US10Y continues to rise inside a long term Channel Up, with its 1D technical outlook bullish (RSI = 57.618, MACD = 29.942, MACD = 0.116). The 1D RSI though is for the first time in the recent months under a LH bearish divergence so for the first time the probabilities for a bearish reversal get stronger. Consequently, if the price crosses under the Channel's...
The 10yr has taken a break in the past couple days off it's highs. This is normal but and happens regularly in the relentless overall path upwards in rates. The Fed has made all the signals that they are blind to the supply and demand issues of treasuries and willing to allow the market to do what it will as long as it results in less inflation. Chairman Powell in...
10 year likely falls to 4.73% next week giving stocks a reversal opportunity to trade back above 4,200. B/C phase currently getting underway. TIMBERRRR
Got to be brave trying to run infront of this steamroller, but we are starting to see signs of bearish divergence where price(yield) is making higher highs, not confirmed by the RSI and MACD which are currently making lower highs. This could be warning of a short term reprieve in yields which could be bullish risk assets. However, given the current environment...
now the price of this chart is rising. This means the yield of 10Y bond is rising harder then the 2 year. which means debt is more expensive. which means less cheap money. money is still cheap in real terms but now less cheap than a year ago. what will the central bankers do? inflation is hidden but still high and if your smart you know the govt numbers are...
Despite hitting our target, the US10Y has kept pushing much higher due to economic uncertainty. Biden has requested for an extra $100 billion in Congress to fund the Russia & Ukraine war, to give money to Taiwan & more money to Israel, to carry on their genocide against Palestine. If this $100 billion is approved, then we can expect Bond prices to carry on...
My TA shows that bond yields will crash down here with the dollar (dxy). BTC just launched up and I believe the stock market is next.
TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence RSI The TVC:US10Y showcases a negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicates that while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield might be increasing, the momentum behind this rise is weakening. Historically, such divergences in the RSI can signal potential trend reversals or price corrections in the near future....
Inverse chart of US10Y Yield to show changes in Bond prices. Overlayed with the following: Fed Funds Rate US Treasury Deposits to Federal Reserve Banks Increase/Decrease Rate of change to Fed Balance Sheet Balance Sheet Total in separate pane below The USCBBS Percentage Change shows the money raining down :-D It's clear to see the relationship between the...
First time US 10Y Yields have hit the 5% mark since July of 2007. Interesting to note. Concurrent to this China has recently turned on the money printers which has lead to more PBOC Liquidity etc. With that being said it has partially driven crypto prices, albeit low sentiment. Which is lovely to see :) Before I get political, this may or may not get...
It was a sort of game of nerves during the previous week, watching the US 10Y yields reach the level of 5%. This occurred for the first time after 2007, but the difference on charts was that no one was sure whether yields would stop at this level. It was such a strong push to the upside, after Fed Chair Powell's speech at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday....
This thread will be dedicated to my thoughts more about inflation and sharing my "monetary" non-political point of view.
I only see uptrend till 5,25% guys like rockie-feller, roths-child and the rest of scumbags elites just print money and buy bonds to hold its price...you must short the T-note future contracts ZN1 and fVck all them up!
HELLO TRADERS , As i can the chart is going to reach at a strong resistance zone and 10Y already our bought so i am looking to let it complete this move and then we will get in trade with a very low risk and higher rewards .... kindly share Ur trade ideas and stay tunes for new updates on these charts
Last time we looked at the U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y), it gave us a technical bounce and profitable buy signal (see chart below) as the Higher Lows trend-line held: This time we get an opposite signal as the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs, while the price is on Higher Highs, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. The asset is still supported both...
After true analysis on 30 Oct 22 that published on my Twitter account now see the Update. I think the correction will continue to the first support zone of about 4.5%.
Using the fib retracement from our last previous cycle high, we can see yields have rallied to our 1.618 level, potentially signifying a top in yields may have been reached We also have a triple bearish divergence on the monthly RSI almost creating this rounded top / head & shoulders pattern, signifying bonds could rally significantly with stocks if this is truly...