ADAUSD Doesn't seem to be able to get out of its bearish trend.

Cardano (ADAUSD) got rejected 6 days ago exactly at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Down pattern that it has been trading in since the September 02 2021 market High. This is the 4th Lower High rejection of this structure and when that happened in the past, a strong rejection followed.

Cardano has been trading sideways for basically 3 months (since the June 18 low). As you see this has the potential to extend a green Channel if the price breaks above the Lower Highs. Until then, it would be best to sell again only if the 0.400 Support (July 13 Low) breaks and target the 2.0 Fib extension. A break above the Lower Highs though should extend this 3 month neutral trade and test first the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which has been basically the Resistance during these 3 months, and secondly the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the ultimate long-term trend test.

When ADA breaks and closes above the 1D MA200, then and only then we can consider a long-term shift of fortunes from bearish to bullish. The Bullish Cross on the MACD (on the 1W time-frame) could be an early indication of such a move.



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