Good morning, traders. Bitcoin continues to trade sideways with no significant increase in visible supply or demand on the order books. While Bitmex has continued to show stronger supply, spot exchanges are showing stronger demand. Traders should consider both but give more credence to spot exchanges as Bitmex's swap system and 100x leverage draw to it the gamblers (those with a stronger "casino" mindset) which means they are generally short-profit driven which leads to constantly jumping between buying and selling. Spot exchange traders tend to have a more definitive outlook and as such aren't prone to as much flip-flopping. Again, this is speaking in generalities.
At this point, price has printed a perfect descending channel on the daily. The daily RSI has printed a descending wedge whose apex it is nearing, and volume has continued to drop as price has consolidated, which means that we should see a strong push by price in either direction sooner rather than later. Price is also treading along, just under, the steeper red resistance. I have outlined the horizontal resistance levels in blue as well. Currently, my expectation is for price to target the supply EQ around $4500 as noted once it moves through the channel's resistance. Traders must watch for price to target the channel's EQ and then its resistance before thinking of the supply EQ, however. These more local levels give shorter-term traders ideas of where to watch if going long or short in the near term. Yesterday's candle was very low in terms of volume and today's candle is already almost even, yet the candle spread is very small so far. This is something traders should watch through the end of the day. Based on the steep red resistance line, a successful move beyond it should have price targeting the January 19th swing high around $3760/80. We would need to see the candle closing above that swing high to protect price from a bearish SFP and signal further advancement. A successful close below the January 29th swing low at $3322 would have price likely targeting the $3200 area and failure for that level to hold puts $3000 on guard.
The monthly chart is interesting. We can note the large drop from the $6000s in November, however we saw even greater volume in December but a very small candle spread and good lower wick. January saw volume comparable to this past summer, but again small candle spread. This appears to be suggesting that demand continues to show up and while it hasn't been enough to send price higher just yet, if it holds then supply will continue to get eaten up and we could see price moving higher and catching most traders off guard. The wedge is the dominant pattern at this time and based on prior movement suggests that price should be moving sideways/up to challenge the pattern's resistance. This would give price another alternating touch of support and resistance thereby confirming the pattern. If that were to happen, then my expectation continues to be what it has been in that we would see price test that resistance, retrace a bit, and then push through the resistance. Looking at the daily chart, the move toward resistance isn't unthinkable.
Every day, we have a choice to act positively or negatively, so if you get a chance, do something decent for someone today which could be as simple as sharing a nice word with them. You just might change their day, or even their life.
Remember, you can always click on the "share" button in the lower right hand of the screen, under the chart, and then click on "Make it mine" from the popup menu in order to get a live version of the chart that you can explore on your own.
At this point, price has printed a perfect descending channel on the daily. The daily RSI has printed a descending wedge whose apex it is nearing, and volume has continued to drop as price has consolidated, which means that we should see a strong push by price in either direction sooner rather than later. Price is also treading along, just under, the steeper red resistance. I have outlined the horizontal resistance levels in blue as well. Currently, my expectation is for price to target the supply EQ around $4500 as noted once it moves through the channel's resistance. Traders must watch for price to target the channel's EQ and then its resistance before thinking of the supply EQ, however. These more local levels give shorter-term traders ideas of where to watch if going long or short in the near term. Yesterday's candle was very low in terms of volume and today's candle is already almost even, yet the candle spread is very small so far. This is something traders should watch through the end of the day. Based on the steep red resistance line, a successful move beyond it should have price targeting the January 19th swing high around $3760/80. We would need to see the candle closing above that swing high to protect price from a bearish SFP and signal further advancement. A successful close below the January 29th swing low at $3322 would have price likely targeting the $3200 area and failure for that level to hold puts $3000 on guard.
The monthly chart is interesting. We can note the large drop from the $6000s in November, however we saw even greater volume in December but a very small candle spread and good lower wick. January saw volume comparable to this past summer, but again small candle spread. This appears to be suggesting that demand continues to show up and while it hasn't been enough to send price higher just yet, if it holds then supply will continue to get eaten up and we could see price moving higher and catching most traders off guard. The wedge is the dominant pattern at this time and based on prior movement suggests that price should be moving sideways/up to challenge the pattern's resistance. This would give price another alternating touch of support and resistance thereby confirming the pattern. If that were to happen, then my expectation continues to be what it has been in that we would see price test that resistance, retrace a bit, and then push through the resistance. Looking at the daily chart, the move toward resistance isn't unthinkable.
Every day, we have a choice to act positively or negatively, so if you get a chance, do something decent for someone today which could be as simple as sharing a nice word with them. You just might change their day, or even their life.
Remember, you can always click on the "share" button in the lower right hand of the screen, under the chart, and then click on "Make it mine" from the popup menu in order to get a live version of the chart that you can explore on your own.