Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 05 2024 High. The stock is on its latest Bearish Leg in the past 3 months and almost completed a -17.62% decline, similar with the Bearish Leg that led to the August 05 2024 Low. As the 1D RSI has Double Bottomed, which is what it did on the April 30 2024 Low that kick started a rally of...
The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 10 High. During that time it technically got rejection upon every 4H MA100 (green trend-line) contact or close contact into a new Bearish Leg. Three out of those four Bearish Legs have been -3.16% so even if a rejection does happen at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading since the February 28 Low within a Falling Wedge pattern, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the same time supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Throughout its dominant Bull Cycle pattern, the +2 year Channel Up, it has formed another 6 such Falling Wedges, all below the 1D MA50 and all turned out to be market bottom...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Channel Down since the October 23 2023 High. In the past 2 months it has been on a downtrend, which is the technical Bearish Leg of the pattern. The 1D MACD is on its 2nd Bullish Cross on a decline, very similar with the previous Bearish Leg of the Channel Down. We are again on the 0.5...
The EURCHF pair has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Down pattern and is currently on the latest Bullish Leg that is about to complete a 1D Golden Cross. The last Golden Cross was also during the previous Bullish Leg and caused an initial pull-back that was followed by the pricing of the Channel's Top on the 0.786 Fibonacci level. As a result, be ready to...
Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up since the January 03 2023 bottom and in the past 3 months (December 26 2024) has been forming the latest Bearish Leg. On Tuesday this Leg broke below its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in 10 months (since May 08 2024), which is the strongest buy signal since the April 19 2024 Higher Low...
This is not the first time we publish a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis in relation to the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line) or Chinese Bonds (red trend-line) and Global Liquidity (blue trend-line). In fact we have been doing this since the late 2022 bands in China and like the highly bearish sentiment that was in the market then, we decided to dive into this...
WTI Oil (USOIL) hit on last week's 1W candle the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), a massive long-term Support level that has been holding since the week of April 26 2021, i.e. almost 4 years. At the same time, the price entered the 2-year Support Zone, which has produced all major Bullish Phases (green Rectangles) during this time span. The last one got rejected twice...
S&P500 (SPX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up that has made the market recover from the 2022 Inflation Crisis, taking it to a new All Time High (ATH). The recent 4-week decline however has been an aggressive one and rightly so has sparked heightened fear to investors, especially considering the trade war fundamentals. Technically, the index just broke...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far. Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle...
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for almost 9 months (since the June 20 2024 High). The correction since the start of January is technically the pattern's Bearish Leg and yesterday it hit the bottom (Higher Low trend-line). Last time it did so was on August 05 2024 and an instant rebound followed. That was also the time the...
Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the late July 2023 High. The decline of the last 30 days can be technically seen as the Bearish Leg that will price its new Higher Low bottom. The price isn't only close to the Channel's bottom but also the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been supporting since the October 30 2023...
Last time we looked at TRON (TRXUSD) was almost 6 months ago (September 25 2024, see chart below) when we called for a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) buy: The immediate rally that followed, hit our 0.2100 Target in less than 2 months, even breaking above the long-term Channel Up. Since then, the Bullish Leg deflated and settled sideways on a trade within the 1D...
Amazon (AMZN) broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last week for the first time since the week of August 05 2024 and opened this week below it. As you can see, the stock has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and today's candle is as close to a technical Higher Low (bottom) as it can get. The previous Higher Low was in fact that Aug 05 2024 candle,...
Nasdaq (NDX) broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years (since week of March 13 2023). That is a strong long-term Support, in fact it is technically the first level to look for during cyclical bull trends. So how bad can a break and/or 1W candle closing below it? As you can see on this multi-year chart on the 1W time-frame, since the...
The EURUSD pair hit on Friday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 5 months (since October 03 2024). This is a major Resistance level which initiated a strong -4.00% decline on December 28 2023. In fact -4.00% declines have been quite common for EURUSD in the past 2 years. However, the pair's strongest Resistance level has been the 1M MA100 (red...
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within its 2025 Channel Up, in fact the uptrend started a little bit sooner on the November 14 2024 bottom. As we've mentioned before and you can see again today, this is a recurring pattern which has been in effect since October 2022, the bottom of the Inflation Crisis. This involves the market forming Channel Up patterns of...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that. ** The key 1W...