Another TLT play is about to start. The 20 year bond yields are rejecting off the channels resistance and will likely move back down to the 200 mda and maybe the bottom of the 4 months upward channel. TLT will respond inversely to this. I have been playing TMV and TMF back and forth since November. I'm up 70% over that time. I'll will likely buy into TMF...
20 year Bond Yield reversed in its' 3 month Rising Channel and is now rising to 4.77% due to inflation data in the manufacturing report. Will it break out this time? If so its' going above 5% again.
Bond yields recent uptick is crashing markets and also causing the TLT to drop. Bonds holders have sent their message to the Fed. Ball 🏀 now is the the FED's court
The 20 year bond yield is finishing up a 5 month Bear Flag Pattern and on the inverse TLT is finishing up a 5 month Bull Flag Pattern. The Bond Market smells a Fed Pivot in the works. I bought TLT on 3/21/24 and will hold until we reverse at resistance at $96.50. If we break through resistance at $96.50 then momma gets a new card baby because we are going above...
Understanding yield curve correlations is essential for traders and investors seeking diversification and hedging opportunities across forex, indices, and commodity markets. The yield curve, a graphical representation of bond yields across different maturities, provides valuable insights into interest rate expectations, economic conditions, and market...
The 20 year Bond Yields has been in a channel since 12/2023. On the weekly, it has hit resistance twice and bounced off. We are approaching a third attempt to break through. Iff it does, whhen it does, its' going to 6%.
The 20 Yr Bond Yield will likely move to 4.7% by March 22nd, 2024 based on its' 12/2023 and 04/2020 Channels. Bought into TMV on 3/11/24 based on this reversal on Friday. Looks like this will be a 15% gain once TMV hits resistance next week.
There is a Bearish Harami at the HOP level of a Bearish Bat with Impulsive RSI BAMM Confirmation. Alongside that, we also have 2 Major Squareups significantly below the current level and also an unfilled gap. If these Bearish Signals at the highs are to play along, this should be the start of an even greater retrace to fill the downside gap and to complete the...
Hello Everyone i want share my idea about US economic indicator.
US economic is very strong what we hear but when i am looking that that price action tell me they are falling.
This picture is simple, if my technical analysis will work here we have some strong RSI divergence, if indicator will drop below 50 LVL we will see some little trend change at lower...
In the world of finance and investing, keeping a watchful eye on market trends and indicators is essential for making informed decisions. Lately, I've been closely monitoring the 20-year bond market, and I've noticed some intriguing signals that could have far-reaching implications for the financial landscape.
What caught my attention is the presence of a...
Bonds have been selling off at unprecedented rates for unprecedented lengths. The yield curve as started the un-invert indicating the recession is less than a year out.
The question remains if rates will remain "higher for longer" or if the flattening will include a swift fall in rates due to recessionary pressures, possibly leading to deflation.
If Steven Van...
Possible reversion into the price of US20Y, the MACD show a divergency and the stoch and sensible RSI are overbought.
Maybe the 5% is the top, maybe I'm wrong but there is a good time to buy TLT for long run
Update from original TLT vs. US20Y idea:
- Switched to New Pane comparison for optimized viewing/zooming in on price movements.
- Added TLT Candles for better price action analysis.
- Added TLT trend lines for greater emphasis on inverse correlation + indication of trend break-outs.
Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :)
AMEX:HYG NASDAQ:TLT TVC:US02Y ...
TVC:US20Y double-tops, while NASDAQ:TLT creates a double-bottom..
Question to ask tho - has US20Y actually double-topped, or is this just retracement for a bigger push beyond ATHs?
Looking for further signs of confirmation that long-ended yields have indeed peaked...then I'll feel more confident in popping the champagne.
Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers...
Hi, everybody should consider this huge upward move in longterm bond yield ....
but in my opinion now it is reaching resistance and if it breaks this floor it can attach upper band of parallel channel....
additionally to all of them look at TLT longterm bond ETF always you need to track this for interest rate expectations insight.....
Good luck
The technical weekly uptrend that yields have formed is rather astonishing.
The sheer power of this move suggests likely more upside yields. Some basic measured moves suggest a potential whopping 5.7% on the 20 year.
Imagine TLT long bond traders!
Nothing is probable but it makes you wonder if inflation is becoming more entrenched since the bond market is very...
Publishing the 20 year yield chart to track the progress relative to TLT.
The breakout appears to be gathering steam and if this goes parabolic, things will get very interesting.
Idea on TLT:
the 20 year yields has also recaptured all of the key daily moving averages.
The yield charts on the weekly and monthly chart look ridiculously strong.
