Price: 91.0371
Trend Analysis:
-Move Market @ Previous lower low area where it touched this same area last year Feb, 2023 (only touched this area once). Bearish trend looks to end expecting reversal (inclined) ... Expect 0.4% - 0.73% incline
Structure:
- Trend is already +0.24% (area of volatility increase), with News & release This week expect to revert to...
Price:102.8660
Analysis
Trend Analysis:
Move market bullish @5.14% expect 0.3% - 0.6% incline due to 3/19/24 N & release's, expect (-5.5%) - (-6.1%) decline there-after may see resistance or pull back
@ (+/-) 1.7%)
Structure:
suggests buying @ current low state, but expect trend to continue its downward momentum
Support & Resistance Levels:
Highs =...
Trend Analysis:
- Market Dropped (-8.37%) since last update on 5 Mar 24, sitting @(-4.34%)=100.875)
Structure:
- market smashed through all Highs, Lows, and targets, Expected target was achieved 7 mar 2024 market continued to decline since, smashing through the Long-term target 8 mar 2024a double bottom has now formed @ current price of 100.875. Expect buys due...
it measures the price liquidity and volatility of the bond or market
could be the FLOW of FUNDS ahead of the underlying assets in the OPTiONS market
a crystal ball that provides you a 3 week headscarf to POSiTiON scale in or out of your beloved PETS
Hey everyone 👋
Guess what? This post was created by two TradingView users! @SquishTrade and I collaborated on this post.
We wanted to share our thoughts about the MOVE/VIX ratio, which has been exploding recently, and which may be presenting a warning about the future movement of the S&P 500 ( SPX ).
Before we begin, here's a bit more about the MOVE index:...
With the action-packed week of global central bank meetings for September now behind us, we believe it's an appropriate time to review where we stand. The current phase, in our view, can be aptly summarized by the words of Huw Pill, the Bank of England’s Chief Economist: a ‘Table Mountain’ scenario rather than a ‘Matterhorn.’ Recent announcements have positioned...
I found this cup and handle pattern on the move index RSI by accident. I'm just curious to see if it plays out. I don't know if it makes any sense and probably someone will say it's a waste of time. Maybe, maybe not. If price is what you should follow and if the why and the wherefore don't matter and it's the ticket or the tape that is important as Livermore said...
MACRO MONDAY 12
A Positive MOVE Index - TVC:MOVE
The U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index – the “MOVE” is similar to the VIX volatility index that lets us know when volatility/uncertainty is high or low in the stock market by monitoring options contracts. Instead the MOVE measures how much investors expect bonds prices to fluctuate in the future....
Here we are in the handle. It's playing out to perfection so far. My plan is to buy in to a bond volatility ETF as the handle reaches key levels as indicated by the horizontal lines. This will allow for a dollar cost averaged approach. So it's a long bond volatility play. If it plays out it could be huge. The handle alone is a move of about 30 from the current...
Arc patterns are very powerful and it looks to me like we have a potential set up here where the move index could be gearing up for a big move up. If the cup and handle plays out as expected it would indicate that the move index will go up once the handle forms fully, by about 30 to reach the expected target. This is drawn on the rain of the move index. The price...
Uncharted waters as the caption suggests since we've closed monthly above the long term channel. What does it mean? A shift in monetary policy, hence the attractiveness in bonds or a potential peak during uncertain times. No hard convictions, but the odds are not looking great for high risk plays.
In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities.
In the...
MOVE is a bond market volatility index and it is now at the highest level since 2009. Yields have been reducing at a time when central banks are trying to increase liquidity. Somewhat ominous.
MOVE is showing the Highest Bond Market Volatility Since Lehman Bros Collapse. In 2008 the market capitulated 2 weeks later. Perhaps the bail-ins and bail-outs will prevent problems, or perhaps not. Keep your eyes peeled this month. FOMC next week and Trip Witch options expiry Friday.
