RobertZafaras

PRO
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About me electrical contractor option seller metals, currencies, ES, bonds. low delta theta plays
Online Joined
long metals
Markets Allocation
5 % cryptocurrency 5 % commodities 5 % indices 84 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 57% | 11 SPX 21% | 4 BTCUSD 5% | 1 VIX 5% | 1
RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, D, Long
XAUUSD: Gold going higher
148 2 4
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold going higher

Retail actually decreased their long exposure by 1,700 contracts. Technical analysis while normally good in the short term is being run over by conditions geo-political. Especially the crypto currencies. I hold Bitcoin, ethereum, litecoin and Monero. Today Monero up $27.00 to $81.00 plus,... 51% on big volume. Bitcoin cash thru the roof. We are not in normal ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO SPX500, D, Short
SPX500: what goes up will come down "eventually"
72 0 2
SPX500, D Short
what goes up will come down "eventually"

I'm starting my trend line on the close of November 7th at 2,134. This was the day Hillary was a shoe-in. all was well with the averages. Trump was routinely said "if he gets in the dow plummets. well we all know that was true for a few HOURS. look at my line. 2 tries now this will be the third time. the 100 day moving average is important and within sight. more ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO SPX500, D, Short
SPX500: stock top one more time
80 2 1
SPX500, D Short
stock top one more time

TaLK about a coiled top!!! even Barrons talking about the coiled spring on volatility sellers. I've seen the algo's when they run a muck and I wouldn't be short volatility here. Picking up pennies and nickels in front of a steam roller. Sure the short e-mini puts has worked marvelously up till now. But short vol always works until it doesn't at 2471 my gosh lets ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, D, Long
XAUUSD: gold baby
172 2 1
XAUUSD, D Long
gold baby

The COT has turned commercial's topped out the last two weeks at 40% long gold. swap dealers last week had their most bullish stance. July 25 the wise guys added longs and are now 63% long to the commercials at 37%. Contrarians would call this bearish for golds price. Simplistic analysis of commercial/fund is not as important as the swing. sine wave type pattern. ...

CL1!: anti Gartman
86 0 3
CL1!, D
anti Gartman

Can there be any worse news for Crude? Every major report is in and discounted I would think. technical are pointing higher. Dennis Gartmen flip-flop to bearish. Enough for me to institute a small long here.

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAGUSD, D,
XAGUSD: 4:00 In the morning
69 0 3
XAGUSD, D
4:00 In the morning

Silver slammed along with gold at the "normal" time of 4:00 AM eastern. Just your normal $2 Billion notional gold slam. (ahead of the durable goods miss??) silver sold down to 16.22 July futures over 76,000 contracts traded so far today. So with that much fire power silver is now trading 16.58... Thirty six cents off the low Crypto's are being sold hard as I ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: CFTC   COT whipsaw
109 0 6
XAUUSD, D
CFTC COT whipsaw

The June 20th report had the wise guys throwing in the bull towel. They gave up 40,000 long gold contracts. The commercials swung a 38,000 net to the long side on gold. Joe public remains at 60% long. Open interest declined a good bit by 26,000 contracts. Looking at the moving average and that beautiful stochastic set up on the dailies, the commercials seem to ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin related to gold
236 3 5
BTCUSD, D
Bitcoin related to gold

I see Bitcoin retracing back to the fib level at 1,724. been very stable lately. I can't help but think there is lots of pent up sell side pressure building. Ethereum is very similar. when Bitcoin starts to correct down to 1,724 a good percentage of the money will find it's way into the metals/ silver is very strong here also. when gold stochastic bottomed few ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: daily stochastic
89 0 4
XAUUSD, D
daily stochastic

The daily stochastic look interesting. the 120 day moving average looks constructive. been a tough down stroke from 1295. but I'm feeling a tad better here about gold. still long bitcoin and ethereum waiting for a big hiccup, when it comes money is going to flow to the metals. how many more weekends before something major happens in Syria. Any SU-27 Jockeys ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: gold still bullish
121 0 5
XAUUSD, D
gold still bullish

Long term (daily) charts still are bullish. Channel positive, nicely above the 120 day moving average. Fed meeting showed dramatic central bank sells, trying to suppress the price of gold. They threw massive amounts of short futures as Yellen spoke. To think we are in the 50's after that onslaught is way bullish for the metals. Silver punished as ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO SPX500, 240,
SPX500: stocks ready
86 0 4
SPX500, 240
stocks ready

target of 2401 still in play trade not closed. still short still looking for 2401

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO SPX500, D,
SPX500: stocks ready to decline
56 2 4
SPX500, D
stocks ready to decline

Confluence, dates, Comey JOLTS the yen gold BITCOIN all point to a rotation out of stocks. 2401 is the target

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: gold continuing higher
86 0 4
XAUUSD, W
gold continuing higher

Gold meeting first target of 1296. Now 1304 looks inevitable. stay long metals

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, 60,
XAUUSD: critical point
140 0 6
XAUUSD, 60
critical point

critical point for todays close

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: gold continuing higher
136 0 9
XAUUSD, D
gold continuing higher

1274.50 is critical on the close. if we can hold this on the close COMEX. It will set up more buying fro next week. with a test of 1294 to 1296. Negative Payroll revisions are bullish for gold. after all the entire BLS is an excuse to massage the data in the way that benefits the banks et al. if not we would use the form #941 and the EXACT number of people ...

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: gold continuing
65 0 6
XAUUSD, W
gold continuing

Weekly fib entrancement points to 1298. The entire mantra if Trump wins it's good for gold, only lastly a few hours. Tomorrow's payroll and of course the fed meeting would only be fitting if we tested the failure of Gold on the election at 1298 and the point Stanley Druckenmiller sold all his gold. ( actually night before election )

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, 60,
XAUUSD: gold continuing
61 0 5
XAUUSD, 60
gold continuing

the one hour chart remains bullish. macd ready.

RobertZafaras RobertZafaras PRO XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: gold in general
79 0 8
XAUUSD, 240
gold in general

Very simple chart today. As I mentioned before the funds (ie: wise guys) have turned from a three week sell off to a more supportive phase. Commercials like wise covered and the open interest has increased nicely. Gold will benefit from some Bitcoin Ethereum spill over. the four house chart is very supportive. A sell off that was expected was contained and ...

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