When the VIX drops below $12, it's time to consider a cautious approach. Instead of jumping in headfirst, I gradually enter long positions in UVIX and UVXY calls over the course of one week to several months, while directly holding onto VIX, UVIX, and UVXY.
Past experiences with mistimed UVXY Long Calls, particularly during the pre and post-COVID periods, have...
While volatility pulled back following a spike earlier this month, this week will put it back to the test with the FOMC meeting (on Tuesday and Wednesday) and economic releases throughout the week, including S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTs job openings, S&P Global Composite PMI, S&P Global Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, nonfarm...
First post in a long time. COVID had me too busy to do charting. Most my investments sat through in ETFS and REITs.
VIX is showing same pattern as in early 2000s, 2008, 2010-11. Market doesn't like it above this line, tends to test then bounce.
Here on the TVC:VIX we are making a very simple and very basic technical forecast based solely on the CCI.
We previously called a breakout on the TVC:VIX weekly chart shortly before our market pullback with excellent results.
Now we are examining the monthly chart for any clues to the next big breakout.
On the monthly chart CCI is pointed up on the ...
am not bullish on the market. I am mostly holding selectively bullish until we get a sub $12 dip in the VIX. That's when I go long on UVXY, UVIX, URA, possibly GLD, cash, and short SQQQ and other stocks. If you look at the 1-month to 6-month history of the VIX back to as far as it goes, like the 1999/2002 tech bubble bursting, 2007/2008 RE Crisis turned Great...
VIX, or the annualized 30-day implied volatility of the S&P 500, is calculated throughout each trading day by averaging the weighted prices of a specific group of S&P 500 call and put options.
no matter what way you cut it, the VIX needs 12.50 before it rallies and the markets correct. We should bounce at 12.50 with an 80% probability, but before our major market correction, again we will post sub 12$ pps tape hits on the VIX, but i think we bounce again at 12.50 and continue this way until Q3-Q4 when we threaten the sub $12 market, but we may like in...
Traders,
Previously, you know that I had anticipated that our pullback might last a bit longer through May. However, today the charts are showing me that this might not be the case.
Let's start with the SPY. Originally, I had predicted a touch of the bottom of the RED channel. Then, based upon my analysis of the dollar, VIX, precious metals, and mega-corp...
🟡Breadth - Stocks Above 50 Day
🔴 AMEX:SPY Red Light
🟢 AMEX:IWM Green Light
🟢 TVC:VIX Green Light
🔴Leaders NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SMCI NYSE:CPNG
They are not leading but it's also feeling like there might be a changing of the guard or at least some of the guards? (New Leaders Emerge)
🟡Risk Appetite
🟢 NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:DJT
...
While the market leaders are indicating risk on measures are still in place there is some good news in market breadth using 10 Day MAs.
AMEX:SPY Stocks Above 50 Day - Flipping Green
AMEX:IWM Stocks Above 50 Day - Flipping Green
TVC:VIX Inverted - Flipping Green
Most people know, but there are only two relevant zones in VIX that foretell economy volatility (and the scariest buzzword of them all - a recession).
Bears love to say the market will fall tomorrow, then next week, next month, next year, next presidential term, etc... until it finally happens, and they tell you they saw it coming all along. Meanwhile, their...
A walk the VIX Memory Lane may be most beneficial to any trader because like clockwork, news scrambles to match up post-haste what happens in the market, but you dont' have to wait for that. Every major market correction that led to a VIX Spike and in turn high UVXY/UVIX many times over 1000% within 1-2 months has been after a fleeting drop below 12...
Not there...
Don't miss our latest analysis on the VIX! We're observing a rise towards $19.50, with a potential short-term top in sight. Stay updated with Candlestick Ninja on TradingView!
The Markets are moving money into buying Puts and this signals Fear. This is what war does I suppose and is the logical scenario that we would anticipate. Put Options are being bought as market participants anticpate lower prices on the Indices overall in the Short term at least here. We gapped up to a Daily level on the Vix where we consequently observed a...
