In 2022, the stock market took a hit and the US Dollar gained strength due to higher yields in the US. Toward the end of that year, as yields eased off, the US Dollar lost some of its power, and this coincided with a rebound in stock market performance. Now, as yields are climbing once again, the US Dollar is regaining strength, but it seems like stocks are...
--- ### Market Analysis: TVC:US10Y Nears Crucial Pivot Point #### Critical Juncture for the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) is currently at a pivotal position that could significantly influence market sentiment. This important pivot point is marked by a specific blue line on the chart, serving as a key indicator for...
Hi. Of course there will be some sort of technical rollback soon, it will take a year or so. But, most importantly there is a super bullish quick signal for The 10-Year Treasury Yield. It has happened now, this month, for the first time since 1986. Obviously there is a long cycle of rising 10-year yields ahead of us. Good article in Forbes from a month ago....
Lets see if this plays out. Big red candles. Need more fundamentals.
There has been a lot of anxiety on the market whether the Fed will hike interest rates for one more time till the end of this year, as Fed Chair Powell mentioned a few months ago. However after the inflation data were officially released during the previous week, the market is currently almost quite sure that the Fed will not further increase its interest rates....
This should have profound implications if correct. On the upside, upper bound at 5.75% on the downside 2.5%
BOJ is messing with yield curve control policy which now affects 10YJGB which in turn affect US10YR treasuries. With US treasuries dropping like a rock, it will be interesting to see if JGB's lead/lag US treasuries
This is fairly clear wave count. Each retracement took about the same amount of time. It appears we are completing the end of the 5th wave(estimated blue path) Although right below the current price, we "can" say 5 waves are complete. In the green rectangle is a fair value gap. I'm assuming price will pass through this area toward 4.34% 4.34% is the .786 fib of...
TVC:US10Y 10Y Bonds at uptrend support Place your bets...
Opportunity for trade with good Risk/Return ratio. Signs of Bullish Momentum divergence on MACD indicator Stop Loss and Profit Target determined by boundaries of Channel
The US 10Y yield is approaching decent support around 4.36/35 (August high, support line and Fibo) and the daily RSI is low (it does not normally maintain a move below 30) and this suggests that the market should hold this vicinity and attempt to recover. It is helpful to use the daily RSI in conjunction with a target zone to add weight to an idea that the market...
The US CPI came down more than expected yesterday at 3.2% y/y, and as a result the USD fell sharply with US yeilds, while stocks and metals are on the rise. For now, this seems to be a very important data as it causes also a very important breakdown on USD index and US yeilds. Looking at the US yeilds, we have five waves down, so it means that top is in place,...
US 10 years treasuries yields long term chart since 1790 is forming an expanding flat pattern ABC (Red), where it probably just completed wave II ( Blue Circled) = the first pullback of long term downtrend impulsive C wave ( Red )( further detail in next lower time frame chart ).
Fed Chair Powell's speech in front of the IMF audience in Washington had some impact on the Treasury yields, but it seems that the market is still not ready to take another rate hike for granted. Namely, Powell`s hawkish tone on a possibility of another rate hike if the inflation “reaccelerate'' had an short impact on 2Y Treasuries which moved back to 5%, but the...
The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke again today at a Brookings Institution event. His comments sparked a rally in markets (likely including short covering) that pushed the S&P 500 SP:SPX up about 122 points, or 3.10%, to close at 4080. The Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:NDX rose 4.58% on the day, closing at 12,030. But the bond market is sending less sanguine...
all data is preferring a higher than expected inflation
Volatility is high in US Treasury bond markets, but yields fell this week. n our view, the tide is turning in favour of sovereign bonds. GOLD IS RISING