fringe_chartist

fringe_chartist

The trend broke and thus short most assets/cryptos until we find support. Commodities were neutral and then up huge on market open as they were expecting a possibly bullish asset market, but to no avail. Good luck and hedge your bets!

fringe_chartist Updated 

Short the buy pressure, long the sell pressure UNTIL support is broken! Decent RR at this key level. Stop at 4250 area, look for price rise to 4290 and 1hr candle reversal. Good luck and hedge your bets :)

fringe_chartist

Closed long trade, market confidence looks kinda sketchy but who knows.

fringe_chartist

DXY approaching important resistance areas and we should expect a break. Dollar strength is a tailwind, equities are fading, breakouts in commodities taking place. Good luck and hedge your bets!

fringe_chartist

We gapped lower on S&P ES1! action, but we'll probably retest the upper channel bounds unless ES1! breaks lower. Short the rallies. Good luck and hedge your bets!

fringe_chartist Updated 

A nice repeat of April 2021 to present. Good luck and hedge your bets!

fringe_chartist

Many were fooled by the breakout. Sacred lines were broken. Was it really a breakout? What of these lines? Imaginary golden lines of truth in the sand, or harmonics of delusion? And what of this grand symphony of crowd delusion? A sand pit ready to swallow the masses, or a great sounding tune? I thought we would see optimism over the weekend and maybe a retest of...

fringe_chartist Updated 

There's a general narrative going around of "buy the dip" and "look at these undervalued stocks". The goal here is not to compare Facebook to Microsoft to Paypal as companies, but to look at relative price structure between a handful of popular stocks. In this case, we have a few giant companies; Tesla , Facebook and Microsoft , charted against the smaller Paypal...

fringe_chartist

The scale is from 0-300. Combines the Russell 2000, Nasdaq, and S&P percentage of stocks above the 200 day MA. Looks like the market should take caution if you take into account the trend of inflection points... Good luck and hedge your bets!

fringe_chartist

Short Tesla medium term trade idea Tesla is lagging behind most overpriced assets which overall have undergone a modest decline. Tesla will be one of the last to fall but the fact that it's still overpriced shows we are not near the bottom in terms of assets. Good luck and hedge your positions!

fringe_chartist

Nice and simple, back to 26xxx Good luck blah blah extra stuff so tv will let me post

fringe_chartist

When will the sonar break symmetry? The sound is harsh, telling us to go away, disgesting information and giving a message back to more overleveraged markets!

fringe_chartist Updated 

A few important notes here: We failed to sustain 3500 thus far after 2 breaks above trend and about 10 tests total of the trend in the new year. We haven't retested the low of 3400 which was only tested once/twice since the new year. If you look at what the RSI is telling us about local momentum, we'll see more downside UNLESS we can pull off a 3500 retest, which...

fringe_chartist

A few important notes here: We failed to sustain 3500 thus far after 2 breaks above trend and about 10 tests total of the trend in the new year. We haven't retested the low of 3400 which was only tested once/twice since the new year. If you look at what the RSI is telling us about local momentum, we'll see more downside UNLESS we can pull off a 3500 retest, which...

fringe_chartist

Money supply expansion is like roaches. It goes everywhere you don't want, and nobody can control it. Plotted here is the money supply to futures ratio of soy, wheat, corn, and sugar. We have the potential to see a massive increase in food speculation, simply because it's not risky. When equities burst, the money goes anywhere it can. So we should expect a...

fringe_chartist

The idea here is nice and simple. The market only reacts to policy changes. Real policy changes and not rumors. Seeing how the market is neutral at the same time that a major shift in monetary policy is (allegedly) about to take place, we can conclude one of two things: 1) market stays under the red line: They are about to let the market have a complete insane...

fringe_chartist Updated 

The markets already shorted the news of Russia on the border, however new reports say that they moved back to base or something. Not sure what that means but the asset market feels like it's about to make a bounce toward trend, and alts are giving the same signal. Caution is in order though, and that's putting it lightly. It's safe to say you should probably start...

fringe_chartist Updated 

Trend broken, exploration phase? Looks like it. Consider invalidated if price goes below 41500. Lots of alts pairs are looking to make this move as well, S&P futures giving a similar look. See my other XMRUSD idea for commentary.