Kappy

PRO
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Joined happy4kappy
We learn to be more objective when we subject ourselves to the humility of being wrong. This is my journ-ey(al).
Markets Allocation
69 % cryptocurrency 18 % stocks 8 % forex 5 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 43% | 17 COINBASE:BTCUSD 12% | 5 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 7% | 3 WEED 5% | 2
Kappy Kappy PRO VZ, M, Long ,
VZ: Verizon after doubling down on NFL
48 0 0
VZ, M Long
Verizon after doubling down on NFL

Verizon is a solid dividend paying stock 4.62% http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/21737823/verizon-nfl-agree-new-5-year-deal-worth-nearly-25-billion

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Updated conservative count on bitcoin - still room for upside
264 0 2
BTCUSD, D
Updated conservative count on bitcoin - still room for upside

As the title suggests, this is a conservative count for bitcoin's big picture with Elliott Wave Analysis. There are many possibilities for extension and, of course, counting a top is possible too. It's hard to even call out a highest probability count at this time. Just based on the number of possibilities I see, I think we are more likely to see more upside.

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin (Primary 5th) Elliott Wave Count
259 0 2
BTCUSD, D
Bitcoin (Primary 5th) Elliott Wave Count

It's been a while. I humbly must admit what I thought was too soon and highly unlikely a couple years to nearly 6 months ago has unfolded. There were plenty of sound reasons then to cast doubt on bitcoin's upside technically and fundamentally. Bitcoin is proving to be antifragile which I like. It's probably too soon to label minute waves, for example wave (v), ...

Kappy Kappy PRO WEED, D, Long ,
WEED: Growing and Going Higher
88 0 4
WEED, D Long
Growing and Going Higher

See the related idea below for more commentary. This is a bigger picture wave count for WEED that is clearer to see using a line chart. According to this count, just shy of validation, we are in wave ((iii)) of 3 of (1) of ((5)). Lots of upside!

Kappy Kappy PRO WEED, D, Long ,
WEED: WEED buy signals
254 0 4
WEED, D Long
WEED buy signals

$WEED is just shy of invalidating the bearish count (red). Things are looking bullish for WEED based on the blue Elliott Wave count. A three wave zigzag (A)-(B)-(C) completed in June and the initial build up of 1-2 waves is what we see now. Additionally, the changing to a negative social mood supports from a socionomic perspective the repeal of prohibition. This ...

Kappy Kappy PRO WPPGY, M, Long ,
WPPGY: WPP Ready to Rally
26 0 2
WPPGY, M Long
WPP Ready to Rally

Nice setup for a fifth wave rally. We have a five wave (also see log scale) impulse followed by a clear three wave decline. Two impulse waves have followed with a clear 5 subwaves on the monthly chart in the third wave. The last two years have been a sideways consolidation - wave four - building a base for the fifth wave rally. Primary target $179 Low target ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Step Back: 2 Charts, Same Target Zone - Part 2
610 3 13
BTCUSD, D
Step Back: 2 Charts, Same Target Zone - Part 2

Part 2: An expanding flat corrective pattern is unfolding at cycle degree. Primary wave ((B)) is nearing completion. What is depicted here is an extreme simplification of several possibilities. The following wave, primary degree wave ((C)), will unfold as a five wave impulse. The target would be returning to the bottom of primary degree wave ((A)). It could be ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Step Back: 2 Charts, Same Target Zone - Part 1
378 5 6
BTCUSD, D
Step Back: 2 Charts, Same Target Zone - Part 1

Part 1: A bullish five wave impulse at cycle degree scale is nearing completion. Completing a five wave cycle marks the top of a supercycle degree wave I. The target would be a 3 wave cycle degree decline to the previous fourth wave of once lesser degree, the zone of cycle wave IV. *The pattern in which the decline to next major low is met will determine which ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: And boom goes the dynamite!
1044 7 13
BTCUSD, 240 Short
And boom goes the dynamite!

My previously published chart called that a series of 1 & 2 waves had developed. Price looks like it is now dropping in third wave fashion. There's as slight adjustment to the count which makes this wave (3) of ((3)) of iii of (iii). In the news: Bitcoin Miners Miss the First BIP 148 “Deadline” ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, 120, Short ,
BTCUSD: Have we been fooled for a triangle? Series of 1s & 2s
554 15 7
BTCUSD, 120 Short
Have we been fooled for a triangle? Series of 1s & 2s

A big mistake in Elliott Wave analysis is doubting yourself that a pattern developing would be so big that your bias says "it can't" or "that's an extremely slim possibility" and you rule out the count. This is a possibility to the down-side right now. Keep in mind several forks are highly likely in 2 weeks! We can't predict what that means for price action. ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Expecting more upside with Bitcoin
677 6 13
BTCUSD, D Long
Expecting more upside with Bitcoin

Pressing play on the "3 degrees of 5 wave patterns complete" chart a triangle has unfolded. The triangle indicates more bullishness but it's the final move next. The triangle is either complete with the initial waves 1 and 2 following (solid line) or, wave e is in its final move (dashed line). The correction that follows should be BIG according to the larger ...

Kappy Kappy PRO EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: Euro short trade
251 5 9
EURUSD, 60 Short
Euro short trade

After a clear 5 wave decline at small degree we can now see a clear 3 wave correction. The zigzag retraced to the .618 fib. The hourly candle closing at 6:00 UTC should provide us some confirmation that the correction has ran out of steam and it's time to pull the trigger to sell. Based on the Elliott Wave count and 61.8% retrace I am confident selling after a ...

Kappy Kappy PRO EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: Key levels on Euro
119 1 6
EURUSD, D
Key levels on Euro

Count is invalid if invalidation lines are hit. Target for wave ((iv)) is the .382 fib to complete an expanding flat pattern. Look for RSI to diverge in the fifth wave of (c) of ((iv)).

Kappy Kappy PRO HACK, D, Long ,
HACK: Bullish on Cybersecurity
78 0 3
HACK, D Long
Bullish on Cybersecurity

We are becoming more and more dependent on the internet. Along with this increased dependence the social desire for cyber defense will grow. Even at high costs the demand and necessity will be strong. A single company will not monopolize security of the internet - it's too big and too complex - but I do think a broad index of companies building the "immune system ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, W, Short ,
BTCUSD: Long-term Bullish, but not now #Bitcoin
547 11 11
BTCUSD, W Short
Long-term Bullish, but not now #Bitcoin

This is my long-term view of the Bitcoin Elliott Wave structure taking into consideration all historic price data.

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: 3 degrees of 5 wave patterns complete
247 0 10
BTCUSD, D
3 degrees of 5 wave patterns complete

Intermediate wave (C) – of the primary degree wave B (circle) of the expanding flat correction unfolding since the 2013 top – is complete. Five wave impulses at three degrees (Minor, Minute, Minuette) are complete for intermediate wave (C). This could be it. I have stepped away from the ending diagonal interpretation for wave (C). The wave structure since ...

Kappy Kappy PRO (BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4, W, Short ,
(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4: Watch for Bitcoin Weekly Shooting Star Reversal Candle
1003 0 16
(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4, W Short
Watch for Bitcoin Weekly Shooting Star Reversal Candle

I've been consistent in my analysis since July of last year (see related ideas). It certainly surpassed my projections. The mainstream media is finally covering bitcoin AFTER it has rallied $2000 or moved up at least 300%. Now, "experts" will explain this rally to you and justify why "this time is different." I view this as a major sell signal (i.e. optimism at ...

Kappy Kappy PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: The Arithmetic Bull vs The Log Bear
304 0 8
BTCUSD, D
The Arithmetic Bull vs The Log Bear

The bearish primary degree count (on log scale) still satisfies more factors (i.e. volume trends, sentiment, proportionality, distance, time) than the bullish cycle degree count (on arithmetic scale) and I consider it the higher probability scenario. Log scale shows that the rally to new all-time highs is not as big as it seems. Arithmetic scale shows how steep ...

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