While many people get bearish on the SPX500 and packing the bags for a minimum 10% ride down, I believe bullish market has not gone yet and we still have one last push up. Normally, on an Elliott Waves analysis one should not work only on bigger timeframes but continousy check lower timeframes to determine a possible turnaround. Once we see a 5-Waves impulse on...
I believe we have finally seen an impulse up on Monday and a correction to it today. Therefore, expect a Wave 5 to pick up speed and be really strong and powerful from now moving on. Target is at 2510
What will be the problem: Brexit, Greece, Turkey, DB/italian banks/swiss banks or the new refugees crysis? Maybe, all together plus something else which we are not aware of yet? Probably, this is the reason why the ECB won´t taper the QE programme?
Possible Cup and Handle pattern. Long-term investors may want to start buying the current dip
As show on chart, price may want to complete the 5-Wave development and drive to approximately 55 per share. Will long next week, targeting 55.70 per share with SL set at 29. Notice also a bounce from ML of a Fork which is being in play since many years ago.
That bullish divergence on Daily timeframe could long 4 months... Following the pair to add long-term longs but no position for now
Chart shows that price is being bewered in a strong resistance zone, which is trying to break once again. A 75.90 per share has an interesting Fibo confluence which may be considered as a "do-or-die" level as it is a level which validates or invalidates two Cypher patterns. Only a bigger one is shown, which would complete at 60.60 per share, while a smaller one...
US1 is completing an eventual Cypher pattern and soon will be ready for another leg up. Notice a bullish divergence on a weekly timeframe: such a big timeframe indicates this last leg up will be important and will take some months to develop. But on overall return, in my opinion, it will be one of the best trades of next year. Notice as well that, despite having...
My previous idea on Apple shares was based on a wave count which resulted on a huge Stop-Loss. Shorting Apple on a growing market was not a good idea... Thankfully, I achieved to hedge the losses with two Options plays on revenues publishing. Now, how many green candles left? I believe, Apple may top between 161 and 163 values. Have two strong reasons for this...
Since VIX has been updating the lowest values ever and Gold value has been growing alongside the markets and sometimes even correlated with the US Dollar, traders were trying to find a valid bull-bear indicator that could show an approximate top of the historical rally on Equities. In my opinion, DXY is a very valid indicator but there are more instruments that...
MCD has been raising alongside the market but, while the whole market (as well as XLY fund) added around 30% since 2016 lows, MCD was only able to push up a half of it. On one side, the stock potentially is underperforming but technicals say it has a very strong resistance to break. Daily chart shows bearish divergence, same as Weekly timeframe, and we are very...
Haven´t checked a single line of company´s reports or any related news. I´m just trying to find a new broker and checking the charts one by one to see if the market will or not dump the shares. I found IBKR may be a good buy as it bounced of the Hagopian Line and has been flat for several weeks now, underperforming the market. Notice also the price broke former,...
I will try to call a multi-year top on the XLF fund. Will short from 25, targeting... Probably, 12. But my main question is: was the whole movement from 2009 to now a wave 1 or it was a B and we still wil see a Wave C? If that was a B, then we can probably say: welcome to hell, banks! Hope you enjoy your stay here
The choices on how the uptrend will finish are very few to be honest: a common 1-2-3-4-5 structure or the so-called Ending Diagonal Triangle. Experienced EW adepts may surely be able to correct me but I feel like the EDT it starting to become our main option. This means: 1) S&P will first climb to 2360-2370, then to 2450-2500. 2) The correction will bring the...
I stopped following Twitter at some point of time but I´ve been curious on, after all the news bombardement and price movement we had in 2016, what price we may expect in 2017? I found a very interesting setup: on first place, we have an ascending fork (labeled green) where the Median Line hasn´t been reached. Therefore, as per Hagopian´s rule, the price should...
GBPUSD pair has completed a bearish Cypher pattern. It has completed yesterday and went a little bit longer today but I believe it is perfectly valid for shorts. This is a short-term trade so I believe we may reach targets of 1.24 or 1.2250 by next week. I have already shorted at 1.2610 and will add more once it breaches an important support level of 1.2570. Set...
Many of you noticed that Brent has mostly been trading in 45-55 range since May 2016. As a consequence, there is no valid trend for now and, in order to know where oil prices may end up in a week or in a month, we have to operate with Fibonacci extensions and Harmonic patterns. I believe the current setup is as following: First of all, we have a huge ABCD...
After breaking out of a triangle, EURUSD pair is having the last correction before heading to the long and very expected level of 1:1 . Unfortunately, that is not all for EUR: as a general rule, once the triangle is broken, we should expect a movement similar to the height of a triangle towards the direction of the breakout. In this case, the official breakout...