jonnytren

jonnytren

ROIC - 10%-12.5%-15% P/E - 18x Required return of 15% + 2% dividend.

jonnytren Updated 

Measured move, Basing from 2014 to 2019. Fibonacci extension from the 19' low to covid run gives a measured target of roughly $2500 USD also bullish flag pattern has the same target. Once of the strongest looking sectors IMO.

jonnytren Updated 

Another Lithium stock. referencing my LIT H&S pattern, I see a target of $0.39 for SYA. havn't partcipated in Sayana but been following. I think a possible turning point is coming up. So much hype in this space and I think the narrative has outran the fundamentals for now.

jonnytren Updated 

I had a mid term trade on this back in Feb 2021. I took profit at the double top which has worked out well. I have always had it on my watch list and now the opportunity has arisen for me to jump in with a larger stake for a much longer trade length. This will be potentially a long term investment. Founded in 1929, Ansell is the Aussie Proctor and Gamble. from...

jonnytren Updated 

a cyclical mining giant, finding it hard to find a long term (5-10 year) negative on RIO. even if there is deflationary pressures this is so cheap on so many metrics. - Paid down alot of debt. - Current div yield of 10.4% - ROIC long term mean of 13% (+ div of 5ish?) = 18% ROIC - Current ROIC with inflationary pressures = 26% + 10% div?! - Trading at a current PE...

jonnytren Updated 

Fundamentals have deteriorated considerably with global cVD policies. A2 wont go bankrupt with huge piles of cash, but have they got a moat? Purely of a technical perspective, no body is talking about A2.. its off the media, it's not on the headlines, these are the types of plays Peter Lynch likes, unloved, unwanted, but with solid balance sheets, average holding...

jonnytren Updated 

Intrinsic value of Microsoft, using a 25% ROIC. requiring a 15% Return rate. Long term PE of 28x share buybacks. dividend. Not pricing in a recession just using history as a guide. Current prices suit for a 10% IRR Any further price depreciation will offer a higher return rate.

jonnytren Updated 

Mid tier Copper producer. Looking beyond the big boys, RIO and BHP, Oz Minerals has a bright runway. a 50-61% pullback onto the weekly 200MA, took a starter tranche today. Dr Copper is speaking and a possible recession may be looming, but happy to accululate some at these prices. Would love to see the $11 mark hit as you can see there is some strong long term...

jonnytren

Bearish pennant pattern. - wait to see if the breakout is up or down. - the underlying energy supply landscape points to a break to the upside, but the technicals are pointing to the downside.

jonnytren

It's lights out for BTC. Measured move, bearish flag pattern. Target price of $13k.

jonnytren

Been holding since Q122 FED tightening and supply side issues, ESG, huge run up, Don't particularly want to sell, thesis was to hold for atleast 2-3 years. I didnt expect a 200% increase in several months + dividends. Buybacks coming in. taking the coffee can approach here..

jonnytren

Large runup in this large ETF? FED still tightening, narrative of an ESG been priced in? Hard to see further upside. Possible H&S pattern, a fair way from average 200WMA, and looking bearish on the daily. Taking profits on Lithium plays. Leaving initial stake.

jonnytren

Although Apple is the market darling, thus giving it a higher valuation compared to many of its peers, if there is confidence lost in the overall markets even the gems will be sold off. Its a cleansing event and gives oppurtunity to those who were patient to snap up fundamentally stable and strong companies that should perform well into the future and grow...

jonnytren

- What will this return to me as a share holder? 10 Year history % - Return on invested capital @ 14% - Sales/revs growth rate @ 21% - EPS growth rate @ 23% - Equity growth rate @ 30% - Operating CFGR @ 13% Current ratio - 3.7X Current PE - 23x (10 year average of 25X, with a low of...

jonnytren

Small cap, Copper play. Massive basing pattern, massively oversold on the RSI. Higher Lows forming. Grabbed another bunch down here at these prices. down 28% on initial. Glencore and Rick Rule are shareholders.

jonnytren

Intel is coming onto the radar and buy list through 13f's on many super investors. Really good long term chart showing the exuberance of the 99 tech bubble and how long that huge cup has been forming since then. The value investing club has it on their list and for obvious reasons. Interested to watch this unfold. Not a holder atm, but interesting to watch the...

jonnytren

BTC will always surprise in each direction. with a lack of earnings and producing anything tangible the price volatility is massive, with a interesting macro backdrop things could really surprise to the downside, but on the other hand if CB's step in with support the old mantra of "don't fight the fed" may come back in.

jonnytren

Bullflag until 2nd quarter earnings? slow grind down for another 3.5 weeks? WIll monitor. No stops in place