nick.holland78

PRO
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About me Primary analyze markets using Elliott Wave principle, augmented with Fibonacci relationships to identify targets for retracements and projected extensions. Learn the technique, as I did, from Avi Gilburt on his site.
Joined Alabama
Markets Allocation
67 % stocks 3 % commodities 1 % indices 29 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GDX 10% | 49 UNG 8% | 40 SPX 8% | 40 XAGUSD 7% | 35
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, D, Long ,
GDX: GDX - Daily
83 0 3
GDX, D Long
GDX - Daily

Bigger picture (to keep me accountable). See trade ideas on linked idea.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, 120, Long ,
GDX: GDX - 2hr
85 7 7
GDX, 120 Long
GDX - 2hr

Looking for a turn over the next few days setting up the heart of iii of wave 1 in green. This is my primary expectation. The smaller white 1-2 is an outside alternative, but feasible. The white count has miners farther along in the count, but targets for waves 3-4-5 would be lower than those in the green count.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, 240, Long ,
GDX: GDX - 4hr
264 11 10
GDX, 240 Long
GDX - 4hr

Setting up for the next move higher? If so, this expanded flat since the new year fooled me a bit. I knew it was a possibility but still, my hedging wasn't on target as I've been distracted with my 3rd child born just over two weeks ago... My resistance and support boxes haven't moved in at least three weeks...the big one in the 30s has been established for ...

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO NG1!, D, Long ,
NG1!: NG1! - Daily
206 4 10
NG1!, D Long
NG1! - Daily

Updated for what appears to have been an expanded flat in wave 2. Regardless, I was too aggressive earlier. Been out-of-pocket with my 3rd child born just over two weeks ago. I've updated this pattern and will watch for a solid impulse in wave cir-i off this low. Hold a corrective retrace from there in cir-ii and this could finally take off in the powerful ...

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO NG1!, D, Long ,
NG1!: NG1! - Daily
123 3 7
NG1!, D Long
NG1! - Daily

Presumed start to wave iii of 3 was delayed (green count busted). Alternative deeper circle i-ii in blue is now my primary and we *may* see the strongest portion of this next move up soon. If the pattern is right, then a few squiggles lower are all that remain in (c) of cir-ii of 3. Aggressive entry is in this region. Safest entry is another 5-wave move toward ...

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, 120, Long ,
GDX: GDX - 2hr
103 1 5
GDX, 120 Long
GDX - 2hr

Aggressive yellow sub-division of green 1 depends on an expanded running flat, not unheard of in a bullish run. The minute green circle i-ii now has an expanded (b) wave (today's high?) which would suggest a high consolidation perhaps only near the 22s. Nothing bearish at all above 20. See also Daily idea for larger pattern projections.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, D, Long ,
GDX: GDX - Daily
220 1 6
GDX, D Long
GDX - Daily

Updated with new log-scale fib extension targets for Primary wave 1.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO XAGUSD, 60, Long ,
XAGUSD: XAGUSD - 1hr
78 0 7
XAGUSD, 60 Long
XAGUSD - 1hr

Retraces may continue to be quite shallow IF this count is on target.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO CDE, 120, Long ,
CDE: CDE - 2hr
53 2 4
CDE, 120 Long
CDE - 2hr

Monstrous +13% day. Shallow wave (2) relative to other miners, assuming its complete. A pattern like the one I've outlined for wave 1 would add confidence. Retraces may be relatively short and shallow if this is, in fact, the start of wave (3). Note structure of wave (1) off the low last year. As always, my notes aren't meant to indicate timing.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDXJ, 120,
GDXJ: GDXJ - 2hr
77 3 4
GDXJ, 120
GDXJ - 2hr

Some individual names have patterns suggesting this more immediately aggressive yellow pattern within minor wave 1, whereas others the white minute i-ii structure. I'd like to see the resistance region taken out over the next week or so regardless.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, 120,
GDX: GDX - 2hr
112 4 6
GDX, 120
GDX - 2hr

For reference against some of my individual miner ideas posted. Remember, each individual name has its own pattern.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO SPY, 120, Long ,
SPY: SPY - 2hr
60 2 3
SPY, 120 Long
SPY - 2hr

SPY held above the 61.8% extension on this recent pullback. I believe we're in a fourth wave of some degree but unsure exactly so will tread a bit more cautiously until more certain. Will take long profits at the lower end of my targets, depending on where the price pattern achieves sufficient waves to be considered complete.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO IWM, 120, Long ,
IWM: IWM - 2hr
46 1 2
IWM, 120 Long
IWM - 2hr

I need more proof that the fourth wave (of whatever degree) in wave 3 is complete. Today isn't helping on the micro level...but still well above support in the bigger picture.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO XLV, 120, Long ,
XLV: XLV - 2hr
30 1 2
XLV, 120 Long
XLV - 2hr

In lower resistance region now, approaching prior resistance as shown with lower box. Need some big extensions to get back on track with the impulsive pattern I have depicted for wave 3. I'm long 17Mar17 72 calls from avg 0.68. Hyper-aggressive. Trade safe my friends...

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO SA, 120, Long ,
SA: SA - 2hr
41 3 3
SA, 120 Long
SA - 2hr

I was early on Seabridge Gold. Should have stopped out but the swing position was small...may look to add to this position on a retrace. SA dipped below ideal wave (2) support but has a solid impulsive looking move so far off the low. Need to see something like this 1-2 play out if wave (3) is indeed underway.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO RIC, 240, Long ,
RIC: RIC - 4h
22 1 3
RIC, 240 Long
RIC - 4h

RIC held above the 61.8% extension of presumed wave 4 of (3). Slightly different pattern than what I'm tracking on some other names, so the nature of this presumed impulsive move will be an indication if something else is operative. I plan to take swing trade profits above 15, or else stop out as the pattern dictates.

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO AKG, 120, Long ,
AKG: AKG - 2hr
27 0 3
AKG, 120 Long
AKG - 2hr

Impulsive looking bounce off support. I was early on this one, as I was on many other miners, but great R/R for a swing trade. Stop below 2.59 low, or trail behind higher lows if more sensitive to drawdowns. Looks like a clear 5-waves up already, so may be due a consolidation soon. I'd like to see min 4.24 reached in wave (1) but I don't plan track the ...

nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO HMY, 120, Long ,
HMY: HMY - 2hr
38 0 4
HMY, 120 Long
HMY - 2hr

I've got 5-waves up. May already be in wave circle-iii. Wonderful potential here with a stop below the recent 1.87 low. A ~2.20 stop may get taken out IF wave circle-ii is operative, but would also be viable if 2.33 was the top of circle-I. Green fib targets revised slightly lower from prior ideas due to lower C of (2).

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