SimonJonsson

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Joined SimonJonsson
Markets Allocation
35 % forex 6 % indices 58 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USOIL 41% | 13 SPX 25% | 8 UKOIL 9% | 3 FRA 6% | 2
SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, D, Short ,
USOIL: Oil has alot further to fall
55 0 0
USOIL, D Short
Oil has alot further to fall

I'm not going to make any prediction for now. However, I would just not be surprised at all if we se $10 in 6-12 months

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson DOWI, M, Short ,
DOWI: DOW Industrials in 100 years - Updated idea
177 0 0
DOWI, M Short
DOW Industrials in 100 years - Updated idea

My longer term view is short for 1-3 years, for me means: not so much stocks, alot of cash, trading only a small amount I updated the future projection with some possible time frames it will take to reach a bottom.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, 15, Short ,
USOIL: Short Oil, it broke down from Ascending Broadening Wedge
72 1 1
USOIL, 15 Short
Short Oil, it broke down from Ascending Broadening Wedge

I am a bit late publishing this idea now since the price has already broken down from the Ascending Broadening Wedge (as it turned out to be, not a normal channel as I painted erlier). Interesting statistics about this formation: http://thepatternsite.com/abw.html According to it. 58% change that TP target will be met, that is the bottom level of where the ...

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, W,
USOIL: Possible resistance for WTI oil
34 0 0
USOIL, W
Possible resistance for WTI oil

At the maroon colored trend line where the arrow is. Similar line can be drawn on Brent. I will be looking here for price either to break up (then I would consider the oil bear market is finished, however this line is at a higher price if drawn in log-scale) or to turn down again.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson UKOIL, 15,
UKOIL: Long or Short Brent Oil depends on what formation is broken.
49 1 1
UKOIL, 15
Long or Short Brent Oil depends on what formation is broken.

I will go long if it breaks the pink wedge upwards. Short if it breaks channel bottom

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, 5, Long ,
USOIL: WTI projected path and trade plan
106 1 1
USOIL, 5 Long
WTI projected path and trade plan

Long at the channel bottom. Use tight stops.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, 60, Long ,
USOIL: WTI has broken up and formed an upwards channel
26 0 0
USOIL, 60 Long
WTI has broken up and formed an upwards channel

Neither WTI nor Brent did come down at the top of the downward sloping channel as I had assumed yesterday. They broke up instead, not without fight though as seen at the top of the channel. Now WTI has formed an upward sloping channel, which it also broke up from, and has retested from above. On monday I assume it will move back into this channel, try it's bottom ...

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, 240,
USOIL: My last WTI Oil chart for today
45 1 0
USOIL, 240
My last WTI Oil chart for today

I did some bad calls today. Price for both WTI and Brent continued higher than what I had anticipated. This strong upward move is probably due to 2 things. 1. A counter move to the heavy fall in oil price the last few days. It fell below any and all possible trendlines and channels basically. 2. It also may have hit a bottom for now, at the pink trend line. I ...

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson UKOIL, 60, Short ,
UKOIL: Brent / WTI, it's a little unclear, but I think short.
29 0 0
UKOIL, 60 Short
Brent / WTI, it's a little unclear, but I think short.

This might be a very good short. Or Brent might break up. We must wait for some form of confirmation of what to do. Or just take a position in what you believe with a tight stop. I am zoomed in on a tick chart trying to trade this, but I can not give more advice here. My believe here is still short though.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson USOIL, 120, Short ,
USOIL: Short WTI now
60 2 1
USOIL, 120 Short
Short WTI now

I'm a little bit late here and missed the perfect timing myself. Anyway this is a short since it hit the trendline. Might bring equities and indices down with it when it falls. NOTE: Analysis for Brent looks a bit different though (it didn't time a hit at it's trendline at the same time) so this idea might be wrong for that reason.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: I think it bounced here at trend channel bottom
96 1 1
SPX500, W Long
I think it bounced here at trend channel bottom

Looking for the bounce to reach at least fib 0.618 from when the crash started. That is around 2000 and I think that could be a great short opportunity. It could reach higher but I will start looking around there.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson SPX500, W,
SPX500: When it bounces, fib 0.618, then heavy short.
66 0 1
SPX500, W
When it bounces, fib 0.618, then heavy short.

The current crash will bounce at some point. Previously we have reached at least fib 0.618 in the bounces after the trend line break. I'm still looking to get a long in the bottom of this bounce, either in S&P500 or any other index. I'm looking for it to reach fib 0.618 then I will short, heavily. I think the bear market is now as confirmed as it can be.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson FRA40, W, Long ,
FRA40: And long for bounce in CAC40 as well
18 1 0
FRA40, W Long
And long for bounce in CAC40 as well

Bottom of trend channel. Simply

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson GER30*EURUSD, W, Long ,
GER30*EURUSD: Long for a bounce also in DAX
283 1 3
GER30*EURUSD, W Long
Long for a bounce also in DAX

Fibonacci on DAX in USD value. Top and bottom for the fibonacci are the 2000 top and 2003 bottom respectively. See how well price has reacted to this fibonacci. It has been less reactive to this the last bull market, which is understandable, but it still do have some merit.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson UK100*GBPUSD, W, Long ,
UK100*GBPUSD: I am long for a bounce here
24 1 0
UK100*GBPUSD, W Long
I am long for a bounce here

Fibonacci support in FTSE100 in USD value.

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson GER30*EURUSD, W, Short ,
GER30*EURUSD: DAX in USD has confirmed bear market has begun
510 4 4
GER30*EURUSD, W Short
DAX in USD has confirmed bear market has begun

DAX is more interesting in USD value. This trend line can not be drawn in DAX normally, but when looked at in USD value. We can draw this trend line that is now broken. In my opinion, long term trend lines that last over several years and then break is the beginning of bear markets. These lines broke several months ago in S&P500 and Dow Industrials, but the ...

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson SPX500, W,
SPX500: Bounce here?
237 1 0
SPX500, W
Bounce here?

Here I give a clearer picture. Bounce here at around 2025 possibly. This channel in non-log scale is pretty solid! This same channel helped me predict the bottom in October 2014. (many confusing lines here are drawn with log scale, ignore them)

SimonJonsson SimonJonsson SPX500, D,
SPX500: Bounce at 2225
40 2 0
SPX500, D
Bounce at 2225

Bounce at 2225 could very likely happen, if not, it will move lower to somewhere 1990 to 2000

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