SteveTobin

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About me Fullt ime Forex trader and blogger www.retiredearlyfx.com
Joined Malaysia and UK
Markets Allocation
95 % forex 2 % stocks 3 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDCAD 18% | 11 AUDNZD 16% | 10 GBPAUD 9% | 6 GBPNZD 9% | 6
SteveTobin SteveTobin GBPNZD, 60,
GBPNZD: long gbpnzd
40 1 6
GBPNZD, 60
long gbpnzd

The pair has just bounced off the turning point I calculated using my wave theory.I have taken a really small position because the bigger trend is still down and this move could turn out to be asmall bounce higher before the tredn at higher degree resumes. always take bounces at my turning areas, must have faith in what you do allthough my faith is being sorely ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin AUDNZD, D, Long ,
AUDNZD: Long AUDNZD
76 0 4
AUDNZD, D Long
Long AUDNZD

AUDNZD appears to be at the bottom of a triangle pattern that has defined the pair for more than a year. It touched the bottom of the boundary and has since put in a green candle, a second one today may confirm the bounce. I have entered long

SteveTobin SteveTobin EURAUD, W, Short ,
EURAUD: Steve's Weekly Trade: Short EurAud
50 0 4
EURAUD, W Short
Steve's Weekly Trade: Short EurAud

The Euraud has broken a trendline that has been in play since July 2012. I waited until this morning to place the trade to get the Australian rate decision out of the way. As always I have placed two trades, the first with a target of 100 pips the second with an open target. The trades will close if the weekly chart closes above the pitchfork. Existing weekly ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin STJ, D, Short ,
STJ: Following Muddy Waters Short
21 0 0
STJ, D Short
Following Muddy Waters Short

Muddy Waters yesterday announced a short position in St Jude Medical (STJ). The basis for the short is the apparent vulnerability of St Jude's pace makers to cyber attack. Muddy Waters say they have been able to replicate attacks shown to them by cyber security experts. The devices can be made to speed up or power down, the whole ecosystem developed by St Jude ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin AUDUSD*1.3+NZDUSD*1.3+AUDCHF+NZDCHF+0.85*AUDJPY/100+0.75*NZDJPY/100, D, Long ,
AUDUSD*1.3+NZDUSD*1.3+AUDCHF+NZDCHF+0.85*AUDJPY/100+0.75*NZDJPY/100: Long with ANZAC Basket
Long with ANZAC Basket

I often trade these baskets of currencies, they seem to work well. This one is a mix of AUD and NZD against the JPY,USD and CHF. A classic risk barometer. The weight of each currency in the basket ensures that the dollar cost of 1 days movement (ATR as a proxy) is equal for each of the constituent currency pairs. These trades tend to be longer term lasting ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin (GBPAUD+GBPNZD+GBPUSD+GBPJPY/100+GBPEUR)/5, D, Short ,
(GBPAUD+GBPNZD+GBPUSD+GBPJPY/100+GBPEUR)/5: Steve's GBP BasketShort
Steve's GBP BasketShort

I have been using this GBP basket made up of the NZD,AUD,USD,EUR and JPY to guide my trades with the GBP this year. It has been very successful, it does mean I have to take 5 trades every time which needs a bit of careful risk management. Stops are also difficult so I tend to trade without stops and look to make a decision at the end of day. The basket has now ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin GBPUSD, M, Short ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD Multi Year Head and Shoulders
55 0 3
GBPUSD, M Short
GBPUSD Multi Year Head and Shoulders

I have been trading the GBP short for most of the year, the cable appears to have cracked the kneckline of this Head and Shoulder pattern

SteveTobin SteveTobin USDCAD, W, Long ,
USDCAD: Steve's Trade of the Week: Long USDCAD
128 2 9
USDCAD, W Long
Steve's Trade of the Week: Long USDCAD

I return to the trade of 3 weeks ago (profit of 126 pips made). The USDCAD has again broken through the symmetrical triangle and the fundamental data at the end of the week (good US poor CAD) give this trade a bright outlook. I will open to trades at market open first has a target of 126 pips (1 ATR) second will have an open target, stop loss will be set at 1:29. ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin NZDUSD, W, Long ,
NZDUSD: Steve's Weekly Trade NZDUSD long
76 0 2
NZDUSD, W Long
Steve's Weekly Trade NZDUSD long

NZDUSD bounced of previously identified resistance, the pitchfork pattern has been developing since August 2015, the bounce coincides with the top of an ichimoku cloud. The trade has not yet shown a buy signal on the point and figure chart which argues against a long position. Inline with the majority of the evidence I will enter long at the open of the market in ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin USDCAD, W, Long ,
USDCAD: Steves Weekly Chart Trade
66 0 5
USDCAD, W Long
Steves Weekly Chart Trade

USDCAD produced a bearish engulf on the weekly chart hinting at a potential upward change in direction. The pair issued a buy signal on the 1 box P and F chart and appears to be close to making a break on the daily. I will enter long on a close above 1:3137 which will clear resistance on the daily chart. target will be 1:36. US oil appears to be beginning a ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin GBPUSD, D, Short ,
GBPUSD: Resumption of Brexit bear move
41 0 2
GBPUSD, D Short
Resumption of Brexit bear move

Was the recent recovery for the GBP a dead cat bounce? Recent IMF downgrades and the significant reduction in investment added to an increasing inflation rate make this a very difficult time for the UK. The new government has added a Brexit ministry and a international trade minister showing that they are committed to enforce the recent referendum result. A ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin AUDJPY, W,
AUDJPY: Harami pattern ?
38 3 0
AUDJPY, W
Harami pattern ?

The pattern on the AUDJPY is interesting, it appears to be forming a Harami pattern indicating some reversal maybe on the way, I can not decide if it indicating a bullish or bearish reversal, the post brexit candles are quite unusual. I would really like to hear any ideas

SteveTobin SteveTobin GBPAUD, D, Short ,
GBPAUD: GBPAUD Head and SHoulders
132 0 2
GBPAUD, D Short
GBPAUD Head and SHoulders

GBPAUD completed a head and shoulders pattern at the close of market. The break is confirmed by a MACD break and downward RSI. I have entered short targeting 2.00 the bottom of the ascending channel that has defined the pair for several months. This pair is super volatile and has lacked liquidity of late so care is needed.

SteveTobin SteveTobin AUDNZD, D, Short ,
AUDNZD: short AUDNZD
148 0 4
AUDNZD, D Short
short AUDNZD

I am a medium term swing trader and have been trading this pair quite a lot of late, my previous trades and results are onthe chart. This short is really based on the fundamentals of dairy prices v metals prices as well as food imports to china v materials import. It is backed up by a nice technical break of recent congestion

SteveTobin SteveTobin USDCAD, D, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD Breaks resistance
33 0 1
USDCAD, D Long
USDCAD Breaks resistance

The USDCAD broke through the August high of 1:3343 overnight and held its break through to the market close. Positive RSI and a MACD crossover coincided with the break. I have entered long using the medium term uptrend as a stop level. The trade hopes to take advantage of ongoing risk aversion and increasingly hawkish fed speak. NFP data later in the week will ...

SteveTobin SteveTobin GBPCAD, D, Short ,
GBPCAD: GBPCAD Potential Top
32 0 2
GBPCAD, D Short
GBPCAD Potential Top

The GBPCAD appears to be tracing out a a rather untidy Head and Shoulders pattern after a false break of a channel top that has defined the pair for more than a year. MACD appears to be agreeing with a short trade and the measured target gives a good risk reward criteria. I will wait for a break of the neckline before trading

SteveTobin SteveTobin USDCHF, W,
USDCHF: Trade review USDCHF
18 0 2
USDCHF, W
Trade review USDCHF

A long term chart pattern appears to be approaching termination, a break could be quite decisive. Upside potential is enormous and a stronger dollar seems quite likely. I will be watching closely for a technical que to enter. These long term patterns are often very profitable!

SteveTobin SteveTobin AUDNZD, D, Short ,
AUDNZD: AUDNZD short trade close
19 0 0
AUDNZD, D Short
AUDNZD short trade close

It has been a slow month for my trading system, USDCAD long, and NZDJPY short continue to make good progress. GBPNZD hit target. This is the first new trade opportunity for several weeks. The pair my have put in a double top at previous resistance suggesting that the medium term down trend may be returning. MACD is in a downtrend and RSI is good. The weekly ...

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