BITCOIN on the quickest ATH test! Is this a narrative breaker?
A few weeks ago we published an analysis regarding the importance of the .786 Fibonacci retracement level in cyclical terms, showing that historically, every time Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed a 1W candle above that Fib level, it never looked back and it always tested the All Time High (ATH) soon after.
Fast forward to today, BTC has already closed 2 straight 1W candles above that level. On this analysis on the 5D time-frame, we see the completion of the Golden Cross, which has always been present once on every Cycle, this time though formed the closest ever to the ATH.
In fact Bitcoin is 'only' another +20% away from its ATH and technically in should get hit within the next handful of weeks. In that case, we will have the quickest rise from a Cycle Bottom (RSI based) to ATH since the 2012 - 2013 Cycle, which was Bitcoin's first and of course not a representative Cycle sample as it was on its first years and naturally on a very aggressive rise due to being a brand new market on low cap. If we do count however from the actual November 2022 bottom (460 days up to now), then the current Cycle goes head-to-head even with 2012 - 2013 (it was 466 days until the ATH)!
In any case, this is a remarkable run for the market with still more than a month left until the new Halving! Of course much of this rally is attributed to the newly approved ETF, which is attracting historic attention and capital inflows on Wall Street. Just a side-note, it is worth paying attention to the 5D RSI. A Resistance Zone test can be a first bell that the top is in or very close.
But what do you think? How long before we test the ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Fast forward to today, BTC has already closed 2 straight 1W candles above that level. On this analysis on the 5D time-frame, we see the completion of the Golden Cross, which has always been present once on every Cycle, this time though formed the closest ever to the ATH.
In fact Bitcoin is 'only' another +20% away from its ATH and technically in should get hit within the next handful of weeks. In that case, we will have the quickest rise from a Cycle Bottom (RSI based) to ATH since the 2012 - 2013 Cycle, which was Bitcoin's first and of course not a representative Cycle sample as it was on its first years and naturally on a very aggressive rise due to being a brand new market on low cap. If we do count however from the actual November 2022 bottom (460 days up to now), then the current Cycle goes head-to-head even with 2012 - 2013 (it was 466 days until the ATH)!
In any case, this is a remarkable run for the market with still more than a month left until the new Halving! Of course much of this rally is attributed to the newly approved ETF, which is attracting historic attention and capital inflows on Wall Street. Just a side-note, it is worth paying attention to the 5D RSI. A Resistance Zone test can be a first bell that the top is in or very close.
But what do you think? How long before we test the ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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🤵Contact info@tradingshot.com t.me/tradingshot
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