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About me Primary analyze markets using Elliott Wave principle, augmented with Fibonacci relationships to identify targets for retracements and projected extensions. Learn the technique, as I did, from Avi Gilburt on his site.
Online Joined a year ago Alabama
Markets Allocation
65 % stocks 2 % commodities 1 % indices 31 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
GDX 9% | 42 SPX 9% | 40 UNG 9% | 40 XAGUSD 7% | 33
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO VGZ, 144, Long , 2 hours ago
VGZ: VGZ - 144min
11 0 1
VGZ, 144 Long
VGZ - 144min
I know I've posted ideas on some of the sub-$1 miners, warning that positions should be kept small until we get confirmation. So far, a good start to proving the correction is over in wave (2). The larger 1-2 will add confidence. Retraces may be small in a presumed wave (3), and I'm not sure about the timing as ...
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO XAUUSD, 60, Long , 2 hours ago
52 1 5
XAUUSD, 60 Long
XAUUSD - 1hr
Similar to silver, gold needs to show a more convincing impulsive pattern. So far seeing a nice bounce of the 61.8% retrace fib, log-scale.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO XAGUSD, 60, Long , 2 hours ago
18 0 2
XAGUSD, 60 Long
XAGUSD - 1hr
I need to see the 1-2 pattern fill in before I'm confident silver has finished its correction. Still, that MACD positive divergence has been strongly suggesting a bounce...
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO SPY, 30, Long , 21 hours ago
SPY: SPY - 30min
53 0 1
SPY, 30 Long
SPY - 30min
Perhaps wave (ii) was shallower than I anticipated. Wave 3 has a tendency to surprise this way. Wave (iii) of cir-iii of 3 is another ~5% higher. Targets remain the same as earlier ideas. Count is a little different than IWM which seems further along in wave 3. Over support, I remain bullish. Nothing in the ...
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO IWM, 30, Long , 21 hours ago
IWM: IWM - 30min
17 0 1
IWM, 30 Long
IWM - 30min
Perhaps (v) of cir-iii of 3 is underway. Target region on chart unchanged from earlier ideas. Please remember observe the most important rule of Elliott Wave theory...never trade against a 3rd wave.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO SSRI, 240, 2 days ago
SSRI: SSRI - 4hr
23 2 2
SSRI, 240
SSRI - 4hr
Does this system work? You be the judge. Here's my typical targets and supports as yellow boxes. White count is highly suspect unless 22.42 gets taken out strongly.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO DRD, 240, 2 days ago
DRD: DRD - 4hr
20 0 3
DRD, 240
DRD - 4hr
I've got an order open for 4.40. Initial target is 8.24 though I may hold much longer. DRDGOLD pays exceptional dividends.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GFI, 240, Long , 2 days ago
GFI: GFI - 4hr
17 0 3
GFI, 240 Long
GFI - 4hr
I should have stopped out of Gold Fields LTD but held on. My position is small anyway. Excellent R/R entry with a break out over 3.30, stop at 2.94 (or where the low forms...).
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO VGZ, 240, 4 days ago
VGZ: VGZ - 4h
19 0 3
VGZ, 240
VGZ - 4h
Posting this idea to explain what I'm doing with all my fib calculations. And trying to convince TradingView to program the calculations as a selectable option in the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool. The Fib Retracement calculation is quite similar. Its' the exponent of the difference in LN(price points) ...
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO PAAS, D, 4 days ago
PAAS: PAAS - Daily
15 1 3
PAAS - Daily
Pan American Silver Corp had a great day, and may have signaled it's low. See hourly chart below. Recommend stop below 13.80, or possibly 16 depending on your tolerance.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO UNG, 240, 4 days ago
UNG: UNG & NG swing trade set-up
36 4 3
UNG, 240
UNG & NG swing trade set-up
I plan to let this one set up, but eyeing a long entry for the heart of presumed wave 3 off the lows. Retrace may not be as deep as I've depicted. Taking out the recent high after an initial 3-wave correction could indicate the rally has begun. Higher high could also be a (b) wave in a flat, so I'd put my stop ...
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO SAND, D, Long , 5 days ago
SAND: SAND - Daily
12 0 6
SAND, D Long
SAND - Daily
Getting a nice reaction off the 50% retrace, log scale. Still hasn't confirmed (2) complete. Not super happy with my entry here but I've held on. Might raise my stop to 3.50s, but below last low.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GORO, D, 5 days ago
GORO: GORO - Daily
24 1 4
GORO - Daily
Trading against the reversal of an Ending Diagonal is never a good idea. Price frequently returns to, or exceeds, the starting point. Gold Resource Corp might have another squiggle lower to complete wave (2). I'd like to see some positive divergence set up on MACD.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO UNG, 240, 5 days ago
UNG: UNG - 4h
26 1 1
UNG, 240
UNG - 4h
Had a position during the heart of (iii) and let it go too soon. Gonna wait to see if wave 1 tops and we see a consolidation in cir-ii.
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GG, 240, Long , 5 days ago
GG: GG - 4h
20 2 5
GG, 240 Long
GG - 4h
Dabbled long today. Not nearly as exciting % wise as some other miner ideas, but diversification...
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO TGD, 240, Long , 5 days ago
TGD: TGD - 4h
29 0 7
TGD, 240 Long
TGD - 4h
Don't recall if I had posted this idea. Similar to other miners...but with remarkable potential. Keep you positions small in these "penny" stocks. I certainly am. Stop below 0.24
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO GDX, 60, 5 days ago
GDX: GDX - 1h
79 0 8
GDX, 60
GDX - 1h
GDX has already tested and held the 50% retrace, but price pattern looks like it could dip lower to the 18s. 17.77 is the 61.8% target, just under the red C=A target at 18.21. IF this is an Ending Diagonal then price should react strongly on completion, bouncing to at least the mid 22s in the start of wave 1 of (3).
nick.holland78 nick.holland78 PRO AGI, 240, Long , 5 days ago
AGI: AGI - 4h
16 2 3
AGI, 240 Long
AGI - 4h
Alamos Gold broke its recent low today. Next retrace fib support is the 38.2% at 5.81 (white line). Remember, my fibs are calculated outside tradingview, all log-scale. Pattern looks like a possible Ending Diagonal in (v) of C of (2). Can try to catch the knife here. Safer play is to wait for an initial ...
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