatility ‘Skew’ is now the most bearish since May – traders are ramping up the demand for downside puts to protect in case of drawdown. • Market breadth was ok with 46% of S&P500 stocks closed higher – there was no blanket selling, but a rotation from tech and consumer names into energy and defensive sectors - staples, utilities, and healthcare. • While we saw some buying in petrocurrencies (NOK & CAD) but traders played defense buying into the CHF & JPY – short NZDCHF was the play of the day (-1.4%), with GBPCHF breaking the long-run range lows. • US Treasuries rallied with 10’s closing -8bp and 30’s -10bp. Marquee event risks for the week ahead: • NZ Q3 CPI (17 Oct 08:45 AEDT) – the market consensus is for 1.9% QoQ / 5.9% YoY (from 6%) – NZDCHF was the biggest percentage mover on Friday following the risk aversion flows – will the sellers follow through? • UK jobless claims/wage data (17 Oct 17:00 AEDT) – the consensus for wages sits at 7.8% (unchanged) – UK swaps place a 29% chance of a hike from the BoE at the 2 Nov BoE meeting, will the wage data influence that pricing? GBPCHF trades the weakest levels since Oct 2022 and looks likely to be sold on rallies • US retail sales (17 Oct 23:30 AEDT) – the advanced read is expected at 0.3% mom and the ‘control group’ element at -0.1%. The retail numbers could influence market sentiment, especially if we see a big miss to expectations, with USDJPY and USDCHF the pairs most sensitive to a weaker outcome. Gold could find further buyers on a downside surprise. • Canada CPI (23:30 AEDT) – headline CPI is expected at 4% yoy, with core CPI eyed at 4% yoy • Fed chair Jay Powell speaks at the Economic Club of NY (20 Oct 03:00 AEDT) – the highlight of the week. Expect Powell to focus on the view that moves in the bond market are mitigating the need for the Fed to hike further. • China Q3 GDP (18 Oct 13:00 AEDT) – consensus is 4.5% yoy (from 6.3%) – likely a trough in China’s GDP, with better levels ahead. • China Industrial production, fixed asset investment, retail sales (18 Oct 13:00 AEDT) • UK Sept CPI (18 Oct 17:00 AEDT) – the consensus for headline CPI is 6.6% yoy (from 6.7%) / core CPI at 6% yoy (6.2%) – a risk to manage for traders holding GBP exposures • EU CPI (18 Oct 20:00 AEDT) – no change expected in the revision, with headline CPI eyed at 4.3% /core CPI at 4.5%. Should be a non-event for the EUR and EU equities. • Australia employment report (19 Oct 11:30 AEDT) – the consensus estimate is for 20k jobs to have been created in September and the U/E rate unchanged at 3.7% - expect the impact from Aussie jobs to be short-lived – preference to work sell limits in AUDUSD on the day and sell into strength. • China new homes prices (19 Oct 12:30 AEDT) • China 1 & 5-year Prime Rate (20 Oct 12:15 AEDT) – the consensus is no change with the 1yr rate to stay at 5.2% & the 5yr rate at 3.45% US Earnings (with the implied move on earnings) – Goldman Sachs (3.7%), Bank of America (4.6%), Tesla (5.2%), Netflix (7.5%) Central bank speeches: BoE – Huw Pill, Sam Woods, Swati Dhingra ECB – Villeroy, Knot, Centeno, Guindos, Holzmann Fed – see schedule below Editors' picksLongby Pepperstone55222
NATGAS: Growth & Bullish Forecast The price of NATGAS will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️ Longby UnitedSignals7712
NATGAS Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.208 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3.319 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Longby AnabelSignals337