TVC:US10Y intraday mapping/analysis. US yields dip while bonds & stocks rip. US10Y in clear downtrend with potential bearish H&S pattern developing, TBC. H&S development would correlate with bonds/stocks pullback before further bullish momentum into EOY. Left shoulder, head & neckline outlined. Right shoulder parameters: Rally above ascending 1st...
10-year US Treasury bond Black Swan and WOLFE detected EMA.50 and EMA.200 are possible targets Look : PRZ Levels: Fibonacci / Bollinger / ICHIMOKU
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) is having the first red month (1M) after rising non-stop since May. It has been on extremely overbought levels for the last 12 months as the price established itself above the multi-decade Bearish Megaphone pattern, the same way it was oversold below it following the March 2020 COVID crash. As you know the price quickly...
As traders look for signals on potential moves in the FX market, a frequent question I receive is regarding the relationship between the 10yr yield and the DXY. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield represents the interest rate on the 10-year government bonds issued by the United States. It is considered a benchmark for long-term interest...
The final breakthrough for the US Treasury yields was the latest FOMC meeting where the Fed decided not to increase further interest rates. Although, they are leaving the possibility for further hikes in case that inflation remains persistent, still, the market perceived it as the end of the Fed's rate hikes. At the beginning of the week, the 10Y US Treasuries...
In December 2022, Howard Marks told in an interview that a "sea change" is underway in markets. When I have seen below charts of TVC:US10Y , I have remembered that interview: (Unfortunately I needed to remove the graph due to lacking reputation points. Maybe you can view with //x/HZKlWa8U ) TVC:US10Y was in a downtrend in a channel since 1980 and this...
TVC:US10Y chart mapping/analysis. US10Y getting dumped off combination FOMC decision, US economic data + US Treasuries update triggering institutional short covering. Bond & equities market squeezed higher, in-line with seasonality. Possible bearish H&S in development on lower timeframe, pending pattern confirmation.
The 10-year and 2-year yields foreshadow a recession. However, the market top is indicated when the yield curve stops inverting around the green area.
"The TVC:US10Y Negative Divergence Played Out as we observed a scenario where the momentum indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), had been showing bearish divergence with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. This indicated a potential weakening of the yield's upward momentum, despite higher prices initially. Subsequently, the divergence 'played out'...
10 years US Yield UP to 1.3%,that position 2016.7,or 2020.2.at that time in 2016,FED pause Hike Rate in whole year.at sametime China supply Money to property, property price fly high in China.
The spread between the US10Y and JP10Y has historically been a great leading indicator of contraction within the Yen Carry Trade and likely will be into the future. If we were to apply TA to it, we can see that the spread appears to be Double Topping and has formed a Bearish Shark at this top as the RSI breaks down and the MACD Diverges. If we are to take this as...
GOOD MORNING! Didn't have time to post yesterday. Busy the entire day until I got home @ 9pm!\ 10 Yr #yield topped the day the original tweet was posted. 30 Yr yield topped the following day! #stocks #bonds TVC:TNX (See profile for more info)
Time bomb... 1990-91 recession 2001 recession 2008-09 recession 2020 recession #recession #gold #spx #purchasingpower
The Fed left its policy rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5% and the US 10Y yield sold off on the back of a less hawkish Fed. The daily chart reveals a small top completed between 4.80-5.02 and this implies a short-term target of 4.58. We are viewing this as a correction lower, rather than the end of the longer-term broader upward trend at this stage. Disclaimer: The...
The yield curve has inverted to the most extreme degree ever, which is a warning that a recession is coming. In this video, I analyze the charts for the AMEX:SPY S&P 500, NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia, NASDAQ:AAPL Apple, and the yield curve on U.S. Treasurys to see what they're telling us about future price action. In the video, I mention that the bull rally following...
Pretty new to this. Looking for feedback to this idea. If breakout occurs, target is approximately the pole height.
Inverse chart of US 10 year bond yields. 6.249% looks like near certainty. 8%, 10% & 12% are all on the table.
The US 10-year yield is showing signs of topping out after recently touching a 16-year high just above 5.00%. It’s still too early to confirm that long-term yields have topped out but given the entrenched inflation, risk-off sentiment and growing US government debt, US long-term yields will probably remain elevated until the Fed’s interest rate policy becomes...