The key is whether the USDT and USDC gap downtrend will stop
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is showing a gap downtrend, leading to a decline in the coin market.
A gap downtrend in USDT or USDC can be interpreted as a sign of capital outflow from the coin market.
The key question is whether this gap-up will lead to another upward trend.
(USDC 1D chart)
USDC is also showing a gap-up trend.
It's worth paying attention to the movements of USDT, which has a significant impact on the coin market.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT is showing a gap-down trend, leading to an increase in USDT dominance.
A rising USDT dominance is likely to lead to a downward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, it's beneficial to see a declining USDT dominance.
This means that funds are flowing into the coin market through USDT, and the inflow of USDT is used to purchase coins, causing USDT dominance to decline.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
As BTC dominance rises, I believe funds will flock to BTC, creating a BTC-led market.
Therefore, we expect an altcoin bull market to emerge when BTC dominance and USDT dominance coincide.
For this to occur, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and either remain stable or exhibit a downward trend.
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Currently, USDT dominance is rising, while BTC dominance is falling.
I believe this movement is best interpreted as altcoins focusing on price defense.
The decline in BTC dominance indicates that funds are flocking to altcoins, while the rise in USDT dominance indicates a downward trend in the coin market.
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Therefore,
we need to determine whether the upward trend of USDT and USDC can be sustained,
starting with the recent gap-up,
see whether the upward trend of USDT dominance has stalled,
and whether BTC dominance can support the price of BTC.
While the USDT, USDC, BTC.D, and USDT.D charts only provide a rough idea of โโthe fund flow in the coin market, I believe this information alone is a valuable resource for individual investors who trade with limited information.
Therefore, I believe this is one of the reasons why the coin market is more transparent than any other investment market.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Market Cap USDT, $
No trades
What traders are saying
๏ปฟTether Quietly Becomes One of the Worldโs Largest Gold HoldersThe level of Tether has been scaled to a new level. It now has a gold holdings of over 23billion. The total reserves are above 148 metric tons. This makes Tether one of the 30 best gold holders in the world. Many countries hold less. Few private firms hold more. This shift is not symbolic. It is an expression of a shift to hard-asset security.
It is a question of the rate of accumulation. In several months, Tether gained approximately 32 tons of gold. The majority of purchases were made in late 2025 and the beginning of the year 2026. This purchasing rate competes with central banks. It signals urgency. It signals conviction. Tether is not hedging. It is rebalancing its balance sheet.
Why Tether Is Stockpiling Gold Now
The logic has been spelled out by the CEO, Paolo Ardoino. Tether wants protection. US Treasury markets are becoming volatile. The interest-rate risk has been on the rise. Political risk has expanded. Fiat systems face pressure. Gold offers neutrality. Gold offers independence. It has historical trust as well. Tether intends to invest about 15 percent of the reserves in gold. That target matters. It shows long-term intent. It demonstrates readiness to stressful situations. Gold reduces correlation. It dampens shocks. When the confidence fails, it cushions the purchasing power.
This plan reinforces the narrative of USDT. Gold diversifies backing. It diminishes the debt of the government. It appeals to global users. In volatile economies especially. A significant number of users do not have faith in paper assets and have faith in gold. The trust is passed onto the token. In the case of crypto markets, this is important. The most utilized stablecoin is still USDT. Its support touches upon the liquidity everywhere. Powerful reserves enhance confidence. They stabilize the trading pairs. They lessen fragility of the system in the times of crisis.
Market Reaction and Community Debate
The announcement caused even power reactions. Supporters praised the move. They see discipline. They see foresight. Critics raised concerns. They want audits and want transparency. They desire to be verified on their own. These debates are not new. But size is perception altering. Being in possession of 148 tons of gold sets one expectations high. Markets demand proof. Trust must match size. The demand of more disclosure will increase.
This action conveys a more general message. Tether is not only the issuer of stablecoins. It acts like a macro allocator and incorporates crypto discipline with hard. Not many crypto companies believe like that. Fewer act on it. Tether is preparing to live in an environment of a weakened fiat trust. Liquidity shocks occur quickly. In places where resistance is more vital than give way.
Altseason Future
Stablecoins are evolving. Basic cash support is not sufficient anymore. Markets want durability. Regulators want clarity. Users want safety. The exposure using gold takes a new dimension. This has the potential of affecting the whole industry. Other issuers may follow. Reserve plans can be diversified. The stablecoins can become more like digital central banks. Tether has moved first.
$USDT & $USDC vs. $ETH - Warning a Funeral could occur. ๐ ๐ ๐
Watch the Stablecoin/ETH Market Cap ratio carefully.
A spike here isn't always 'Dry Powder' waiting to buy.
The Trap: If ETH breaks the $2,400 support level, we could see a 'Liquidation Spiral' that sends the ratio to all-time highs.
This isn't new money coming inโit's ETH value vanishing.
Safe Haven: Cash is King until ETH reclaims its 200-day SMA at $3,400."
#ETH #Ethereum #Stablecoins #MarketCrash #LiquidityTrap #CryptoAnalysis @thecryptosniper #HVF
what does AI say:
๐ The Doomsday Ratio: (USDT + USDC) / ETH
In a crash, this ratio spikes vertically. But unlike a "healthy" spike (where new money enters), this is a "Deleveraging Spike."
1. The ETH Collapse (The Denominator Shrinks)
Revenue Compression: Layer 2s are so efficient now that they are starving the Mainnet of fees. Without a high "burn" rate, ETH is becoming slightly inflationary again, losing its "Ultra Sound Money" appeal.
The ETF "Exodus": If institutional investors see ETH as a "leveraged claim on ecosystem activity" that isn't growing, they may rotate back to Gold or Bitcoin. A sustained outflow from spot ETFs could trigger a -40% re-rating.
The Liquidation Spiral: Since many "loopers" use ETH as collateral to borrow stablecoins, a price drop below $2,400 could trigger a cascade of liquidations on Aave/Compound, forcing more ETH onto the market and crushing its market cap.
2. The TradFi Standoff (The Numerator Stagnates)
The "Trust Gap": If the ratio increases simply because ETH is dying, TradFi institutions won't "buy the dip" with new USDC. They will wait for more regulatory "Supervision" rather than just "Legislation".
The Yield Trap: If stablecoins like USDT/USDC don't offer higher yields than risk-free US Treasuries (currently highly competitive in 2026), there is no incentive for a corporate treasurer to move cash onto the blockchain.
Altcoins are in a similar channel as in 2022โ2023.I believe that as long as the interest rate stays at 4.5%, we wonโt see real growth in altcoins โ only short-term pumps. Rate cuts are expected to begin in the summer, but it will take some time to have an effect. I would compare the current market to both 2019 and 2022.
ETH Bottomed last week!This chart illustrates the ratio of the market capitalization of the top three stablecoins and that of Ethereum (ETH).
The correlation is quite evident, as anticipated.
We are likely approaching a phase where these stablecoins will be deployed, with Ethereum being a key beneficiary, signalling that we are entering a period of increased risk appetite and overall market buoyancy.
#ALTS
#USDT
#USDC
#DAI
#ETH
USDT vs. ETH: A Silent Signal for the Crypto Market?We often scrutinize the price charts of volatile cryptocurrencies, but a look at stablecoin market capitalization can reveal surprising insights.
Recently, Tether's USDT market cap chart caught my eye, particularly when juxtaposed with leading cryptocurrencies.
While comparisons with Bitcoin have shown interesting correlations between USDT supply and broader market cycles, it's the comparison with Ethereum (ETH) that raises a compelling question.
The chart shows that Bitcoin along with several other cryptocurrencies have exceeded their 2021 price highs yet Ethereum remains below its previous peak. The market capitalization of USDT increased by 75% from 2021 to present day.
This divergence is noteworthy. The growth of USDT's market cap signifies an increase in its circulating supply, presumably driven by inflows of USD (or equivalent) into Tether's reserves.
Why would people exchange their fiat for USDT if they did not plan to use the funds within the cryptocurrency space?
The rising demand for USDT coins indicates that market participants expect increased crypto market activity.
However, the fact that USDT's growth significantly outpaces Ethereum's price recovery suggests a potential disconnect.
Either there's an unusual surge in demand for USDT for purposes outside of immediate crypto investment (less likely), or significant capital is being positioned on the sidelines, potentially waiting for strategic entry points.
Considering recent reports of increasing activity in large Bitcoin accumulation addresses, the latter scenario seems more plausible.
The large increase in USDT market capitalization together with Ethereum's flat price performance compared to its former peak might indicate substantial accumulation activities that could lead to future market movements.
Say No To Treasury-backed or institutional stablecoins Treasury-backed or institutional stablecoins are detrimental to crypto!
These will ultimately lead to stablecoins that are programmable money.
In other words, the issuers of these stablecoins will be able to manipulate them at will, freeze, burn, or inflate them as they please, rather than allowing the market to dictate.
This will foster more centralization, which goes against the entire ethos of crypto!
Like and repost this to spread the message that we do not like this, and follow me to join the fight.
Governments and institutions are harmful to crypto! @CryptoJayTrades
Liquidity entering the marketIn February, we may have experienced the greatest trap in Crypto Cycles, where the expected outcome was supposed to favor ETH and Alts, but instead, market makers pushed the price against all odds, using the narrative of tariffs against the retail investors.
A very nice M formation buildup failed to complete its form, increasing the liquidity exponentially, a trend that I expect to continue in a more aggressive way soon.
In my view, the next 2 weeks will see some compression on the charts of most large caps, time in which some alts will pump massively, after which we would either touch MA9 and bounce, or test MA14 and potentially see BTC price retesting the 70k range again, before a major pump pushes everything above any expected ATH.
Dow Theory Part 1 | Univers Of Signals AcademyWelcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel Technical Analysis Training
We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis
๐จ What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to predict price movements in financial markets by analyzing past data, especially price and trading volume. This approach is based on the idea that historical price patterns tend to repeat and can help traders identify profitable opportunities.
๐น Why is Technical Analysis Important?
Technical analysis helps traders and investors predict future price movements based on past price action. Its importance comes from several key benefits:
Faster Decision-Making: No need to analyze financial reports or complex newsโjust focus on price patterns and trading volume.
Better Risk Management: Tools like support & resistance, indicators, and chart patterns help traders find the best entry and exit points.
Applicable to All Markets: Technical analysis can be used in Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and even real estate.
Understanding Market Psychology: Charts reveal investor emotions like fear and greed, allowing traders to react accordingly.
๐ Real-Life Example
Imagine you own a mobile phone shop and want to predict whether phone prices will go up or down in the next few months.
๐น Fundamental Analysis Approach
You follow the news and see that the USD exchange rate is rising, and phone manufacturers plan to increase prices. Based on this, you predict that phone prices will go up soon.
๐น Technical Analysis Approach
You analyze past price trends and notice that every year, phone prices tend to increase before the New Year. This pattern has repeated for several years, so you assume it will happen again. As a result, you buy stock before the price hike and make a profit.
This example shows that technical analysis allows you to make decisions based on past market behavior without relying on external news.
๐ Introduction to Dow Theory
Today, for the first part of our lessons, we will begin with Dow Theory, which was developed by American journalist Charles Dow. Many traders still use this method for analysis and trading.
Dow Theory is one of the fundamental concepts in technical analysis, developed by Charles Dow, the founder of The Wall Street Journal and co-founder of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This theory provides a structured approach to understanding market trends and price movements and is still widely used today by traders and analysts.
Dow Theory consists of six core principles, which we will explain in detail:
๐ Principles of Dow Theory
1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto)
2 - The Market Has Three Trends
3 - Trends Have Three Phases
4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed
5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
6 - Volume Confirms the Trend
๐ต Principle 1: Price is All You Need
According to this principle, all available information is already reflected in asset prices. This includes economic data, political events, earnings reports, trader expectations, and even market sentiment.
If a company releases strong earnings, its stock price might not rise significantly because investors had already anticipated this and bought in advance.
โ Why This Is Important
Technical analysts focus on price movements rather than external news since all information is already factored into the market.
Instead of reacting to news, traders analyze historical price trends to predict future price movements.
๐ Principle 2: The Market Has Three Types of Trends
Dow Theory states that markets move in three types of trends, each occurring over different timeframes:
1 - Primary Trend: This is the main movement of the market, dictating the long-term direction, and can last for years.
2 - Secondary Trends: These are corrective movements that run opposite to the primary trend. For instance, if the primary trend is bullish, the corrective trend will be bearish. These trends can last from weeks to months.
3- Minor Trends: These are the daily price fluctuations in the asset. Although minor trends can last for weeks, their direction will always align with the primary trend, even if they contradict the secondary trend.
๐ก Final Thoughts for Today
This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis.
โ ๏ธ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market
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The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market.
Among them, it discloses the flow of funds.
Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds.
Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds.
Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets.
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USDT continues to update its ATH.
You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT.
USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered.
The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in.
If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market.
USDC is likely to be composed of US funds.
Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market.
But it is not all good.
This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market.
This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate.
In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC.
Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds.
Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present.
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As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds.
The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective.
As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds.
Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations.
The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend.
Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak.
Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time.
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(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart.
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(1M chart)
On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise.
The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created.
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You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above.
In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement.
Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates.
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I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market.
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Have a good time. Thank you.
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- โโBig picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Capitulation of altcoins OTHERSAs you can see on the chart we are repeating the pattern exactly as it was in 2021, it is not a fact that it'll work, but we need to keep a close eye on ema21 1d, if this chart continues to grow and hold on ema21 as a support, there is a high probability to see the capitulation of altcoins and the whole market before the end of the year.
USDT Market cap & Bitcoin Price Update"$15k to $74k"...In this bitcoin rally, market dumped total 5 times ๐
But every time the CRYPTOCAP:USDT market cap is just going UP๐ Whales are pumping market by buying every dip๐
After touching $74K, btc price dumped -32% but USDT Market cap pumped almost +16%
It indicates that usdt is printed daily to buy the dips!
pbs.twimg.com
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2017 : USDT MCAP 1.4B - BTC ATH 20K
2021 : USDT MCAP 82B - BTC ATH 69K
2024 : USDT MCAP is now 118B - BTC Price is $60K
USDT pumped +44% but btc still below previous ATH
The Bull Run is not over!
pbs.twimg.com
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12 Month bearish confirmation begins the post-scarcity economyThe end of all currency is coming!
Post-scarcity economy is coming. No currency nor value in the future. Money is creating havoc in this world
of competition and its coming to an end. Cost of living is free in the coming future so investing is a big
waste of time and resources. As you can see the motivation in the markets is dying. Debt can no longer
support the world economy any longer. The world is changing to save ourselves from extinction.
No currency No investments No competition creates equality and richer lives with deeper meaning.
There is no future if cost of living continues to rise and climate change affects global health and stability.
A brave new world is about to happen and millions of wealthy people will not like losing there status.
Enrich your lives and focus on reflection of ones self. Life is meaningless as a slave to cost of living.
The End of value creation to promote wealth of knowledge.
Artificially creating inflation creates inflation. Without cost of living the world will begin to heal
from climate change. Poverty and inequality will become extinct or the human race will become
extinct. Resources are precious and so is life.
USDT/ADA Trade - Looking Temporarily BearishWill likely see a short decline in price for a quick daily short trade. in the coming months the winds may change. Ill update the trade for those whom are trading longer term.
Targets won't be specified. But could be every step of the way in increments of .5%
Why Stablecoin Growth a leading Indicator for Bitcoin's PriceStablecoin fundamentals could help shine a light on what's next for #bitcoin.
Periods, where USDT market-cap growth falls to zero on my index, have consistently been turning points for Bitcoin, typically leading to rallies higher.
In my opinion, we are at a point similar to Feb 2024.
๐If liquidity starts to grow in stablecoins, we could see the next leg higher start.






















