benny_marshall

AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS

FX:AUDJPY   Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen
#AUDJPY

These days, AUDJPY is becoming somewhat DOW due to MARKET RISK OFF. The reason for that was that the MARKET SENTIMENT was somewhat NEGATIVE with FED UPDATES. The YEILD of JPY 10Y BOND was increased at today's BOJ MEETING. Because of that, XXXJPY CURRENCIES went down very fast. It still has an effect. Anyway, they said that the BOJ MONETARY POLICY will be relaxed even more. Therefore, after JPY becomes PRICE, XXXJPY PRICES may be UP in the future. Even now, we see that the MARKET has somewhat MARKET RISK OFF. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance.

Anyway, if the AUDJPY goes upside down again, the VIX should go down and the JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go up. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days. If the MARKET RISK continues to be OFF, you can definitely SELL at 88.02 LEVEL. But somehow, after that, AUDJPY may go up to 92.90 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY becomes WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAK, there is a very good situation to BUY AUDJPY.

To buy AUDJPY, VIX must be DOWN and SNP500 must be UP. Further, the TREND LINE should be BREAK. And COMMODITIES should definitely be UP. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.

If the dollar is strengthened by the FED, MARKETS RISK should be off. Then after JPY STRONG, AUDJPY can be LONG TERM BUY.

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