MACRO MONDAY 8 S&P500 / M2 Money Supply ( SP:SPX / $WMN2S) M2 is a broad measure of the US money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and other types of deposits that are readily convertible to cash such as CDs. M2 is seen as a reliable metric for forecasting/predicting inflation and for this reason it can be used as leading economic indicator....
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The index reached our projected Mean Res 5200 and swiftly jumped higher to press on to our Key Res 5260 and anticipated outcome of Outer Index Rally 5280; this upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5178 and 5108. However, Spooz could go down to hit the two Mean Support levels from its current position...
This is what I'm seeing rights now a regular flat of wave 4. it might push to 5350 as an expanded flat wave. 5350 will be the invalidation of the idea of wave 4.
The index has made the abc correction I expected. This is a necessary abc drop to start reaching new heights. One of the most important things to understand when looking to buy various popular stocks. Also applies to Bitcoin. PS this index is designed to go up forever, at least as long as we exist on this planet. Pure logical thinking.
After recovering large amounts of liquidity on April 19 at $4948, retraced in the OTE zone, we went back up, creating 2 nice CHoCHs. I really went back to buying at the CHoCH at $5173, which for me marks a real return to the upside. I'm very confident that a new ATH is imminent. 3 zones to look for before the ATH: ✅ 5219$ ✅ 5242$ ✅ 5265$ In my opinion, this...
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5187.64. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5061.15 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can...
All the major US stock indices were firmer on Tuesday, building on gains from the latter half of last week. Investors were relieved to wave goodbye to April which proved to be an unsettling one in terms of increased volatility. Sentiment soured significantly last month, following an uninterrupted rally since the end of October. But US stock indices have had a...
In order to assess whether it is a good time to increase exposure to riskier assets such as equities, institutional traders often use correlation tools and inter-market analysis. Depending on the macro environment (uncertainties, market drivers, monetary narratives), traders periodically assess their exposure between offensive and defensive values (Risk-on vs...
SP500 reached a strong reversal area where price reacted in the previous week. I was expecting a little pump in my previous ideas, and honestly i wasn't expecting it to rise so much. But i am holding my short trades and i am adding more here, consider i expect a selloff this month. First target the support zone at 4990
Developed in the 1930s by Ralph Nelson Elliott, Elliott Wave Theory proposes that markets unfold in a series of five-wave impulses followed by three-wave corrections. These "waves" represent the collective emotions of investors, shifting from optimism and bullishness (impulsive waves) to fear and bearishness (corrective waves). The Anatomy of a Wave: Impulse...
The S&P 500 (US500) is rising towards the pivot. Could this index potentially reverse off this level to drop towards the 1st support? Pivot: 5,203.08 1st Support: 5,122.82 1st Resistance: 5,248.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and...
Good evening to all, after a wave A is followed by B which is developing, and can reach the reverse of A measured as AND 88.6% fibonatsi, that is 5200 to 5230 then we have a wave C which can reach from 4913 to 4765 and maybe even lower.
The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...
Follow-up to my previous 5137 Top Call (click). Markets appear to be retracing finally. This could be just the start of correction. Minimum next leg depicted goes to 4900-ish. $ 5109-5137 is major resistance that may be retested. $ 5044-5049 a minor support that will hopefully bounce. $ 4896-4924 is next major support and BEST GUESS...
This is a short-term outlook on the S&P500 (SPX) following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The short-term pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and is giving us some important developments. Even though yesterday's attempt to stay above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) failed, the index managed to stay on the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and is...
Rally was short and sweet. Got 0.50. Fibo. Meta cracked it. Was fading all day already after the morning pump; just three up days. C legs typically extend farther and give a 1.62 extension, capitulation and panic prevail. May will be Bearish, at least to start, imo. Need to watch this correction carefully to gauge whether it takes ABC form or a more sinister...
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5188.9. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5282.3 level. P.S Please, note that...
SPX500 went down sharply And the SPX is locally oversold So as we are already seeing a Bullish rebound from the Horizontal support level of 5015 A further move up is to be expected !