Lets not talk about the past, dwell on the past as it seems that BTC has clearly fallen out of the upward channel and is now forming a potential bear flag!
Like I said in a previous update, BTC was strongly testing the channel and if it were to break support then we would definitely have to turn bearish! I did not take any trades and was only going to trade a potential break out of the wave and formation - with TIGHT stops of course.
I have left the previous analysis drawings of the with target for this chart. But will eventually remove them once they we are further and they are no longer relevant.
is strongly oversold on the 4h chart at around 24 - on the 1d we have the indicating 44 so we still may see even more downside! BE CAREFUL!
The is showing divergence and on the 1d about to show us the cross of death! Get ready guys this is going to get exciting!
It seems we are back under the trend-line - blue - and it showed NO evidence of support. BTC shot right through.
What we have now appearing on the 1h and of course even on the 4 hour chart is a potential . Do not count on the as we might see a strong reversal to the mean, BTC has been going down for a while. We have to leave more time for the to form before confirming anything. The formed should put us down to the 8k level this of course pushes us way past the level and down to the 38% level.
What's going on? Well our market cap is currently sitting at around 394 billion dollars - that's about 50 billion that have been wiped off the face of crypto. And it seems that the catalyst for this FUD is the SEC announcing that all exchanges must register with them:
This is after previous FUD where the SEC seems to be investigating any and all ICOs which could potentially be seen as securities and creators could face hefty fines and even prison time - I'm looking at you Ethereum .
Please if you have anymore information to share please do so in the comments below and I'll try to keep y'all updated.
This is not financial advice and I am not a financial advisor please do your own research!
Best of luck,
Now the main formation is the bear flag. I really can't see it forming anything else. We are even back into the downtrend channel!